was on SJRWMD's GIS this morning for another reason and pulled this graphic

these are some very high (>100ug/L) CHLa levels, Haulover looks similar

bloom for sure

Here's the link: http://webapub.sjrwmd.com/agws10/hdswq/

Titusville:

plot.png  (19 KB)

I'll be curious to see how the annual report on the BMAP treats these data.

The oxygen supersaturation is nuts. That's part of the issue with clarity. In addition to dense plankton there are precipitates forming because the pH is getting so high.

Hope we don't get an all-at-once bloom collapse. That would be bad.

^yeah, true on all counts

and fwiw,

we could fix fertilizer this year,

even with BIG $$$$,

it would take a decade or more to fix septic

oh, and...

bumper sticker.png  (103 KB)

My concern at this point is that even with drastic reduction of inputs, the internal loading will keep the system in a hyper-eutrophic state for a long time.

I'm worried that we are witnessing a flip to an "altered stable state" in which plankton become dominant over submersed plants in perpetuity. (like Lake Jesup, Lake Apopka, Lake Marion, Harris Chain....Chesapeake Bay).

This site is not working today.

was talking with some of the bio guys at work today

they say yes, the brown bloom is pumping right now

not unusually bad in their eyes, blooms are common now 

duration and spread remain to be seen

(caveat - I'm not a phyto guy, just relaying anecdotal info)

Saying it isn't that bad because it is now common is a sign that things are pretty bad.

Silver lining? Could a winter bloom suck up enough nitrogen that the water clears just in time for the growing season?

I'm  not very hopeful.

Seems the HABs folks at game and fish don't give a crap as long as it isn't Karenia Brevis and/or there isn't an acute die off of carismatic megafauna or prized sportfish.

Brown tide in the dead of winter is not common either.

hmmm, just heard channel 6 new people say something about red tide in lagoon.  someone is going to talk about it.