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Topic Title: Irma - stay or go?
Topic Summary: Models left, right and center
Created On: 09/07/2017 05:14 PM
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/07/2017 05:14 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - palmtreeg - 09/07/2017 05:36 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - freesurfs - 09/07/2017 05:37 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/07/2017 05:59 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - DaveFL76 - 09/07/2017 06:19 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Bamboo - 09/07/2017 06:23 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/07/2017 06:30 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 06:31 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - MikeNeptune - 09/07/2017 06:34 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 06:41 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/07/2017 06:42 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - pumphouse - 09/07/2017 06:46 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - oceanstreet - 09/07/2017 06:47 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/07/2017 07:15 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Cole - 09/07/2017 07:21 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/07/2017 07:33 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - pompano - 09/07/2017 07:40 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 07:45 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - puinsai - 09/07/2017 07:54 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 08:01 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - somebodyelse - 09/08/2017 05:31 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Noworries - 09/08/2017 05:58 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Burry - 09/08/2017 06:15 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Greensleeves - 09/08/2017 06:57 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - moody - 09/08/2017 08:25 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - TONYlookaround - 09/08/2017 09:08 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Zeus - 09/08/2017 06:55 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Hardcore - 09/09/2017 06:50 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Burry - 09/09/2017 07:08 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 07:12 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/10/2017 01:09 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - ww - 09/07/2017 08:01 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 08:06 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Cole - 09/07/2017 08:19 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - surfrc - 09/07/2017 08:40 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 08:45 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - frothing321 - 09/07/2017 08:49 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - surfrc - 09/07/2017 09:23 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - WG - 09/07/2017 09:25 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - gallydif - 09/07/2017 09:27 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - surfrc - 09/07/2017 09:36 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - WG - 09/07/2017 09:49 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - ww - 09/07/2017 10:28 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - RocketSurf - 09/08/2017 12:30 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 03:48 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/08/2017 04:55 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 09:43 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Noworries - 09/08/2017 05:05 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/08/2017 09:10 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - IamSAW2 - 09/08/2017 09:50 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - BLat - 09/08/2017 09:57 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - TodoBien07 - 09/08/2017 10:07 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - fsusurfer - 09/08/2017 10:25 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Cole - 09/08/2017 10:47 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Noworries - 09/08/2017 10:23 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scostuart - 09/08/2017 04:23 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 10:48 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - garcia - 09/08/2017 11:11 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - stokedpanda - 09/08/2017 11:39 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - JBSURF - 09/08/2017 02:27 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/08/2017 03:49 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - CERTON - 09/08/2017 04:17 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scostuart - 09/08/2017 04:21 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Central Floridave - 09/08/2017 04:26 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 04:54 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 04:59 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 05:16 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/08/2017 05:44 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SURFSMURF - 09/08/2017 05:46 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 05:52 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/08/2017 06:02 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 04:19 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - 3rdworldlover - 09/09/2017 04:58 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Noworries - 09/09/2017 05:00 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/09/2017 05:02 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - surfsail - 09/09/2017 05:27 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - MikeNeptune - 09/09/2017 06:18 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - StirfryMcflurry - 09/09/2017 06:32 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - pompano - 09/09/2017 06:45 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/09/2017 07:15 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/09/2017 07:34 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - MikeNeptune - 09/09/2017 07:37 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scostuart - 09/09/2017 07:41 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - mushyman - 09/09/2017 07:17 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - palmtreeg - 09/09/2017 08:51 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 08:55 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SpinK - 09/09/2017 09:19 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - BLat - 09/09/2017 09:24 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - puinsai - 09/09/2017 09:25 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - palmtreeg - 09/09/2017 09:32 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Pakalolo - 09/09/2017 09:38 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/09/2017 09:45 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - garcia - 09/09/2017 09:57 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 10:18 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/09/2017 10:43 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scostuart - 09/09/2017 11:08 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - daner - 09/09/2017 11:00 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 11:03 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - daner - 09/09/2017 11:06 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 11:15 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - equipeola - 09/09/2017 11:25 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 12:19 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 07:28 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - daner - 09/09/2017 02:08 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/09/2017 04:27 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/09/2017 04:36 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - MikeNeptune - 09/09/2017 04:44 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - onebuck - 09/09/2017 05:03 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/09/2017 05:09 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - equipeola - 09/09/2017 06:36 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/09/2017 05:02 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Burry - 09/10/2017 04:18 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SURFSMURF - 09/10/2017 05:09 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/10/2017 05:34 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - garcia - 09/10/2017 06:48 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/10/2017 07:01 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Greensleeves - 09/10/2017 07:17 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/10/2017 07:27 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Karma - 09/10/2017 07:28 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Greensleeves - 09/10/2017 08:20 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 08:49 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/10/2017 09:18 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Greensleeves - 09/10/2017 09:39 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/10/2017 09:40 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/10/2017 10:06 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Greensleeves - 09/10/2017 10:20 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/10/2017 10:39 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/10/2017 11:27 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Cole - 09/10/2017 11:46 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scostuart - 09/10/2017 11:52 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 12:49 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - StirfryMcflurry - 09/10/2017 12:59 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/10/2017 01:10 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/10/2017 01:37 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - surfsail - 09/11/2017 01:19 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/11/2017 06:31 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/11/2017 06:36 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/10/2017 01:52 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 02:21 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/10/2017 02:42 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 03:32 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - slideaway - 09/10/2017 04:47 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/10/2017 05:20 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/10/2017 05:58 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SpinK - 09/10/2017 06:22 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 06:34 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - palmtreeg - 09/10/2017 06:53 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/10/2017 07:43 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SpinK - 09/11/2017 06:29 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/11/2017 06:37 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SpinK - 09/11/2017 07:17 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/11/2017 07:25 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/11/2017 08:48 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/11/2017 09:48 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - JBSURF - 09/11/2017 12:20 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/11/2017 12:53 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - MikeNeptune - 09/11/2017 01:17 PM  
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 09/09/2017 05:02 AM
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miker

Posts: 7813
Joined Forum: 04/05/2010

Thank you Cuba
 09/09/2017 05:27 AM
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surfsail

Posts: 5074
Joined Forum: 07/28/2003

Def glad I decided to stick it out.. Weather channel showng 83 mph.. I'm beachside so it will prob be real gusty but no massive damage unless we get tornado related action.. Hopefully the fence stays ut!

My 'flee option' was O'town Windermere area..  Did'n want to be stuck in a forest of downed oak trees blocking every damned road.

Gun shy and keeping a very close eye.  If it does a hard 90 north at this point we'd all be up shits creek.. Any later turns and the land will weaken it before it hit's us.

Not sure if I'm going to board up - pain in the ass! Waiting to see if the gulf is the real target..

in '04 Charlie did the cross state treck and I got was a LOT of fronds but no structural damage.  

Looks like Jose may be a wave machine for us - at least briefly.

Jose's follow up (yet to be named) - may come our way. 

Still have the ply from last year but don't know if i want to have to patch the holes - havent got around to painting them,,



-------------------------
There are NO white people at all in the Bible... take all the time you need with that...
Please stop feeding the trolls - they will go away if you do...

Edited: 09/09/2017 at 05:42 AM by surfsail
 09/09/2017 06:18 AM
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MikeNeptune

Posts: 109
Joined Forum: 07/31/2017

Jose already has a named follow up in the gulf. 



-------------------------

See y’all next summer. 

 09/09/2017 06:32 AM
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StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 8746
Joined Forum: 08/17/2016

Originally posted by: miker Thank you Cuba

 

if cuba was not there, she'd drift MORE west into the gulf.

 09/09/2017 06:45 AM
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pompano

Posts: 5804
Joined Forum: 01/06/2005

Ars Technica on the Irma modeling accuracy.  As the media have also been giving kudos to the Europeans.  

 09/09/2017 07:15 AM
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scombrid

Posts: 18042
Joined Forum: 07/24/2003

Originally posted by: pompano Ars Technica on the Irma modeling accuracy.  As the media have also been giving kudos to the Europeans.  

 

Yep. Been watching ECMWF and UKM kick GFS's butt on this one. 

UKMET from a couple of days ago had the current position over north Cuba while the others had it in open water headed into Miami.



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...

 09/09/2017 07:34 AM
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miker

Posts: 7813
Joined Forum: 04/05/2010

Originally posted by: StirfryMcflurry

Originally posted by: miker Thank you Cuba




 




if cuba was not there, she'd drift MORE west into the gulf.



Cool story, map that one out for those of us without access to the models predicting what would happen without Cuba being there. Wasn't aware anyone was wasting time and money on nonsense like that.

 09/09/2017 07:37 AM
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MikeNeptune

Posts: 109
Joined Forum: 07/31/2017

No, he's got a point. If Irma identifies as an American citizen she might be forced to avoid Cuba. New laws and all that.  Thanks Trump. 



-------------------------

See y’all next summer. 

 09/09/2017 07:41 AM
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scostuart

Posts: 259
Joined Forum: 12/28/2007

Originally posted by: MikeNeptune No, he's got a point. If Irma identifies as an American citizen she might be forced to avoid Cuba. New laws and all that.  Thanks Trump. 

 

Take comments like above to NSR please......this thread has actually been informative and a helpful discussion.



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Waiting for waves is ok......most people spend their lives waiting for nothing.

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