09/07/2017 07:33 PM
|
rc
Posts: 1147
Joined Forum: 01/02/2006
|
Levi speaks of a water event of biblical proportions.
I actually got scared, really scared, for the first time on this one.
Been here since '65 and this feels like the big one.
Someone talk this down from it's peak, but Levi makes a compelling argument.
|
|
|
09/07/2017 07:40 PM
|
pompano
Posts: 5804
Joined Forum: 01/06/2005
|
torn. only a block in and there is park at the end of my street so water will flow freely from the ocean if we get cat 3 E winds for any sustained period. I have a fully poured safe room with metal door and a poured east wall, but my roof shingles will start to go at > 120mph. Already have seen that. Add two older ladies in the mix to care for and I'm really hoping it chews up the middle of the state and the winds drop and we will have less storm surge to contend with. I just now returned from California. I-95 N and 528 W were solid headlights.
|
|
|
09/07/2017 07:45 PM
|
paddleout
Posts: 11812
Joined Forum: 07/31/2003
|
OK I'll talk it down a little-
check out this WU track:
(EDIT: above image has updated itself to current forecast)
note you will see they have the storm still a CAT4 all the way up to like Delray Beach after a CAT4 landfall.
I am no meteorologist, but that would suprise me. That's alot of land it would have to move over- I hate to say it, but I'll believe it is a CAT4 as far north as Delray when I actually see it.. I think it will be a CAT 3 by then. And possibly a CAT 2 by Brevard if it stays over land.
That is, unless I'm missing something, like the Everglades can power a hurricane as well as the ocean..
but looks at these two historical charts from Frances and Jeanne and see how fast they dropped once the storms made landfall.
but then theres this:
Edited: 09/08/2017 at 03:50 AM by paddleout
|
|
|
09/07/2017 07:54 PM
|
puinsai
Posts: 88
Joined Forum: 09/08/2011
|
Don't forget about David in 1979. Maybe someone with tech skills can post its track image.
|
|
|
09/07/2017 08:01 PM
|
paddleout
Posts: 11812
Joined Forum: 07/31/2003
|
Here you go:
This one is scary- it actually went UP- was it half over water?
|
|
|
09/08/2017 05:31 AM
|
somebodyelse
Posts: 6770
Joined Forum: 06/29/2006
|
David came right up the coast, the eye came right over downtown melbourne, so the hot side was over the ocean the whole time.
We didn't have any damage and had not boarded up.
I am in north indialantic dead in the middle of the island, I'm staying...
Or rather I'm staying until tonight when I reassess.
And Saturday morning when I reassess, and Saturday night and Sunday morning....
So I'm staying until I leave, I have a freind in Viera who will rent me a room for a case of beer and a bottle of wine.
If it is to be Orlando and a cat2 or 3, I'm staying and surfing the offshores Monday morning...
-------------------------
|
|
|
09/08/2017 05:58 AM
|
Noworries
Posts: 107
Joined Forum: 09/04/2015
|
Originally posted by: somebodyelse
David came right up the coast, the eye came right over downtown melbourne, so the hot side was over the ocean the whole time.
Dude, I surfed David the morning after it passed over. It was like one of those movies, a lot less people on the island back in 1979, Shagg's Surf Shop and the boardwalk was about it. I went out with 3 other friends, we were the only guys in the water, head high reelers. I still remember seeing the lines rolling in when we pulled up. No parking meters, no people, just beach and surf.
Edited: 09/08/2017 at 06:43 AM by Noworries
|
|
|
09/08/2017 06:15 AM
|
Burry
Posts: 6134
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003
|
Dingpatch....that is really living "off the grid!"
be Safe! say hi to Mrs Patch!
-------------------------
BurrysBreak
Inflation caused The BIG BANG...look it up!
|
|
|
09/08/2017 06:57 AM
|
Greensleeves
Posts: 20478
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003
|
Cole is right. Wind is one thing storm surge is the real deal. Somebody else said he's monitoring and that is right still at least 36 hours before you absolutely have to make a call. Lots of data to come.
Yes stayed for Floyd and the waves the day after it passed were unreal. But that one was offshore enough to keep sending waves. This thing plows onshore and the waves will be just normalish if that after it passes.
Tightening things down.
Staying barrier island side at about 60 stay 40 leave.
|
|
|
09/08/2017 08:25 AM
|
moody
Posts: 3577
Joined Forum: 07/24/2003
|
The daughter evac'd to Ocala with about 10 horses, so guess where the storm is going? they are in a good concrete barn with attached apartments, though, so should be fine, also considering it'll likely stand down a bit during the drag over land. they are set up for the long term with generators and right near feed stores for the horses, at least (that can be a real problem during storms). We are staying put on the mainland, but it was a really tough decision for a while.
-------------------------
[Feminism is] a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians. ~Pat Robertson
|
|
|
09/08/2017 09:08 AM
|
TONYlookaround
Posts: 1852
Joined Forum: 08/29/2004
|
both next door neighbors are staying. One is a Doc and his word was it's a 2 in Melbourne, passing to the west. will be a 2 or less beachside. strong 2 in orlando, I think - but down trees will prevent you from moving for a while. I got pinned in for an extra day because of road closures. (evacuating for Floyd in 99 - going to fam in Deltona). They got destroyed - and it was a MISS. never lost power at the house beachside.
-------------------------
it's never too late to have a happy childhood...
|
|
|
09/08/2017 06:55 AM
|
Zeus
Posts: 1401
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003
|
Ahh David. He was a good one. I remember driving from work at MCO, after it was secure and shut down for David, to the FIT aera right in the middle of the storm. It got pretty sketchy on 520 and I95 once I passed the St Johns, but then when I pulled into my driveway there were calm winds and stars over head. It was the only eye I've ever seen. I don't mean to be encouraging, but it was worth the risk and I'd do it again in a heart beat.
The very next morning Sebastain was rocking old school south swell with only the core crowd. Then on the way back north, I remember filling my truck bed up with blue crabs as they ran across A1A from one flooded ditch to the other. It was a crab bonanza the likes of which I'd never seen.
Seeing the eye of a storm, catching perfect SI wedges til I could barely walk and all the tasty blue crabs I could ever want all in 12 hours. Pretty damn cool David. Pretty cool indeed.
|
|
|
09/09/2017 06:50 AM
|
Hardcore
Posts: 2
Joined Forum: 08/23/2009
|
irma seems to duplicate david track....
-------------------------
life is like riding a bicycle. To keep your balance you have to keep moving. A Einstein
|
|
|
09/09/2017 07:08 AM
|
Burry
Posts: 6134
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003
|
St Lucie County just lifted "Mandatory" evacuation for the Barrier Islands to Voluntary!
mmmmm?
-------------------------
BurrysBreak
Inflation caused The BIG BANG...look it up!
|
|
|
09/09/2017 07:12 AM
|
HAPDigital
Posts: 16855
Joined Forum: 11/29/2004
|
Originally posted by: Burry
St Lucie County just lifted "Mandatory" evacuation for the Barrier Islands to Voluntary!
mmmmm?
An hour ago Brevard EOC reported it is still mandatory for MI and beach side residents.
|
|
|
09/10/2017 01:09 PM
|
dingpatch
Posts: 19090
Joined Forum: 07/24/2003
|
-------------------------
Dora Hates You
|
|
|
09/07/2017 08:01 PM
|
ww
Posts: 16107
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007
|
Irma's an extra-large storm. It could be over Lake Wales but would have large expanses of itself over the Atlantic and Gulf for nourishment. Stil would be in the process of collapsing, but perhaps more slowly than Charley, which moved fast enough to remain a hurricane while going from Punta Gorda to Daytona.
|
|
|