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Topic Title: Irma - stay or go?
Topic Summary: Models left, right and center
Created On: 09/07/2017 05:14 PM
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/07/2017 05:14 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - palmtreeg - 09/07/2017 05:36 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - freesurfs - 09/07/2017 05:37 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/07/2017 05:59 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - DaveFL76 - 09/07/2017 06:19 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Bamboo - 09/07/2017 06:23 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/07/2017 06:30 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 06:31 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - MikeNeptune - 09/07/2017 06:34 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 06:41 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/07/2017 06:42 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - pumphouse - 09/07/2017 06:46 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - oceanstreet - 09/07/2017 06:47 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/07/2017 07:15 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Cole - 09/07/2017 07:21 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/07/2017 07:33 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - pompano - 09/07/2017 07:40 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 07:45 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - puinsai - 09/07/2017 07:54 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 08:01 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - somebodyelse - 09/08/2017 05:31 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Noworries - 09/08/2017 05:58 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Burry - 09/08/2017 06:15 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Greensleeves - 09/08/2017 06:57 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - moody - 09/08/2017 08:25 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - TONYlookaround - 09/08/2017 09:08 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Zeus - 09/08/2017 06:55 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Hardcore - 09/09/2017 06:50 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Burry - 09/09/2017 07:08 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 07:12 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/10/2017 01:09 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - ww - 09/07/2017 08:01 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 08:06 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Cole - 09/07/2017 08:19 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - surfrc - 09/07/2017 08:40 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 08:45 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - frothing321 - 09/07/2017 08:49 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - surfrc - 09/07/2017 09:23 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - WG - 09/07/2017 09:25 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - gallydif - 09/07/2017 09:27 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - surfrc - 09/07/2017 09:36 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - WG - 09/07/2017 09:49 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - ww - 09/07/2017 10:28 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - RocketSurf - 09/08/2017 12:30 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 03:48 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/08/2017 04:55 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/07/2017 09:43 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Noworries - 09/08/2017 05:05 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/08/2017 09:10 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - IamSAW2 - 09/08/2017 09:50 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - BLat - 09/08/2017 09:57 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - TodoBien07 - 09/08/2017 10:07 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - fsusurfer - 09/08/2017 10:25 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Cole - 09/08/2017 10:47 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Noworries - 09/08/2017 10:23 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scostuart - 09/08/2017 04:23 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 10:48 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - garcia - 09/08/2017 11:11 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - stokedpanda - 09/08/2017 11:39 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - JBSURF - 09/08/2017 02:27 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/08/2017 03:49 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - CERTON - 09/08/2017 04:17 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scostuart - 09/08/2017 04:21 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Central Floridave - 09/08/2017 04:26 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 04:54 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 04:59 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 05:16 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/08/2017 05:44 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SURFSMURF - 09/08/2017 05:46 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/08/2017 05:52 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/08/2017 06:02 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 04:19 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - 3rdworldlover - 09/09/2017 04:58 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Noworries - 09/09/2017 05:00 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/09/2017 05:02 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - surfsail - 09/09/2017 05:27 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - MikeNeptune - 09/09/2017 06:18 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - StirfryMcflurry - 09/09/2017 06:32 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - pompano - 09/09/2017 06:45 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/09/2017 07:15 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/09/2017 07:34 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - MikeNeptune - 09/09/2017 07:37 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scostuart - 09/09/2017 07:41 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - mushyman - 09/09/2017 07:17 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - palmtreeg - 09/09/2017 08:51 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 08:55 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SpinK - 09/09/2017 09:19 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - BLat - 09/09/2017 09:24 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - puinsai - 09/09/2017 09:25 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - palmtreeg - 09/09/2017 09:32 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Pakalolo - 09/09/2017 09:38 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - paddleout - 09/09/2017 09:45 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - garcia - 09/09/2017 09:57 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 10:18 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/09/2017 10:43 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scostuart - 09/09/2017 11:08 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - daner - 09/09/2017 11:00 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 11:03 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - daner - 09/09/2017 11:06 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 11:15 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - equipeola - 09/09/2017 11:25 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/09/2017 12:19 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 07:28 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - daner - 09/09/2017 02:08 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/09/2017 04:27 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/09/2017 04:36 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - MikeNeptune - 09/09/2017 04:44 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - onebuck - 09/09/2017 05:03 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/09/2017 05:09 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - equipeola - 09/09/2017 06:36 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/09/2017 05:02 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Burry - 09/10/2017 04:18 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SURFSMURF - 09/10/2017 05:09 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/10/2017 05:34 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - garcia - 09/10/2017 06:48 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/10/2017 07:01 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Greensleeves - 09/10/2017 07:17 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/10/2017 07:27 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Karma - 09/10/2017 07:28 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Greensleeves - 09/10/2017 08:20 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 08:49 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/10/2017 09:18 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Greensleeves - 09/10/2017 09:39 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/10/2017 09:40 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/10/2017 10:06 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Greensleeves - 09/10/2017 10:20 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/10/2017 10:39 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/10/2017 11:27 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - Cole - 09/10/2017 11:46 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scostuart - 09/10/2017 11:52 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 12:49 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - StirfryMcflurry - 09/10/2017 12:59 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/10/2017 01:10 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/10/2017 01:37 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - surfsail - 09/11/2017 01:19 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/11/2017 06:31 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/11/2017 06:36 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/10/2017 01:52 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 02:21 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - rc - 09/10/2017 02:42 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 03:32 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - slideaway - 09/10/2017 04:47 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/10/2017 05:20 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - miker - 09/10/2017 05:58 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SpinK - 09/10/2017 06:22 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/10/2017 06:34 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - palmtreeg - 09/10/2017 06:53 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/10/2017 07:43 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SpinK - 09/11/2017 06:29 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/11/2017 06:37 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - SpinK - 09/11/2017 07:17 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - sw - 09/11/2017 07:25 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - scombrid - 09/11/2017 08:48 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - dingpatch - 09/11/2017 09:48 AM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - JBSURF - 09/11/2017 12:20 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - HAPDigital - 09/11/2017 12:53 PM  
 Irma - stay or go?   - MikeNeptune - 09/11/2017 01:17 PM  
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 09/08/2017 09:50 AM
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IamSAW2

Posts: 189
Joined Forum: 01/10/2014

we fled to Grainsville this am (left 5am) back roads ok, but I-75 and turnpike was a parking lot.  Took 5 hours and I think it's normally 3 1/2.  Saw fuel truck police escort.  Plenty of gas stations open , some long lines, some open pumps.  Yeah it looks like we zigged right into the path, but I'm betting that time, distance and land will help, plus this house we are staying is in rock solid,  high and dry and underground utilties, so hopefully we will not loose power too long.  Stay safe every one, do what's right for your family, not your ego.  Sheltering in place may be the safest place if you have the right location and structure.  Not sure I would stay beachside unless it was in a 2nd story concrete structure. 

 09/08/2017 09:57 AM
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BLat

Posts: 1017
Joined Forum: 10/28/2010

What is the argument that this storm surge will be worse than Matthew? 

 

I've been hearing it, but nobody is explaining why -  other than the east coast now being in "the NE quad" - but Matt was literally on the coast and the entire NE quad was pushing water towards the beach and my house in North Jax beach never got close to flooding. Maybe they planned it well, or maybe we got lucky? 

 

This mornings Jax evac orders are confusing with the westward track. 

 09/08/2017 10:07 AM
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TodoBien07

Posts: 79
Joined Forum: 08/07/2012

Storm surge goes where the storm goes, just like fetch and our swells, so in this case the greatest energy should be going to the north, parallel to our coast.  I'm guesssing this storm will be a non issue by the time it reaches Brevard County.

 09/08/2017 10:25 AM
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fsusurfer

Posts: 155
Joined Forum: 12/18/2008

Are they keeping the bridges open Sat? Probably not evacuating until Sat afternoon from Satellite and was wondering if they'll let me over to the mainland.



-------------------------

Where is Playalinda?

 09/08/2017 10:47 AM
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Cole

Posts: 68516
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

The Florida gulf coast barely had TS winds during Matthew, let's hope we get that break this time.

I'm headed to Orlando to help the elderly and infirm, if it wasn't for that I would be staying in Cocoa Beach. I looks like I will be taking a road trip for more inclement weather.

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I was right.
 09/08/2017 10:23 AM
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Noworries

Posts: 107
Joined Forum: 09/04/2015

Originally posted by: BLat

What is the argument that this storm surge will be worse than Matthew? 


 


I've been hearing it, but nobody is explaining why -  other than the east coast now being in "the NE quad" - but Matt was literally on the coast and the entire NE quad was pushing water towards the beach and my house in North Jax beach never got close to flooding. Maybe they planned it well, or maybe we got lucky? 


 


This mornings Jax evac orders are confusing with the westward track. 


And Matthew was a 3, no?

 09/08/2017 04:23 PM
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scostuart

Posts: 259
Joined Forum: 12/28/2007

Originally posted by: Noworries
Originally posted by: BLat What is the argument that this storm surge will be worse than Matthew?    I've been hearing it, but nobody is explaining why -  other than the east coast now being in "the NE quad" - but Matt was literally on the coast and the entire NE quad was pushing water towards the beach and my house in North Jax beach never got close to flooding. Maybe they planned it well, or maybe we got lucky?    This mornings Jax evac orders are confusing with the westward track. 
And Matthew was a 3, no?

Matthew had transitioned from a weak Cat 4 to a strong Cat 3 as he passed Brevard county.



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Waiting for waves is ok......most people spend their lives waiting for nothing.

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