2nd Light Forums |
Topic Title: Winter returns. Topic Summary: Created On: 11/30/2020 04:43 AM |
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch |
- Central Floridave | - 11/30/2020 04:43 AM |
- ww | - 11/30/2020 11:04 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 12/01/2020 10:33 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 12/02/2020 07:32 AM |
- weldertom2 | - 12/03/2020 11:39 AM |
- TATTOO74 | - 12/03/2020 11:45 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 12/03/2020 02:11 PM |
- surftech | - 12/06/2020 11:35 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 12/07/2020 05:37 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 12/07/2020 05:42 AM |
- ww | - 12/08/2020 11:40 PM |
- TATTOO74 | - 12/09/2020 05:35 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 12/09/2020 10:18 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 12/09/2020 01:50 PM |
Topic Tools
|
11/30/2020 04:43 AM
|
|
It was a nice two week Autumn. Winter returns today.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 357 AM EST Mon Nov 30 2020 .DISCUSSION... ...A Few Strong Storms This Morning Across East-Central Florida... ...Cold Temperatures Beginning Tonight through early Wednesday, with Frost Possible Wednesday Morning... Today-Tonight...A strong cold front will move across the Florida peninsula today, initially bringing a chance for strong storms this morning, before passage of the front. A developing line of showers currently over the eastern gulf will quickly cross toward central Florida early today. While most of this activity will move over east central Florida after sunrise, fast-moving showers or storms may reach portions of Lake and northwestern Volusia county by 6 AM. Primary threats with any stronger storms will be wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph and occasional to frequent lightning, but an isolated damaging wind gust up to 60 mph cannot be ruled out. Overall confidence is somewhat low in severe potential, with the consensus of regional guidance indicating a weakening trend as the broken line of showers/storms crosses southward over the area. Best potential for stronger storms will be roughly along and north of a line from Poinciana to Saint Cloud and Cocoa Beach. Main storm threats will be damaging wind gusts of 40-50 mph and lightning strikes, with isolated gusts up to 60 mph possible. The trailing cold front should move south of I-4 around 11 AM, and Melbourne by early afternoon, and clearing the Treasure Coast around sunset. Temperatures will reach highest of the day rather early in the north, while being able to make it to the U70s or even 80 over South Brevard Co to the Treasure Coast before rain chcs increase. Tonight, rapid cooling as temps fall through the 50s and into the 40s. Expect lows in the upper 30s to low 40s along and north of Interstate 4, and in the mid to upper 40s south, except low 50s in Martin County. West to Northwest winds around 10 mph will result in wind chills in the mid to upper 30s from Kissimmee to Scottsmoor northward. Tue-Tue night...By far, the coldest day-night of the fall season thus far is on tap for ECFL. Deep eastern CONUS mid-upper trough will move slowly eastward, leading to a continued strong CAA pattern. Model consensus keeps the surface high center west of the longitude of the peninsular spine (near the central AL/GA border) through 12Z, with the H925-H85 farther SW over souther MS/AL. This should prevent low level flow from acquiring any meaningful onshore component along the coast, keeping a light N-NW drainage flow in place through sunrise. The only potential for *slight* mitigation of the cold that I can see in the model guidance is some possible CI late, hinted at in the upper RH progs, especially in the GFS. However, the upper level flow looks confluent, which would inhibit significant coverage/thickness of any high cloud deck. Therefore the forecast remains largely unchanged. Guidance has trended colder for Tue maxes, not surprising since MOS usually overdoes maxes in strong post-frontal CAA. The forecast now shows U50s for all but the Lake O/Treasure Coast areas (L60s), only ~55F across the far north. Mins will drop down to 34-36F over rural northern Lake/Volusia Counties, with U30s well down the peninsula to Lake O and the interior Treasure Coast counties. Slightly less cold along the Space/Treasure Coast barrier islands (L-M40s) and Martin County (M-U40s). Even with a light drainage flow in place, patchy frost will be possible in wind protected areas, especially inland from the immediate coast. Wed-Fri...Fast/flat mid-upper flow pattern continues from mid-late week. Weak vort ripples embedded in the southern stream moves from the GOMEX across FL Wed night though Thu night, leading to an increase in clouds/sprinkles and perhaps some accumulating light rain showers Thu night-Fri, possibly starting as early as late Thu afternoon. As the large cold surface high moves offshore the SE/mid Atlantic coast, winds veer from NW/Wed to E/Thu and SE/Thu night. A northern stream short wave trough is forecast to drag another cool front across the FL panhandle Fri and into the peninsula Fri night. Veering flow will modify temps through the period. Maxes mainly in the 60s for Wed with mins randing from the M-U40s NW of I-4 to the U50S-L60s along the Treasure coast, where winds will have veered onshore. Maxes in the L-M70s Thu and M-U70s with mins U50s-L60s. Next Weekend-Mon...While differences continue in the model handling of individual short wave features, the longer wave pattern will feature a trough over the eastern CONUS. This would keep ECFL in a NW low-mid level flow pattern, with dry wx and below normal temps through the period. |
|
|
|
11/30/2020 11:04 PM
|
|
Perhaps 39 in Vero Tuesday night? Fairly serious.
|
|
|
|
12/01/2020 10:33 AM
|
|
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1020 AM EST Tue Dec 1 2020 Cooler and drier air has settled over the FL peninsula behind the frontal passage last night. A high pressure system will settle just north of the region, leading to northerly flow around 5-10 mph, with gusts up to 20 mph possible. A chilly day is forecast for today, with highs only reaching in the upper 50s across the north and low to mid 60s down south. Some scattered high clouds remain as of 10 AM, but these clouds are decreasing and is expected to be mostly clear to clear today. No mentionable rain chances across the CWA this afternoon and evening. Much lower dewpoints across the area today will set the stage for overnight lows in the 30s tonight; with lows in the low 30s near Lake George area and mid to upper 30s everywhere else, except in the low to mid 40s in Martin county. Expect patchy frost inland from pre-dawn through sunrise Wed. |
|
|
|
12/02/2020 07:32 AM
|
|
Anybody get any frost? 41F this morn at my house. no frost.
|
|
|
|
12/03/2020 11:39 AM
|
|
46F, Downtown Melbourne Beach yesterday morning. No frost.
|
|
|
|
12/03/2020 11:45 AM
|
|
Not here, but a friend up in Mims did
Edited: 12/03/2020 at 11:46 AM by TATTOO74 |
|
|
|
12/03/2020 02:11 PM
|
|
Mims must have been the cutoff line. Friend in Titusville said no frost. Oviedo frost. DT Orlando none.
|
|
|
|
12/06/2020 11:35 AM
|
|
My soursop tree just started to fruit and now it dropped a lot of leaves. I knew it was cold sensitive but thought it had enough protection.
|
|
|
|
12/07/2020 05:37 AM
|
|
i think soursop is a true tropical. Good Luck!
Looks like dropping into low 40s next couple of days, then back to mid-70s by weekend. Got some rain overnight. Rye grass looking pretty great! |
|
|
|
12/07/2020 05:42 AM
|
|
Today...A quick improvement from north to south into this
afternoon as a cold front ushers in drier, cooler air. Clearing out north of I-4 by late morning, the Space Coast by early afternoon, and Treasure Coast by mid afternoon. Cool air keeps highs in the mid/upper 60s from Melbourne north, and low 70s for the Treasure Coast/Okeechobee region. Breezy behind the front late this morning with occasional wind gusts up to 15-20 mph possible. Tonight...A secondary reinforcing upper trough sweeps through the region this evening as much drier air moves in, dropping PWATs below 0.25" areawide. Temperatures steadily drop through the night, reaching the low to mid 40s, and normally cooler spots in northern Lake/Volusia counties could drop into the upper 30s. A tad warmer in coastal Martin County and the barrier islands south of the Cape where lows settle in the upper 40s to low 50s. The combination of colder air and northwest winds around 10 mph result in wind chill values as low as 33-38 degrees for inland areas and along the coast from Melbourne north. Tue-Thu...A much cooler/drier airmass will be in place across east central FL during this time. Upper level troughiness will persist along the Atlantic Seaboard and southeast U.S. and will help reinforce the cool and dry air. This will be a period of below average temperatures and no rainfall. After a chilly start to Tue morning, highs will only recover into the L60s on average. Tue night/Wed morning will see widespread lows in the M-U30s with some lower 40 degree readings along the immediate coast. We may have to add some patchy frost to the grids/zones for this night. Wed highs will approach the L-M60s. Another chilly overnight Wed into Thu morning as lows will realize U30s to L40s with perhaps some M-U40s along the immediate Space/Treasure coasts and adjacent barrier islands. Highs on Thu recover into the U60s. Winds will generally be NW/W. Skies will generally be MClear to PCloudy. Fri-Sun...Surface high pressure that has been across the region will get nudged into the western Atlc ahead of an approaching cold front forecast to move across the area later in the weekend. Keeping conditions mainly dry for now, but may eventually have to add some PoPs as moisture increases ahead of approaching, but weakening frontal boundary. Highs mainly in the 70s with lows in the 50s and some 60s near the coast. |
|
|
|
12/08/2020 11:40 PM
|
|
Sebastian Inlet reporting water temps 50-60. Presumably chilled water coming out of the Indian River.
|
|
|
|
12/09/2020 05:35 AM
|
|
Frost in Palm Bay this am. Coworkers actually had to scrape their windshield!
|
|
|
|
12/09/2020 10:18 AM
|
|
39F reported in Melbourne over night.
|
|
|
|
12/09/2020 01:50 PM
|
|
Today on the North side of a house, a big dead cuban tree frog with obvious freeze burns. Lizards moving slow. They got shocked last night!
|
|
|
FORUMS
:
Central Florida Palm's Gardening Forum
:
Winter returns.
|
Topic Tools
|
FuseTalk Basic Edition - © 1999-2024 FuseTalk Inc. All rights reserved.
First there was Air Jordan .