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Topic Title: Big Wednesday.
Topic Summary: Check your forecasts.
Created On: 01/31/2024 07:38 PM
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch
 Big Wednesday.   - johnnyboy - 01/31/2024 07:38 PM  
 Big Wednesday.   - ww - 01/31/2024 09:34 PM  
 Big Wednesday.   - Central Floridave - 02/01/2024 06:33 AM  
 Big Wednesday.   - johnnyboy - 02/03/2024 12:21 PM  
 Big Wednesday.   - Central Floridave - 02/04/2024 03:13 PM  
 Big Wednesday.   - Central Floridave - 02/04/2024 03:16 PM  
 Big Wednesday.   - ww - 02/04/2024 10:47 PM  
 Big Wednesday.   - Cole - 02/06/2024 04:45 AM  
 Big Wednesday.   - Central Floridave - 02/06/2024 06:07 AM  
 Big Wednesday.   - LBLarry - 02/06/2024 08:05 AM  
 Big Wednesday.   - johnnyboy - 02/06/2024 08:36 AM  
 Big Wednesday.   - ww - 02/06/2024 01:53 PM  
 Big Wednesday.   - ww - 02/06/2024 05:05 PM  
 Big Wednesday.   - ww - 02/06/2024 09:54 PM  
 Big Wednesday.   - tom - 02/07/2024 02:46 AM  
 Big Wednesday.   - Central Floridave - 02/07/2024 05:42 AM  
 Big Wednesday.   - johnnyboy - 02/07/2024 11:14 AM  
 Big Wednesday.   - johnnyboy - 02/07/2024 12:32 PM  
 Big Wednesday.   - ww - 02/07/2024 02:53 PM  
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 01/31/2024 07:38 PM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25392
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

West wind even.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 01/31/2024 09:34 PM
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ww

Posts: 16129
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007

Surf-Forecast has a similar scenario to Surfline, peaking toward midnight, lower during the day Wed. Surfline has energy staying above 1K joules through Friday, with Surf-Forecast dropping off faster.
 02/01/2024 06:33 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52320
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

ECMWF & MRF predicting a strong low off the coast Tuesday. Hope we get favorable winds.
 02/03/2024 12:21 PM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25392
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

We had favorable winds. It seems we don't now.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 02/04/2024 03:13 PM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52320
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Big swell forecast!

Monday Night-Wednesday...The low pressure system moves from the
Florida peninsula and into the western Atlantic Monday night. It
will then remain off of the eastern US coast through midweek, as
secondary axes rotate around the western side of the low.

The big story will be the winds through mid week. The rapidly
tightening pressure gradient as the low moves offshore Monday
evening and becomes a gale will lead to very windy conditions for
east central Florida Monday night. Northerly winds increasing to 20-
30mph by mid-morning on Tuesday. The highest gusts will occur along
the coast, especially north of the Cape initially, with gusts 30-
40mph forecast. Occasionally higher gusts to around 50mph cannot be
ruled out. Will see strong winds spread southward along the coast
through the day on Tuesday. Then, sunset and the farther shift
offshore will allow winds to decrease Tuesday night, though they
will remain elevated through Wednesday, with breezy conditions
persisting, especially along the coast.


Unusually strong winds will cause will cause oblique/pounding surf
and run up to the dune line over at least 3 to 4 high tide cycles
Tue-Wed. Surf heights from 6-12 ft are forecast, with minor to
locally moderate beach erosion. Minor coastal flooding also cannot
be ruled out through Wednesday morning`s high tide.

 02/04/2024 03:16 PM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52320
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Monday Night-Thursday (modified previous)... Dangerous marine
conditions will quickly unfold beginning Monday night. Deep low
pressure will move into the Western Atlantic as high pressure nudges
against it to our northwest, tightening the pressure gradient over
the local Atlantic. Gale conditions are expected, and a Gale Watch
has been issued beginning for the Volusia waters Monday evening,
then spreading southward into Monday night and persisting through
Tuesday night. By daybreak Tuesday, north winds increase to 25-35 KT
with gusts of 35-45 KT. These strong winds will persist through
early Wednesday morning, before slowly subsiding to around 20 KT
Wednesday afternoon. Seas will become extremely rough, with
nearshore waves building to 10-14 FT on Tuesday and Tuesday night,
then up to 15-18 FT in the Gulf Stream. Seas will remain elevated
for a while, only decreasing to 8-12 FT late Wednesday afternoon and
7-11 FT on Thursday. Scattered-numerous showers and isolated
lightning storms are forecast from Monday night through Tuesday
night.

Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm
344 PM EST Sun Feb 4 2024

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION

GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT

MONDAY

West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds.

TUESDAY
North winds 25 to 30 knots, increasing to 30 to 35 knots in the afternoon. Seas 11 to 13 feet with occasional seas to 18 feet.

WEDNESDAY
North winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 10 feet with occasional seas to 14 feet.

THURSDAY
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet.


FRIDAY

Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet.

 02/04/2024 10:47 PM
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ww

Posts: 16129
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007

    Windy shows very interesting storm development. Maybe decent surf around Friday? Surf-Forecast shows very high energy Tuesday PM through Wednesday, somewhat less later. They like late Friday and, even more, Saturday.
    Surfline is forecasting even higher wave energy for noon Tuesday and Wednesday.


Edited: 02/06/2024 at 12:01 AM by ww
 02/06/2024 04:45 AM
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Cole

Posts: 68813
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Full rotation, with tropical storm force winds... in February.

At least it won't be 90 degrees at midnight if the power goes out.

-------------------------
I was right.
 02/06/2024 06:07 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52320
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

TODAY
Northwest winds 30 to 35 knots, becoming north 35 to 40 knots in the afternoon. Seas 9 to 11 feet with occasional seas to 15 feet, building to 11 to 13 feet with occasional seas to 18 feet in the afternoon. A dominant period 8 seconds. Extremely rough on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. A chance of showers.

TONIGHT
North winds 35 to 40 knots, diminishing to 25 to 30 knots after midnight. Seas 12 to 15 feet with occasional seas to 20 feet. A dominant period 12 seconds. Extremely rough on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers in the evening.

WEDNESDAY
North winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 10 to 12 feet with occasional seas to 17 feet, subsiding to 8 to 10 feet with occasional seas to 14 feet in the afternoon. A dominant period 12 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
North winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 8 to 10 feet with occasional seas to 13 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.

THURSDAY
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.

THURSDAY NIGHT
East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet.

FRIDAY
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet.

SATURDAY
South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet.

 02/06/2024 08:05 AM
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LBLarry

Posts: 4723
Joined Forum: 05/25/2004

Bahamas and then PR will go Richter!!

-------------------------
"Most people would die sooner than think; in fact, they do." - Bertrand Russell


"Morality is doing what is right, regardless of what you are told. Religion is doing what you are told, regardless of what is right.


If I do not answer you .... nothing personal, I just have you on ignore.
 02/06/2024 08:36 AM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25392
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Find a cove, surf there.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 02/06/2024 01:53 PM
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ww

Posts: 16129
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007

Rather good swell, awful wind.
 02/06/2024 05:05 PM
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ww

Posts: 16129
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007

    Raw Surf has several impressive photos from today in Palm Beach Co. Facebook & Instagram.
    Classic Jacksonville surfing. Exploit the mess.


Edited: 02/06/2024 at 05:59 PM by ww
 02/06/2024 09:54 PM
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ww

Posts: 16129
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007

    It's not my fault the truck don't surf
 02/07/2024 02:46 AM
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tom

Posts: 8043
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

Craigslist: F-150, low miles, needs detailed, below blue book. A good deal....

-------------------------
add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 02/07/2024 05:42 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52320
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

20 mile buoy maxed out at 19 feet and 14 seconds early this morning!
 02/07/2024 11:14 AM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25392
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

I "surfed" Palm Beach. Two mile long drifts for one 15' closeout that I forced because I would have drifted another mile if I waited for that shoulder that never came. Its huge. I backed out of many waves that the drop looked like the bottom of an elevator shaft. I even had my big wave board and enough foam to theoretically get in. I was humbled and sent home to ponder another day.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 02/07/2024 12:32 PM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25392
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

And the wind was N NE.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 02/07/2024 02:53 PM
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ww

Posts: 16129
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007

Good on you for giving it a try. I spotted a group of four surfers leaving Vero South Beach, and a lifeguard (off duty) was having a good time kiteboarding. Big by SB standards and messy.
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