Not looking too surfy. Quickie after he passes?

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway

If that.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

Sarasota tomorrow evening,
If you don't mind getting stuck in torrential rains and evacuation traffic
Got a snorkel on that land cruiser?

Edited: 09/26/2022 at 11:34 AM by 3rdworldlover

Looking like a setup for extensive storm surge, unlike Charley in 2004. My childhood house off Old Tampa Bay in Tampa will likely get soaked.

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Dora Hates You

Newer models trending east

Wind shear is getting heavy before it hits land.

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I was right.

I was thinking panama city beach, or maybe east of there after where the coast juts out by that air force base. Long drive though and would be one more car on the road which isn't good during what's going to be a very busy evacuation. If I was gonna evacuate that's where I'd go though .

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get up early and go surf - it'll make that hangover go away and/or make the workday more tolerable :)

Cedar Key is gonna go off , again!

Datz right Supa Shreddah StirKook- you be rippin on your stick brah!

StirBarney gonna be Shreeeedin dis one up at his secret spot!!

Cowabungaaa!



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Zzzzzzz.. Zzzzzzz.. Braaaaaapp!

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzz....

Spend your days and nights following other mens. YourTribute troll life is A Mental illness. STOP obsessing over me. Go back to NSR

So, Fuck It! Looks like we (Brevard) probably won't get the Full Monty but, Thursday is going to be Very windy. Fuck it!

Waiting to see what the forecast shows later today but, I have spent the night laying awake listening to howling winds for the last time. So, probably going to load up my Spaniel and head to an Embassy Suites in Palm Beach for Thursday day/night.

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Dora Hates You

tracking reminds me of Charley

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Charley

That Charley wobble to the right caught Naples off guard.
Tampa was the projected middle of the track.

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Dora Hates You

Models have the storm stopping and sitting over somewhere from Charlotte Harbor to Tampa Bay. Odd.

That is when the shear is supposed to come into play.



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I was right.

lot of lightning strikes in the eye wall

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some sw shear already apparent in vis and wv. but core intact and intensifying for now.

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Dora Hates You

Glad I don't live in Rlando.....wait a sec

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Specializing in sarcasm and condescending rhetoric since 1971.

Neat satellite imagery (including video) from NOAA via Satellite Library at Colorado State U.

GFS and Euro updates predicting landfall near Boca Grande

gahhhh daaang! surf d'Keys now, mates--- pics?! or didn',,,,,,,t,,,,, come on Lads! show'm

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ola ~

The Pass will go richter


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"Most people would die sooner than think; in fact, they do." - Bertrand Russell


"Morality is doing what is right, regardless of what you are told. Religion is doing what you are told, regardless of what is right.


If I do not answer you .... nothing personal, I just have you on ignore.

Official Indian River County.

Beaches: County-guarded beach parks (Golden Sands, Wabasso, Tracking Station, and Round Island) will be open Wednesday 9/27 from 9 AM to 5 PM with Lifeguards on duty. Those beach parks will close at 5 pm when the guards go off duty and will be closed Thursday 9/28.

City of Vero Beach beaches open Wed. closed Thurs.

Edited: 09/27/2022 at 06:03 PM by ww

That is a serious chunk of purple heading our way...stay safe all.
See you on the other side. This is going to be a memorable event.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refre...tml?tswind120#contents

Edited: 09/27/2022 at 06:27 PM by RocketSurf

Weird that the Atlantic coast counties have just tropical storm warnings, while those inland (including Orange, Seminole, Osceola, and Lake) have hurricane warnings.

Track is looking a lot like Charley, which did a last-minute switch from its dotted line. Lots of people in Punta Gorda were surprised.

Charley was small-diameter and moved fast, remaining a hurricane until it exited around Daytona. Ian looks to be creeping-slow and have a very spread-out wind field.

CAT 4, 155 MPH, moving in a little sooner than they thought yesterday, and seems to have "dropped" a little bit more south. Forecast to possibly still be a CAT 1 over downtown O'ville tonight ! Was looking to be slower moving and "be here" for 36 hours, now looks like "only" 24 hours. LOTS more wind for Brevard than Charlie, 50-70 with higher gusts.

Last I checked last night, the track exited at Palm Coast. Now, New Smyrna.

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Dora Hates You

"Probably" going to be a CAT 5 soon.

Now a forecast of 12 to 16 feet Storm Surge for Charlotte Harbor!

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Dora Hates You

Well ...... prolly not on the new Charlie 2.0 path




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"Most people would die sooner than think; in fact, they do." - Bertrand Russell


"Morality is doing what is right, regardless of what you are told. Religion is doing what you are told, regardless of what is right.


If I do not answer you .... nothing personal, I just have you on ignore.

celan up sesh friday for CFL?

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I troll 2L.com to be a better person in real life

Ian is the 5th strongest storm to hit the USA !

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Dora Hates You

Naples underwater downtown and Ft. Myers Beach is about 8ft under the Gulf of Mexico. My in-laws a couple miles inland from there off of Summerlin got hit with storm surge too and had to flee from the downstairs to an upstairs unit about 30 minutes ago.

starting to blow pretty good around 5 in Orlando. good luck everyone

The 4 pm report from the nws weather station at punta gorda airport was east wind at 86 with gust to 123. Not often you see speeds like that on land even that close to the coast.

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The rain rate on the north side of the circulation now that it is in decay mode is insane. Step outside in Sebring right now and it is like having a fire hose pointed at you.

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Man, FL was due for one. I am praying for our friends in SWFL, storm surge photos are not looking good.

Tampa bay was bone dry before the storm. Looked like that show beneath the ocean. They warned everyone the water would be back with a vengeance. Tomorrow should bring the flood of pictures.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

18 feet, 9 sec on the 20. Hmmm. Wonder which wax...

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway

Winds are offshore

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Dora Hates You

Neighbor reports one guy paddling at the local, zoom down the beach!

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway

Tropical Storm Ian Discussion Number 28
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1100 AM EDT Thu Sep 29 2022

The center of Ian has emerged into the western Atlantic Ocean to
the north of Cape Canaveral. While satellite images show the
system is becoming a hybrid cyclone, with frontal features outside
of the core of Ian, the winds from multiple sources are notable.
Velocity data from NWS Doppler radar indicate maximum winds of about
70-75 kt at 10,000 ft over land, and sustained winds of about 55 kt
were recorded in the Daytona Beach area earlier this morning. These
data support a higher initial intensity, now 60 kt for this
advisory.

The storm is moving northeastward at about 8 kt. Ian has stubbornly
gone east of the track forecast for the past couple of days and has
moved back over water faster than expected. A mid-level shortwave
trough moving southward across the southern United States should
turn Ian northward overnight and north-northwestward on Saturday.
The official track forecast is shifted to the east, consistent with
the latest consensus guidance.

Ian should move over the Gulf Stream tonight and tomorrow for a
longer period of time than previously anticipated, which should
maintain Ian's central convection. Additionally, an increased
pressure gradient on the northwestern side from a stationary front
near the southeastern US, should provide a boost to the wind speeds
on that side of the storm. We now expect Ian to become a hurricane
again by this evening. As the system approaches South Carolina, Ian
should maintain this intensity, and Hurricane Warnings have been
issued for the entire coast of South Carolina. This scenario is
consistent with the global and regional hurricane model guidance.
It is worth noting that Ian is forecast to have atypical structure
when it nears the southeastern United States, and strong winds will
extend well ahead of the center, even on the northwestern side.


Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge through Friday
along the coasts of northeast Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina.
Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by local
officials.

2. Hurricane-force winds are expected across the South Carolina
coast beginning early Friday, where a Hurricane Warning has been
issued. Hurricane conditions are possible by tonight along the
coasts of northeastern Florida and Georgia, where a Hurricane Watch
is in effect. Preparations should be rushed to completion since
tropical-storm-force winds will begin well before the center
approaches the coast.

3. Ongoing major-to-record river flooding will continue across
portions of central Florida, with considerable flooding in northern
Florida. Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected across
coastal portions of northeast Florida through Friday. Local
significant flooding in southeastern Georgia and eastern South
Carolina is expected through the end of the week.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/1500Z 28.7N 80.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 30/0000Z 30.0N 79.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 30/1200Z 31.8N 79.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 01/0000Z 34.0N 80.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
48H 01/1200Z 35.9N 81.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 02/0000Z 37.0N 82.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

Friday-Saturday...Pleasant weather, especially compared to the last
couple weeks, swoops in behind Tropical Storm Ian as the storm
continues departing to the north-northeast. Substantially drier air
will be wrapped in behind Ian from the northwest, leading to lower
than normal temperatures and pleasant nights. Rain chances stick
around a little on Friday as a few squalls remain possible, then
mostly dry conditions. Breezy to windy conditions Friday, then winds
ease as Ian travels further away. Afternoon highs in the low to mid
80s, maybe upper 80s near Lake O. Overnight lows in the... wait for
it... mid 60s.

Sunday-Thursday...The pleasant weather streak continues through the
middle of the week. Non-existent rain chances as dry air remains in
place over Florida through Tuesday, then moisture begins to return,
bringing some modest rain chances with it. Temperatures remain below
normal, with highs in the low to mid 80s and lows in the mid to
upper 60s.

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Dora Hates You

Wow. Ft Myers was destroyed.

Storm surge flooding in St. Augustine Thurs. afternoon is comparable to what hurricane Matthew did. Third fairly recent flooding in downtown.

The Lee County Sheriff estimates that there could be "hundreds dead"

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Dora Hates You

Storms go from depression to cat5 in 3 days....
Over and over.
just an ordinary climate fluctuation..... right
Stupid....stuupid
Stuuuuuu-piiiid
all a libtard plot

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It's a democratic hoax

From the Washington Post:

Rainfall totals:

Ponce Inlet: 31.52 inches

New Smyrna Beach: 28.60 inches

Titusville: 25.60 inches

Davenport (northeast of Lakeland): 23.87 inches

North Port (near Port Charlotte): 19.01 inches

Orlando: 15.40 inches

Edited: 09/29/2022 at 05:01 PM by ww

Electric power is mostly out in Volusia Co. at 11 pm Sep 29

Flagler to Jax now getting that rake and scrape

fyi, Models showing Ian to kick back a NE swell midweek. knock on wood.

StirBobMcBarney is workin out those inland surf skills for da big wednesday\

Cowabungaa McKoook



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Zzzzzzz.. Zzzzzzz.. Braaaaaapp!

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzz....

i made an appearance yesterday dp at namesakes--first time in the area since june. completely new break, as im sure yall know, but man some of that shorebreak was so much fun and reminded me of waves ive grown up surfing/gulf. occasionally the swells would combine and the tide/surge would drain enough to make a really fun workable wedge. that kind of surf/surfing is some of the best practice you can get. super quick decision making, precise execution, etc etc. cheers. spared again.

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sneedeker

Edited: 10/02/2022 at 01:00 AM by harrietdubman

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Dora Hates You

Edited: 10/06/2022 at 05:46 AM by dingpatch