Hey Matt B ... How the hell o are you ??? :)

2nd Light Forums
Decrease font size
Increase font size
Topic Title: Aug 30
Topic Summary:
Created On: 08/17/2022 04:57 AM
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch
 Aug 30   - rjbeavis - 08/17/2022 04:57 AM  
 Aug 30   - Greensleeves - 08/17/2022 04:59 AM  
 Aug 30   - rjbeavis - 08/17/2022 05:33 AM  
 Aug 30   - Cole - 08/17/2022 06:55 AM  
 Aug 30   - rjbeavis - 08/17/2022 07:00 AM  
 Aug 30   - Greensleeves - 08/17/2022 08:14 AM  
 Aug 30   - chopola - 08/18/2022 09:55 AM  
 Aug 30   - tom - 08/18/2022 06:17 PM  
 Aug 30   - johnnyboy - 08/17/2022 05:46 PM  
 Aug 30   - tom - 08/17/2022 06:11 PM  
 Aug 30   - Cole - 08/18/2022 06:38 AM  
 Aug 30   - surferclimber - 08/24/2022 10:57 PM  
 Aug 30   - Central Floridave - 08/17/2022 07:20 PM  
 Aug 30   - mp2115 - 08/18/2022 03:18 AM  
 Aug 30   - StirfryMcflurry - 08/18/2022 03:30 AM  
 Aug 30   - jdbman - 08/18/2022 03:37 AM  
 Aug 30   - puinsai - 08/18/2022 04:11 AM  
 Aug 30   - mp2115 - 08/18/2022 04:17 AM  
 Aug 30   - LBLarry - 08/18/2022 05:03 AM  
 Aug 30   - long_flaco1 - 08/18/2022 06:26 AM  
 Aug 30   - johnnyboy - 08/18/2022 09:34 AM  
 Aug 30   - johnnyboy - 08/18/2022 06:46 PM  
 Aug 30   - mp2115 - 08/19/2022 03:31 AM  
 Aug 30   - tom - 08/19/2022 09:13 AM  
 Aug 30   - StirfryMcflurry - 08/19/2022 11:11 AM  
 Aug 30   - mp2115 - 08/22/2022 04:37 AM  
 Aug 30   - jdbman - 08/22/2022 05:00 AM  
 Aug 30   - Cole - 08/22/2022 06:29 AM  
 Aug 30   - mp2115 - 08/22/2022 06:59 AM  
 Aug 30   - StirfryMcflurry - 08/22/2022 07:50 AM  
 Aug 30   - johnnyboy - 08/19/2022 11:33 AM  
 Aug 30   - tom - 08/19/2022 12:31 PM  
 Aug 30   - Greensleeves - 08/22/2022 08:33 AM  
 Aug 30   - Central Floridave - 08/22/2022 08:52 AM  
 Aug 30   - nukeh2o - 08/22/2022 11:51 AM  
Topic Tools Topic Tools
View topic in raw text format. Print this topic.
 08/17/2022 04:57 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


rjbeavis

Posts: 157
Joined Forum: 04/21/2006

Big swell showing on surfline forcast...???
 08/17/2022 04:59 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Greensleeves

Posts: 20478
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

For where?
 08/17/2022 05:33 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


rjbeavis

Posts: 157
Joined Forum: 04/21/2006

here attachment is cocoa pier

AUG 30.jpg
AUG 30.jpg  (177 KB)
 08/17/2022 06:55 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Cole

Posts: 68509
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

I love the idea, but they are currently struggling to predict anything more than a few days out.

-------------------------
I was right.
 08/17/2022 07:00 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


rjbeavis

Posts: 157
Joined Forum: 04/21/2006

I understand about the time being a ways out. That is also why i put the question marks. Made me wonder about what are they seeing. But just something to possibly have a hope for even if it ends up being not that big.
 08/17/2022 08:14 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Greensleeves

Posts: 20478
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Storm surf showing hurricane in Atlantic 180 hours out. Floridave corroborated in text.

It's happening

PS hello moderators, could you add this thread to the weak low off coast thread?

Edited: 08/17/2022 at 08:23 AM by Greensleeves
 08/18/2022 09:55 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


chopola

Posts: 1828
Joined Forum: 09/04/2004

Originally posted by: Greensleeves

Storm surf showing hurricane in Atlantic 180 hours out. Floridave corroborated in text.



It's happening



PS hello moderators, could you add this thread to the weak low off coast thread?




There is no week low off the coast. Why would you want to put it there?
 08/18/2022 06:17 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


tom

Posts: 8020
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

Was just looking at the ww3. A trickle this weekend and again late next week? Not withstanding butterfly farts of course. "You boys have had enough beans!"

-------------------------
add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 08/17/2022 05:46 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


johnnyboy

Posts: 25211
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

It's gone now off the forecast.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 08/17/2022 06:11 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


tom

Posts: 8020
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

Finite systems of deterministic ordinary nonlinear differential equations may be designed to represent forced dissipative hydrodynamic flow. Solutions of these equations can be identified with trajectories in phase space. For those systems with bounded solutions, it is found that nonperiodic solutions are ordinarily unstable with respect to small modifications, so that slightly differing initial states can evolve into considerably different states. Systems with bounded solutions are shown to possess bounded numerical solutions. A simple system representing cellular convection is solved numerically. All of the solutions are found to be unstable, and almost all of them are nonperiodic. The feasibility of very-long-range weather prediction is examined in the light of these results - Edward Lorenz. Or, just check it yourself.

-------------------------
add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 08/18/2022 06:38 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Cole

Posts: 68509
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Originally posted by: tom

Finite systems of deterministic ordinary nonlinear differential equations may be designed to represent forced dissipative hydrodynamic flow. Solutions of these equations can be identified with trajectories in phase space. For those systems with bounded solutions, it is found that nonperiodic solutions are ordinarily unstable with respect to small modifications, so that slightly differing initial states can evolve into considerably different states. Systems with bounded solutions are shown to possess bounded numerical solutions.
A simple system representing cellular convection is solved numerically. All of the solutions are found to be unstable, and almost all of them are nonperiodic.
The feasibility of very-long-range weather prediction is examined in the light of these results
- Edward Lorenz. Or, just check it yourself.


Average slob translation: One fly fart or butterfly flap can change the outcome to the worse for surfers - to the better for the insurance industry.



-------------------------
I was right.
 08/24/2022 10:57 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


surferclimber

Posts: 1356
Joined Forum: 01/23/2011

Originally posted by: tom Finite systems of deterministic ordinary nonlinear differential equations may be designed to represent forced dissipative hydrodynamic flow. Solutions of these equations can be identified with trajectories in phase space. For those systems with bounded solutions, it is found that nonperiodic solutions are ordinarily unstable with respect to small modifications, so that slightly differing initial states can evolve into considerably different states. Systems with bounded solutions are shown to possess bounded numerical solutions. A simple system representing cellular convection is solved numerically. All of the solutions are found to be unstable, and almost all of them are nonperiodic. The feasibility of very-long-range weather prediction is examined in the light of these results - Edward Lorenz. Or, just check it yourself. [IMG][/IMG]
Or can say slight changes in the initial data we plug into global forecast models like GFS, have a big effect on long term solution... I'm geussing before it was showing that the tropical wave just now coming off Africa booming up into a big storm, but now not so much??? It does look like worthy to keep an eye on though! https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

-------------------------

get up early and go surf - it'll make that hangover go away and/or make the workday more tolerable :)



Edited: 08/24/2022 at 11:02 PM by surferclimber
 08/17/2022 07:20 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Central Floridave

Posts: 52285
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Cursed it.
 08/18/2022 03:18 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


mp2115

Posts: 174
Joined Forum: 05/29/2009

There coming. Its going to be all time!
 08/18/2022 03:30 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 8746
Joined Forum: 08/17/2016

y'all need to..... stop watchin the models.....
 08/18/2022 03:37 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


jdbman

Posts: 12179
Joined Forum: 07/28/2003

poof, gone. When you see it, there it is...

-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.
 08/18/2022 04:11 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


puinsai

Posts: 88
Joined Forum: 09/08/2011

Almost the entire Atlantic basin has very warm water right now
 08/18/2022 04:17 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


mp2115

Posts: 174
Joined Forum: 05/29/2009

Saharan dust is all over it right now. Once that gets removed.
 08/18/2022 05:03 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


LBLarry

Posts: 4719
Joined Forum: 05/25/2004

Few things in life are as unreliable as an Atlantic Coast, swell prediction that is 2 weeks out.

-------------------------
"Most people would die sooner than think; in fact, they do." - Bertrand Russell


"Morality is doing what is right, regardless of what you are told. Religion is doing what you are told, regardless of what is right.


If I do not answer you .... nothing personal, I just have you on ignore.
 08/18/2022 06:26 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


long_flaco1

Posts: 1451
Joined Forum: 09/25/2003

I may just be being super mega optimistic but the St. Augie report homie "Blue Sky Surf Report" says we may get something here this weekend maybe? :

"HOWEVER- note the HATTERAS BUOY's steady increase in the last 12 hrs-this morning over 4'/10secs from the NE headed generally in our direction-some of that could filter in as inconsistent lines into Friday,,...NOTE: check back for inevitable changes in the forecast ...."




-------------------------
SK8 AND DESTROY

Edited: 08/18/2022 at 06:27 AM by long_flaco1
 08/18/2022 09:34 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


johnnyboy

Posts: 25211
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

In the immortal words of Slim Pickens in Blazing Saddles: Damn, you use your tongue prettier than a twenty dollar whore!

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 08/18/2022 06:46 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


johnnyboy

Posts: 25211
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

It's twue it's twue.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 08/19/2022 03:31 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


mp2115

Posts: 174
Joined Forum: 05/29/2009

Until NOAA down grades this years hurricane season we will get our fair share of tropical energy. Remember Dorian was late Aug/Sept. We are currently waiting for our Named D storm on deck. With the exception of June tropical weather rain its been kind of dry east of 95. This summer has been a head scratcher. Feels like Costa weather without the waves.
 08/19/2022 09:13 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


tom

Posts: 8020
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

I predict that all this prediction will cause a huge influx from Orlando. Somebody's gonna need to go back and get a shitload of dimes.

-------------------------
add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 08/19/2022 11:11 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 8746
Joined Forum: 08/17/2016

Originally posted by: mp2115 This summer has been a head scratcher. Feels like Costa weather without the waves.
Uh maybe down there, butt up here N of the cape - I've surfed more this summer than I can remember, in a LOT of summers, lately!
 08/22/2022 04:37 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


mp2115

Posts: 174
Joined Forum: 05/29/2009

Originally posted by: StirfryMcflurry
Originally posted by: mp2115 This summer has been a head scratcher. Feels like Costa weather without the waves. [IMG][/IMG]
Uh maybe down there, butt up here N of the cape - I've surfed more this summer than I can remember, in a LOT of summers, lately![IMG]i/expressions/face-icon-small-happy.gif" border="0[/IMG][IMG]i/expressions/face-icon-small-happy.gif" border="0[/IMG][IMG]i/expressions/face-icon-small-happy.gif" border="0[/IMG][IMG]i/expressions/beer.gif" border="0[/IMG]
I was talking about the weather. I'm sure you are not comparing your surf spot to Costa. I have too surf all summer but the east coast has not seen real energy since early June. Surf this Saturday. Glad your scoring up north
 08/22/2022 05:00 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


jdbman

Posts: 12179
Joined Forum: 07/28/2003

Sept. 5 ?, Sept. 6 ?

-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.
 08/22/2022 06:29 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Cole

Posts: 68509
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

I get weak in the knees every time I see the weekly weak low off the coast report. But alas, the week by week weak report never comes true.





-------------------------
I was right.

Edited: 08/23/2022 at 07:06 AM by Cole
 08/22/2022 06:59 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


mp2115

Posts: 174
Joined Forum: 05/29/2009

Models and they are just models are showing potential for a triple header in the coming weeks. I will take the models optimism. Entertainment value at the least.
 08/22/2022 07:50 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 8746
Joined Forum: 08/17/2016

Originally posted by: jdbman Sept. 5 ?, Sept. 6 ?
When you see it....there it is!
 08/19/2022 11:33 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


johnnyboy

Posts: 25211
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Thank you Tom. Seriously. Thank you. That's good stuff.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 08/19/2022 12:31 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


tom

Posts: 8020
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

Greatest movie ever?

-------------------------
add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 08/22/2022 08:33 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Greensleeves

Posts: 20478
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Predict it and they will come
 08/22/2022 08:52 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Central Floridave

Posts: 52285
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

"You can grow old waiting for surf in Florida." -Dick Catri
 08/22/2022 11:51 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


nukeh2o

Posts: 8915
Joined Forum: 03/18/2016

Where's that guy steering hurricanes with a directed energy satellite system when you need him?

-------------------------
It's a democratic hoax
FORUMS : Surfing : Aug 30

Topic Tools Topic Tools
Statistics
146500 users are registered to the 2nd Light Forums forum.
There are currently 0 users logged in to the forum.

FuseTalk Basic Edition - © 1999-2024 FuseTalk Inc. All rights reserved.

First there was Air Jordan .