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Topic Title: Possible bigger swell towards end of week.
Topic Summary: But Choppy
Created On: 11/16/2021 11:55 AM
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 11/16/2021 11:55 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 50347
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

.MARINE...
Today-Tonight...Northeast winds 10-15 knots south of Cape Canaveral
and less than 10 knots for areas north throughout the day. As high
pressure over north FL drifts seaward, winds will veer onshore by
this evening, increasing above 15 knots overnight. Seas 3-4 ft will
build up to 5 ft south of Sebastian Inlet as winds increase later.

Wed...High pressure will strengthen as it pushes east from the
Carolina coast. In response, winds will veer easterly and
increase 15 knots across the north and 15-20 knots central/south.
This will likely necessitate a Caution headline. Choppy seas
building 4-5 ft.

Extended period...Reinforcing high pressure will build over the
waters Fri and Sat with N/NE winds increasing close to 20 knots.
Expect seas around 4-5 ft Thu into early Fri. Combination of wind
waves and fetch generated swells are indicated by late week into
the upcoming weekend. Seas in the 6-8 ft range are shown Fri
night- Sat over the open waters and increasing further to 7-9 feet
Sunday.
 11/17/2021 03:13 AM
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tom

Posts: 7151
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

Looked half good lunchtime yesterday. Swell under chop but mostly close outs in Melbeach. Maybe today with more east in the wind?

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 11/17/2021 04:21 AM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 20871
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Took the back two out of the quad for it. Should be slidey and fast trying to connect the peaks. Looking forward to it.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 11/18/2021 05:58 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 50347
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

.MARINE...
Today-Tonight...Moderate ESE-SE flow 13-18kt with seas 4-5ft, just a
smidge below Cautionary criteria. Winds will slacken overnight as
the inverted trough develops near/along the coast and drifts east
into the local MAOR.

Friday-Monday... Boating conditions will deteriorate into the
weekend as several weak perturbations track through east-central
Florida. Rain chances will vary from scattered to numerous through
the weekend as a weak frontal system sweeps through the Deep South
on Friday before an inverted trough behind the aforementioned system
stalls off the east coast of Florida through Monday. Winds will
increase from the east-northeast at 10-20kts with gusts around 30kts
across the offshore waters (20-60nm) through Saturday. Winds will
slacken on Sunday before veering from the west-northwest by Monday.
Seas will gradually build to 5-8ft nearshore and 8-10ft offshore
through at least Saturday evening. Wave heights will lower as wind
speeds diminish on Sunday into Monday with swells around 3-5ft,
occasional 6ft nearshore and up 7 feet offshore.

Marine Forecast for Thursday morning:

SYNOPSIS
High pressure offshore of the mid Atlantic states
will push seaward through tonight as a weak inverted trough
develops along the Florida east coast. A strong reinforcing high
pressure ridge will build over the eastern U.S. starting Friday,
bringing deteriorating wind and sea conditions, which will become
hazardous through this weekend. Expect increasing rain chances
over the local Atlantic from late this afternoon through Sunday.


Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-
644 AM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

TODAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots
late in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to
6 feet. A dominant period 7 seconds.

TONIGHT
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 10 to
15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to
5 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds.

FRIDAY
North winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots
in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to
7 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds.

SATURDAY
Northeast winds 20 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with
occasional seas to 11 feet.

SUNDAY
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with
occasional seas to 7 feet.

MONDAY
Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with
occasional seas to 6 feet.



 11/18/2021 07:15 AM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 20871
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Monday shaping up nicely.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 11/19/2021 05:48 AM
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long_flaco1

Posts: 1381
Joined Forum: 09/25/2003

Originally posted by: johnnyboy

Monday shaping up nicely.


Woot wooooooot!! Its that goodness that usually happens at some point of thanksgiving week! stoke meters on blast!!



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SK8 AND DESTROY
 11/19/2021 09:38 AM
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Plan B

Posts: 3260
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

Up here yesterday was a very nice surprise..... even a bit bigger this morning, potential to be very good.... then winds started cranking at 7:45 I hope this new fetch will be solid enough to handle offshores on monday

Edited: 11/19/2021 at 09:39 AM by Plan B
 11/20/2021 07:18 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 50347
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

20 mile buoy is currently 11 feet.


405 AM EST Sat Nov 20 2021

SYNOPSIS
A strong high pressure ridge will build from the
eastern U.S. into the western Atlantic through Sunday. This will
maintain hazardous winds and seas through tonight, with large
swells lingering into Monday. Another strong cold front will
cross the local waters by Monday evening, with another surge
of strong north to northeast winds and building seas producing
hazardous boating conditions through the middle of next week.

TODAY

Northeast winds 20 knots. Seas 8 to 10 feet with
occasional seas to 13 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds.


SUNDAY

Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to
15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas
to 9 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds.

MONDAY
Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with
occasional seas to 6 feet.

TUESDAY
North winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with
occasional seas to 10 feet.


WEDNESDAY
Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with
occasional seas to 10 feet.
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