First advisory Friday night, hurricane today, major tomorrow or Monday. Egad.

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It looks BAD for the southern islands.

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I was right.

As much as we may hate it, , , , , THIS could very well be the New Normal !!! Already a CAT2 this morning. Forecast to be a CAT4 when it hits the islands.

And, Chris is right behind it and is trending to become a Major within days. The "Southern" islands look to be Fucked, even before the "real season" starts!

Hurricane Beryl, super-charged by warm seas, stuns experts

Dinah Voyles Pulver, USA TODAY
Sat, June 29, 2024 at 6:00 PM EDT5 min read

Hurricane experts and meteorologists watched in shock Saturday as Tropical Storm Beryl continued to strengthen quickly in the tropical Atlantic Ocean far earlier than storms typically do, with record-warm ocean temperatures helping it make history.

Within 24 hours after forming as a tropical depression, Beryl's winds had reached hurricane strength - 75 mph - by 5 p.m. Saturday, with an impressive form on satellite images.

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Dora Hates You

Edited: 06/30/2024 at 06:05 AM by dingpatch

Spag models

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Dora Hates You

For surfing potential, I imagine we gonna suffer Bahama Blockage, but swell period models show possible sharp angle SSE long period in a few days. Look North of the Cape up to Hatteras.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/0900Z 10.7N 53.1W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 30/1800Z 11.1N 55.7W 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 01/0600Z 11.8N 59.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 01/1800Z 12.9N 62.5W 115 KT 130 MPH
48H 02/0600Z 14.1N 66.1W 110 KT 125 MPH
60H 02/1800Z 15.4N 70.1W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 03/0600Z 16.3N 74.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 04/0600Z 17.8N 80.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
120H 05/0600Z 19.1N 87.1W 85 KT 100 MPH

These fast ones are the worrisome ones. Potential for little time to prep then evacuate. Realistically, two days is pretty short notice. Be aware. Ugh.

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As usual, it's hard for folks to understand that you can hide from the wind but, you must run from the water.

And, much more so, It's hard to explain to 'newbies' that you only gots what you gots for perhaps weeks!

And, yes, , , , the whole 'electric can opener' thing is too real.

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Dora Hates You

Yes every summer its normal for hurricanes to form. Some get strong some don't. Some seasons are active some aren't. Brilliant

Cat 4 Sunday afternoon. Impressive.

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First CAT 4 in June, ever?

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Dora Hates You

The one that hit Mexico went from a tropical storm to a Cat 5 within 24 hours. It's not normal in the least.

Global Warming doesn't give a shit about your politics.



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I was right.

It's the strongest storm on record so early in the season. Admittedly records improved quite a bit in the satellite era, but 19th century records are surprisingly good, and have been reviewed. NHC Beryl graphics

Edited: 06/30/2024 at 10:21 PM by ww

Monday 1pm: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H

LOL there is no global warming. There is no sea level rise either. You sir have been gas lit in a huge way. Blaming carbon when carbon dioxide is sequestered by plants into the earth continually.

It's good to have the rocketmath club aboard. Keep up the good work! . In other news, NAVGEM persists with a northern turn into LA towards next weekend.

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Holy Shit !

5am Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 165 mph (270 km/h) with higher
gusts. Beryl is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Weakening should begin later today, but Beryl
is still expected to be near major hurricane intensity as its moves
into the central Caribbean and passes near Jamaica on Wednesday
and the Cayman Islands on Thursday. Additional weakening is
expected thereafter, though Beryl is forecast to remain a hurricane
in the northwestern Caribbean.

Cat 5 on July 2?

September might be a bitch.

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Man will never be free until the last king is strangled with the entrails of the last priest.

Denis Diderot

This dorq is an idiot. Period.
What's life look like...with head a foot in the ground.....
Jamaica is about to experience what Maria did to Puerto Rica....on steroids.
Earliest storms hitting cat4, now 5....in history.
I sail surf dive with our world leading noaa/U of M Rosentiel ocean/atmospheric scientists.
They are the furthest thing from the liberl hoaxers the magats portray.
Look up Otis and Acapulco folks
Let the fun begin....it's a liberl hoax

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It's a democratic hoax

It would be nice if it was that simple.

I guess we will eventually learn the truth when we figure out how to measure CO2 and learn how to shoot in elevations.



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I was right.

Edited: 07/03/2024 at 05:20 AM by Cole