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Topic Title: Heads up
Topic Summary: What to watch for in the economy and finance
Created On: 01/15/2015 09:17 AM
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch
 Heads up   - jdbman - 01/15/2015 09:17 AM  
 Heads up   - sw - 01/15/2015 09:51 AM  
 Heads up   - worksuxgetsponsered - 01/15/2015 10:24 AM  
 Heads up   - jdbman - 01/15/2015 10:53 AM  
 Heads up   - tpapablo - 01/15/2015 01:02 PM  
 Heads up   - 3rdworldlover - 01/15/2015 01:20 PM  
 Heads up   - jdbman - 01/15/2015 01:33 PM  
 Heads up   - sw - 01/15/2015 03:15 PM  
 Heads up   - cheaterfiveo - 01/16/2015 08:18 PM  
 Heads up   - pompano - 01/17/2015 06:09 PM  
 Heads up   - jdbman - 01/29/2015 11:51 AM  
 Heads up   - havanabama - 01/29/2015 01:22 PM  
 Heads up   - tpapablo - 01/29/2015 03:08 PM  
 Heads up   - dingpatch - 01/29/2015 04:40 PM  
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 01/15/2015 09:17 AM
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jdbman

Posts: 12179
Joined Forum: 07/28/2003

Any one remember 2006-2007? All you thought that your house was a bank. Then through pure stupidity the bushwackers wrecked the party?

If you had any savy you would have watched how the G-7 yield curve flattened.
Historically inverted yield curves are predictors of recession. So right now in the US the 10 year tresury is at 1.818, the 5 year is 1.279. The diff is .539. So right now this is not flat or inverted.

After flattening or inverting the timing sequence is usually 2-3 quarters before negative GDP sets in.

I am not saying this is going to happen.

But its a good idea to pay attention. The bond market is a good lead indicator of business cycles

However, something is developing, apparently. May go flat or invert latter this year. It could happen very quickly.

Alot of banking stocks are getting hit right now.

No one knows what the Fed will do. I have been hearing that interest rates will rise for the last 7 years. I say, when you see it, there it is.

I think from an investing, economical and fiancial perspective that is going to be a very volitile year.

Just trying to help out you repugs and teabags who have proven that you are unable to grasp any concepts of this nature.

-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.
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