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Topic Title: Scarborough: 'The Kavanaugh Hearings Were a Disaster for the Democratic Party' Topic Summary: Created On: 10/11/2018 09:55 AM |
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch |
- Fish Killer | - 10/11/2018 09:55 AM |
- johnnyboy | - 10/11/2018 10:37 AM |
- tpapablo | - 10/11/2018 11:11 AM |
- johnnyboy | - 10/11/2018 11:57 AM |
- Fish Killer | - 10/11/2018 03:57 PM |
- fishkller | - 10/11/2018 04:40 PM |
- sandi | - 10/12/2018 12:08 PM |
- WG | - 10/12/2018 08:22 PM |
- scombrid | - 10/13/2018 07:46 AM |
- fishkller | - 10/13/2018 08:25 AM |
- Cole | - 10/13/2018 06:04 PM |
- Fish Killer | - 10/13/2018 06:42 PM |
- Cole | - 10/13/2018 07:26 PM |
- Fish Killer | - 10/13/2018 07:33 PM |
- Cole | - 10/13/2018 08:13 PM |
- Fish Killer | - 10/13/2018 08:16 PM |
- Cole | - 10/13/2018 08:22 PM |
- sandi | - 10/13/2018 08:24 PM |
- Fish Killer | - 10/13/2018 08:26 PM |
- Cole | - 10/13/2018 08:30 PM |
- Fish Killer | - 10/13/2018 08:38 PM |
- harrietdubman | - 10/14/2018 02:21 PM |
- Cole | - 10/15/2018 05:52 AM |
- Fish Killer | - 10/17/2018 03:10 AM |
- Cole | - 10/17/2018 05:42 AM |
- WG | - 10/14/2018 03:25 PM |
- Fish Killer | - 10/14/2018 04:11 PM |
- fishkller | - 10/14/2018 04:55 PM |
- fishkller | - 10/14/2018 04:56 PM |
- Fish Killer | - 10/17/2018 03:45 PM |
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10/13/2018 08:26 PM
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And if you look back at those much-derided polls, the additions of these late-deciders to the calculus doesn't make them look so bad. If you take the final RealClearPolitics average in each state and adjust for the late-decider swing, Trump actually should have been the winner in Florida, Michigan and Pennsylvania. The final polling average had Clinton by one point in Florida, about even in Michigan and up two in Pennsylvania. Each of those averages went a little toward Trump at the end, thanks to GOP pollster Trafalgar Group doing one-day polls the Sunday before Election Day. But even without the Trafalgar polls, the apparent late-decider Trump surge could help explain why they had the "wrong" winner. http://www.washingtonpost.com/...utm_term=.0488ea76ea94 "The Telegraph's poll tracker, which was based on an average of the last five polls published on RealClearPolitics, showed Clinton leading with three percentage points over Trump. American statistics and polling analysis site FiveThirtyEight gave Trump a 30 per cent chance of victory going into the final few days. This chance - the same as winning at rock, paper, scissors - was generous compared to other forecasters." ------------------------- The REAL truth is....both of the forum idiots are OWNED. -BOTH of them have no clue who their owner is. -They are both card carrying narcissists. ^These are PROVED facts. |
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10/13/2018 08:30 PM
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The final polling average had Clinton by one point in Florida, about even in Michigan and up two in Pennsylvania.
They gave trump the victory. Give up, you lost. ------------------------- I was right. |
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10/13/2018 08:38 PM
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The final polling average had Clinton by one point in Florida, about even in Michigan and up two in Pennsylvania. They gave trump the victory. Give up, you lost. LIAR! "The Telegraph's poll tracker, which was based on an average of the last five polls published on RealClearPolitics, showed Clinton leading with three percentage points over Trump. American statistics and polling analysis site FiveThirtyEight gave Trump a 30 per cent chance of victory going into the final few days. This chance - the same as winning at rock, paper, scissors - was generous compared to other forecasters." That would be 5 polls NOT ONE! AND...FiveThirtyEight is an average of ALL main polls! IDIOT! ------------------------- The REAL truth is....both of the forum idiots are OWNED. -BOTH of them have no clue who their owner is. -They are both card carrying narcissists. ^These are PROVED facts. Edited: 10/13/2018 at 08:46 PM by Fish Killer |
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10/14/2018 02:21 PM
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havehernaugh's wife looks like the type that thinks the female orgasm is a myth.
------------------------- sneedeker |
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10/15/2018 05:52 AM
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The final polling average had Clinton by one point in Florida, about even in Michigan and up two in Pennsylvania. They gave trump the victory. Give up, you lost. LIAR! "The Telegraph's poll tracker, which was based on an average of the last five polls published on RealClearPolitics, showed Clinton leading with three percentage points over Trump. American statistics and polling analysis site FiveThirtyEight gave Trump a 30 per cent chance of victory going into the final few days. This chance - the same as winning at rock, paper, scissors - was generous compared to other forecasters." That would be 5 polls NOT ONE! AND...FiveThirtyEight is an average of ALL main polls! IDIOT! Hey doo doo dunderhead, the margin of error is three or four points out of 100. Clown. ------------------------- I was right. |
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10/17/2018 03:10 AM
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SO!
If someone is three points ahead...they are STILL ahead! Idiot! ------------------------- The REAL truth is....both of the forum idiots are OWNED. -BOTH of them have no clue who their owner is. -They are both card carrying narcissists. ^These are PROVED facts. |
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10/17/2018 05:42 AM
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Margin of error, +4 to -4.
Plus three is an even race. Moron. ------------------------- I was right. |
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