The storm models show it taking a northern track. If that possibility holds, development is a real rough ride with the west winds it will encounter. To the south are easterly winds which are ideal for development. Net-net as the storm trends west, it needs to stay on a Barbados track for development. If the track is north of that, development will be slow and difficult. If it gets past PR then storm devlopment will be ideal. Check out the 72 hour winds forecast.

http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/TropicalWinds72.aspx

There's only one big Rick in this town

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hey, i don't know if you read this yet ----------> I <3 16streets.com

thank you Sean O'hare

Delicious beer comes from here

lol

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https://www.instagram.com/dj_kaye_/

BR, werent you running away when you got shot in the ass?!?!  Col. SV

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Tubes, Boobs, & Doobs!!!

No
i was talking to the bouncer that the bullet was intended for

glad he didn't catch it cause he would definitely be either
paralyzed had the bullet been slightly higher or he'd be dead

i was able to order a beverage from said bouncer this past saturday
when i went to visit him at work downtown.

glad we're both alive, glad all victims are alive.

it was definitely a scary moment and a negative scenario, but
with positive impact after i went through the decline.

coming close to death quite a few times in my life makes me
really appreciate life that much more.

So..... lets surf in celebration of all things awesome



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hey, i don't know if you read this yet ----------> I <3 16streets.com

thank you Sean O'hare

Delicious beer comes from here

Atta boy! Miss your swell forcasts because they usually are dead on.

"That's a million dollar wound, soldier. You're going stateside!" But on a lighter note" there's been some fun waves the past few days. Grab a few if you can!

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Peace, Love and SOUL!

Were not getting diddly from Fiona, but 99L, possibly Gaston could be interesting, but not glassy nor epic due to the slowing rising Bermuda High which will bring gusty NE winds thru early September. Bermuda might get fun, or a day of decent surf in PR, but were skunked by Fiona!!!

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Tubes, Boobs, & Doobs!!!

TROPICAL STORM FIONA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062016
500 PM AST WED AUG 17 2016

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO SIXTH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON OVER
THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC......


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fiona was
located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 37.8 West. Fiona is
moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A motion toward
the northwest or west-northwest with some decrease in forward speed
is expected during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 17/2100Z 15.1N 37.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 18/0600Z 16.0N 39.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 18/1800Z 17.0N 40.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 19/0600Z 17.8N 42.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 19/1800Z 18.7N 43.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 20/1800Z 20.3N 47.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 21/1800Z 22.6N 51.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 22/1800Z 24.6N 55.0W 45 KT 50 MPH

 

Last Updated: 8/17/2016, 5:00:00 PM (EDT)

Fiona is a compact tropical cyclone with a radius of maximum winds

of 15 nmi or less


whalefart swell

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Dora Hates You

Were not getting diddly from Fiona, but shes clearing the path for 99L/Gaston, and the huge blob coming off Africa which will be 100L by the end of the weekend, but you jonsers and armchair meteorologists on here crack me up!!! No significant swell till possibly Labor Day weekend if then!! Fiina is a non factor & although Gaston "MIGHT" bring waves, we will be stuck under a northern Bermuda High which will give us a predominant and consistent NE fetch of wind, so there will be no grandure of a clean & glassy groundswell of last year anytime soon!!! Too much DABUH watching and CFLDave post followers!!! Gotta know how to follow where you live; not oogle Africa!!!

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Tubes, Boobs, & Doobs!!!

Hey col, you are repeating yourself. We got it. We can all read your dribble. No swell from Fiona. Copy, copy, do what you are best at and trolling big rick instead. LOL...

Long range models shows some NE winds off of Hatteras and possible low pressure East of Florida next week. Nice to see the tropics flare up. Yeah for Florida Fall season. I'm so over the summer doldrums. Ready for football and surf!!!

 

ouch! thats gotta hurt!  Da Col is back!

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM AST THU AUG 18 2016

...FIONA A LITTLE STRONGER...

Global models indicate that large-scale conditions should be
adequately conducive to support some additional strengthening during
the next 12 to 24 hours. However, after that time, a substantially
drier atmosphere and increasing southwesterly shear associated with
the mid-oceanic trough are expected to induce weakening, even though
sea surface temperatures will be higher. Although not shown
explicitly in the forecast, atmospheric conditions could become so
hostile that Fiona would degenerate into a remnant low later in the
forecast period as depicted in the ECMWF model. The new NHC
intensity forecast is slightly higher than the previous one and the
bulk of the guidance in the short term but is a little lower after
48 hours.

Fiona has been moving west-northwestward to northwestward into a
weakness in the mid-level subtropical ridge between 40w and 50w,
and the initial motion estimate is 300/14. Fiona should maintain a
similar heading but at a reduced forward speed once it becomes a
shallower cyclone in a few days and is steered around the Atlantic
low-level subtropical ridge. The NHC track forecast has been
adjusted to the north of the previous one, mostly after 48 hours and
largely in response to a significant shift in the latest ECMWF
solution. The forecast track lies on the far eastern side of the
guidance envelope, well to the left of the multi-model consensus.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 18/0900Z 16.2N 40.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 18/1800Z 17.0N 41.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 19/0600Z 17.9N 43.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 19/1800Z 18.7N 44.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 20/0600Z 19.8N 46.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 21/0600Z 22.1N 50.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 22/0600Z 23.8N 53.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 23/0600Z 25.6N 56.1W 35 KT 40 MPH

Here is what a model shows 7 days from today, next week. Nice High pressure winds off of Hatteras and a possible low off of Florida. Fiona way NE of Bermuda. Hope it happens!

HOPE over HYPE!!! I'll take whatever we get at this point!

Positive vibes for this possible Fiona swell..

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SK8 AND DESTROY

lets all just go to the inlet and drop in on gnarly charlie!

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https://www.instagram.com/dj_kaye_/

Hey CFLDave, check out Dabuh today!! I called it 2 days ago while you and all the others were posting forecasts and spouting swell!!! I think Ill keep "ranting" if its alright with you since I seem to be the one "with" a clue!!! And long-flaco, sorry but, NO Fiona swell, but maybe NE, weak windchop by Sunday/Monday!!!

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Tubes, Boobs, & Doobs!!!

LOL, all I did was post that NHC forecast that calls for possible storm development and then get accused of posting "forecasts and spouting swell"? Then you want me to check dabuh? Eh? Hitting the natty-lites early today?