Its a start

96L 20%

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So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

We can only hope folks

Here is NOAA.  40-60% chance

Edit - Adding the outlook:

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system is
producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower
activity about 550 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development of this disturbance during the next several days while
the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Forecaster Stewart

Yeah...its only a matter of time for the pressure cooker to blow it's lid!

Also, models are putting a tropical wave and/or possible low pressure system to the East of Florida next week. So there is hope!

I commented to someone this morning that our long summer drought is looking like the sort of dry September weather that finally breaks with some kind of tropical disturbance.

Wed/afternoon model runs show a little better defined system East of the Bahamas next week. A tropical wave moving towards us and possible low development. This looks like the same scenario as last week's swell. A SE Trade wind swell enhanced with a topical wave. Something to watch. Virtual buoys shows an uptick Tue/Wed.

I'd be more excited for a good rain right now than surf! Kona!

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If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.

Yes, Rain and Surf. We are stuck in the summer doldrums right now.

stuck in hot dry mud.. with a cloud or two every other day

jinx:

 

LOL a the "jinx" Please dear rain and surf gawds...be kind...

this seems like the dryest summer I can remember..work on a touristy boat that can't go out in the rain so I'm not too bummed but just seems really strange.

All aboard.  The train is leaving the station

I'm ON that HYPE TRAIN as well! Been saving vacation time all year awaiting its arrival! #stoked!!!! (that pic above never gets old, could you imagine actually being in that situation? CRAZY STUFF RIGHT THERE MAN! LOL)

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SK8 AND DESTROY

JetBlue is offering really low fares ($200 w bag), Orlando-Aguadilla in August.  Try your luck and pick dates.

96L



97L



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Dora Hates You

Wednesday - 08/03
poor to fair



By Mike for 7-9am

2-3ft
thigh to waist high

Staying conservative on height/rating but could see fun shot of ESE swell. Some Bahamas shadowing likely South Beaches/North TC regions.


from Surfline

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So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

9:00 AM EDT 29 July 2016 Update
97L's chances for development seem low, and it probably will not develop.

96L's chances are higher for development, but it will likely fall apart before getting near the Eastern Caribbean.

96L has a similar setup to Tropical Storm Dorian in 2013. Dorian's track plots.
Dorian was a late July Cape Verde storm that fell apart before reaching the islands, then reformed briefly as a Tropical Depression off the coast of Florida, but never made landfall and became post tropical.

Old articles about Dorian here and it reforming here. Overall a fairly forgettable system.


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Dora Hates You

My fault. Got the new board curse.


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Uga Uga!!!