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Topic Title: dry as a bone Topic Summary: Created On: 04/09/2021 10:07 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 04/09/2021 10:07 AM |
- TATTOO74 | - 04/09/2021 12:45 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 04/10/2021 08:56 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 04/12/2021 06:29 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 04/19/2021 10:18 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 04/20/2021 12:31 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 05/03/2021 07:56 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 05/11/2021 02:49 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 05/11/2021 02:59 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 06/10/2021 06:46 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 06/10/2021 06:48 AM |
- ww | - 06/12/2021 01:48 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 06/12/2021 08:12 AM |
- inletbum | - 06/12/2021 09:53 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 06/15/2021 07:27 PM |
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05/03/2021 07:56 AM
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Here we are in the typical dry month of May. Looks like today the high temps will hit 90F. A high predicted to be 95F on Wednesday. A cool front thursday with a chance of afternoon storms Wed/Thur and slight cool off friday/saturday into the low 80s. Hope we can get some moisture out of this. 90F+ temps probably after this last 'cool' front for the foreseeable future.
from NWS Melbourne: Hot temperatures will be the focus both Tuesday and Wednesday; deep southerly flow will lead to high temps well into the 90s areawide, approaching the mid 90s and potential record high temperatures across the interior. Lows will also remain well above average in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Thursday-Friday...A messier pattern is in store for the latter half of the week, as a strong late-season cold front makes its way towards the FL peninsula. The mid-level ridge over the Caribbean erodes by Thursday, allowing for the cold front with upper support sink into the region. By daybreak Thursday, the surface ridge axis has retreated well south of the area, yielding to the approaching boundary. Rain chances will increase quickly through the day on Thursday, ranging from 60-70% north of Orlando, 50-60% for areas south. Latest GFS run takes a slightly drier option on Thursday, ramping up coverage after sunset, but now the ECM slightly faster and wetter, passing the front into south FL prior to midnight. Regardless, can expect a wet and stormy Thu/Thu night, with temps aloft dropping to near -10C and forecast CAPE values above 1200J/kg, a few stronger storms cannot be ruled out in the mid to late afternoon. With the change in the GFS, have raised PoPs Thursday night to account for a slower moving front, with 30-40% chance from the Treasure Coast to the Kissimmee River, tapering to 20% for areas north. By Friday morn, the ECM clears the front through the area across the FL Straits, but the GFS holds on to a wet pattern across the south through the mid afternoon. Have adjusted rain chances accordingly to keep a 20-30% lingering chance for the Treasure Coast, likely clearing prior to noon. As expected, southwest winds Thursday will veer west and then northwest to north by Friday morning, signaling the frontal passage, and high pressure building into the area for the weekend. Highs on Thursday will climb to the upper 80s to lower 90s, with lows dropping overnight to the mid to upper 60s. By Friday, most of the area should start to feel the effects of the frontal passage, so high temps will be a few degrees cooler in the mid to upper 80s areawide. Friday night lows will receive the most notable influence from the front, finally returning to near normal values in the low to mid 60s, with a few spots in Lake and Volusia counties dropping to the upper 50s. Weekend...This weekend will be much drier, as high pressure builds in across the Deep South, dropping PW to 0.5-0.8" on Saturday. The surface high will quickly exit from coastal Carolina into the Atlantic, returning winds to southeasterly and pulling moisture from the Caribbean back towards FL. This will increase rain chances only slightly on Sunday, mainly in the vicinity of Lake Okeechobee. Temperatures will begin to rebound this weekend, climbing from the mid to upper 80s on Sat to the lower 90s by Sunday. Lower dewpoints later this week, however, should keep a damper on the "mugginess" at least through Saturday, leading to a pleasant start to the weekend. |
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