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Topic Title: Feb 1 cold start of month Topic Summary: Check forecast. upper 30s for a Low. Created On: 02/01/2021 09:20 AM |
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02/01/2021 09:20 AM
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Plus windy.
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02/03/2021 09:36 AM
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I have been readng the long range forecast (one or two months in advance) and they seemed to have realled missed the mark this year. I understand it is difficult to foreast weather a week in advance much less months, but The intial forecast said there was a high probability of above normal temps this winter and the revised long range reienforced that statement.
While we haven't had extreme cold this year, on the Space Coast, it has been a while since we have had so many nights in the low 40s. God, I hope this weather changes soon. My tropical palms and plants are taking a beating. Hopefully, they make it to spring. |
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02/03/2021 12:10 PM
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After one more night of cold temps it looks like we will have warmer weather for a couple weeks. Plus rain chances. No freezes so far in my backyard. Only thing that got nipped back from the cold was a couple copper leafs. No biggie.
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02/03/2021 01:45 PM
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National Weather Service Melbourne FL
334 PM EST Wed Feb 3 2021 .DISCUSSION... ...Freezing Temperatures Likely In Some Areas Tonight... ...Patchy to Areas of Frost Expected across Much of ECFL Overnight... Current-Tonight...Dry, clear skies, light NW winds, and unseasonably cool conditions this afternoon. Surface high pressure will build over the area tonight. This scenario usually produces the coldest temperatures for ECFL following a strong frontal passage as the airmass will be extremely dry and winds light to calm. Optimal/strong radiational cooling will take place overnight. So, tonight should be the coldest night of the week, but without any cold wind chills that we have recently observed. Any saving grace from falling temperatures late tonight might be some encroaching cirrus from the northwest, which may not arrive (if at all) until a few hours ahead of sunrise and first across the I-4 corridor. It will also depend on how thick this cloud layer is. We continue the "Freeze Warning" for counties along/north of I-4 to include north Brevard County. Temps are forecast to drop to at least 31F-32F for two hours or more over these areas. The urban Orlando corridor along I-4 will not freeze. The coldest temperatures are expected in suburban, rural, and traditionally colder locations. In coordination with neighboring offices, will NOT upgrade the "Freeze Watch" south of I-4, but instead issue a "Frost Advisory" as temperatures are generally forecast for 33F-37F here, perhaps even touch 32F for up to one hour. Only question remains will there be enough moisture in the low-levels for "Areas of Frost" to be realized. Further west from the coast will have the highest relative humidity values late overnight for frost formation. Temperatures quickly drop in the 40s after sunset, eventually bottoming out in the lower to middle 30s overnight almost areawide, except mid/upper 30s in eastern Martin County. Barrier islands from the Cape southward should remain out of any freeze threat. Protective actions should be taken to prevent freeze and frost damage to sensitive plants and other vegetation, as well as to outdoor pets and sensitive persons. Cold weather shelters are open in many communities. Check with local county emergency management for locations and operating hours of shelters. Be extra cautious if using space heaters and keep them well away from combustible material such as pillows, blankets, and curtains. Thu...After another cold and crisp morning, surface high pressure will push eastward away from the FL peninsula and into the western Atlc. Morning winds will remain L/V to calm, but eventually swing around to southerly across ECFL. Wind speeds will generally be less than 10 mph. There should be ample sunshine, but may be filtered out from time to time with some passing high clouds as the low levels remain fairly dry. Max temps will reach the M-U 60s. Not as cold Thu night as winds turn southwest. No frost or freeze concerns as min temps hold in the 40s. Fri-Wed (previous discussion modified)...Breezy SW winds are expected to develop on Fri ahead of a frontal boundary that will be pushing across the deep south. This front will slow down as it approaches FL since the attendant shortwave energy lifts well northeast. So this weak front will stall across central FL on Sat. There should be enough moisture to produce isolated to scattered showers starting Fri night-Sat. Another shortwave trough is forecast to scoot E/NE across the deep south Sat night and Sun on the southern edge of a deep longwave trough over the central and eastern US. This should induce weak low pressure along the stalled boundary and enhance the mid/upper SW flow leading to potential for a few strong storms Sat night or Sun. Rain chances on Sat will be 30-50 percent, on Sat night 40-60 percent and 50-75 percent Sunday and with slight changes of lightning storms Sat night into Sunday. The front should get nudged south of the area but may return northward early next week. This depends on the timing and magnitude of low amplitude shortwave troughs racing through the fast flow aloft. Despite the low confidence, it does appear that moisture will not get scoured out so have kept a small shower chance Mon-Tue and for Wednesday decreasing from south to north as the front lifts. Temps will continue a warming trend, reaching the mid to upper 70s on Friday. Into the weekend, temps then generally remain in the 70s with near 80F across the south both days. Increasing clouds and chance for showers should keep northern sections in the lower 70s. It will turn cooler into Sun night but with the front still just north of the area, highs during the day will climb to the 70s for the first 2 days of the work week. Mid 70s to near 80 for highs on Wed. |
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02/04/2021 05:09 AM
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Friend reported frost in Titusville.
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Feb 1 cold start of month
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