It was really deep first thing, good size swell but with the tide so high it was reflecting off the beach and doing the doubleup bounce and break. Got a few but got a thumpin too. Wind was starting to get on it when i left around 10am.

Went down to the local early wondering if anybody was out yet. Twenty guys in the water, one i knew. Some rides with extra umph on sets. Not spectacular but hey, it's FL.

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I've found the GFS tends to defer to the EURO over time.

so, reality leans EURO

but always good to keep an eye on things


Check out the EURO on 9/29 1pm.. two spinners!

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We have certain things in common Jeffrey..


Edited: 09/23/2025 at 03:33 PM by fishkller

Tail end of GFS shows a gulf storm picking up just as the two afore mentioned storms pass. And in more productive information, buoy has only lost a foot with no wind this early AM. Checkityourself com.

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93L is a Fish Spinner, 94L looks to be going Hatteras way?





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Dora Hates You

A little better this morn, different spot, long lines, some shoulders, very glassy, waist to chest with some larger sets. Would love to take all day off, but adult world demands my presence...

Another closed out hurricane swell.

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I was right.

Gaby still spinning (fun morning!) Humberto forms. Standing by for Imelda. Whew.

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Gabrielle swell is apparently still being felt in places like Western Portugal (New England) even as it heads to the Azores and Real Purtugal (as a tropical storm).

The paths of Humberto and the tropical wave are looking fairly clear. The wave looks likely to be close to shore (NWS forecasts 20 mph winds for us), so it looks like a useless mess. Looks like very high wave energies (Surfline up to 3000 kJ for Saturday-Sunday, Surf-Forecast more conservative and earlier). Looks like miserable wind and rain.

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wavewatcher - >ww - >wavewatcher, again

Some leftover crumbs this morn up near PAFB. SBG! Baitfish, turtles and other marine life in the lineup too. Waist high with a few surprise sets.

I think we are starting to see model solutions with the I storm getting ahead of the H storm, so we get a fairly brief exposure to clean H surf about Tuessday.

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wavewatcher - >ww - >wavewatcher, again

Euro model currently has that "I" storm churning on the coast of Charleston for mutliple days..

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We have certain things in common Jeffrey..


Edited: 09/26/2025 at 01:35 AM by fishkller

I-storm? Heard they were easier to manage but you need to join a cult to participate. Yes, 2-3 day stall. Can you say flooding?

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Yes, 2-3 day stall. Can you say flooding?


The water level in Central Florida is way, way up. A heavy dump will be quite problematic.



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I was right.

Edited: 09/26/2025 at 06:34 AM by Cole

One of the local bars had 2 foot ruler like perfection. I surfed alone for an hour and got so tired I had to stagger up the beach. I saw a Tripletail the size on my thumbnail. It was adorable.



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I was right.

Looks like Trop storm conditions on Monday- 40+ mph gusts, etc

mostly from the north

wind starts kicking up Sun afternoon- so get it while u can


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We have certain things in common Jeffrey..

From the Washington Post (which has a competent Weather Gang) on the 27th:

This is perhaps the most challenging and complex tropical cyclone forecast that meteorologists in the Southeast have been faced with in years. Modeling has been erratic, and there are conflicting features that will influence the system's steering currents.

onfidence is high that, by Monday night, Imelda will be sitting offshore of the Southeast coast with either high-end tropical storm or low-end Category 1 hurricane force.

But from there, whether it turns left (west) or right (east) is unclear.

To the west, an approaching upper-level low - or pocket of cold air, low pressure and spin - will swing south across the Tennessee Valley nestled in a jet stream dip. That will seek to capture Imelda, yanking the system westward. That would mean greater impacts for the Carolinas.

To the east, however, will be Humberto - which has been outpacing initial forecasts in terms of its rapid intensification. That swifter strengthening will render it a stronger storm with more pull, and that could tug Imelda out to sea.

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Sunday Update: National hurricane center and others are showing Imelda heading east from NE Florida. Carolinas out of the scenario.

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wavewatcher - >ww - >wavewatcher, again

Edited: 09/28/2025 at 04:31 AM by Wavewatcher

That swifter strengthening will render it a stronger storm with more pull, and that could tug Imelda out to sea.

Let's hope. The last thing we need is for that thing to sit on us for days. Parts of the Bahamas are still recovering from their "never ending storm" nightmare.

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I was right.

Imelda watches and whatnot for Florida were canceled at 5pm Sunday.

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wavewatcher - >ww - >wavewatcher, again