Strongest this early since 1940's if using solid observed data from planes, boats and land bases. 1960's if you use satellites. Strongest ever if you're a "stunned expert".

Carriacou was shredded. There is barely a tree standing.

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I was right.

Perhaps a bit of Beryl prep, a single shark bit several people on Padre Island. Another went to an extraordinary effort to bite someone on the ankle in almost no water near Flagler Ave in NSB.

And of course someone at ex-Twitter claimed that there was very little damage from Beryl, so all those wind statistics were faked.

Experts were stunned by the coincidence! . Official track continues with minor shifts north, TX now for second landfall. Will be curious to see reorganization post Yucatan.

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Surface temps off of Texas are hotter than those off of Mexico. One has to wonder.

http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/contour/gulfmex.c.gif

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I was right.

Global warming also to blame for shark attacks, hot water riles them up. Experts not stunned by this proven fact.

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"If I say it's safe to surf this beach, captain, then it's safe to surf this beach!"

Edited: 07/05/2024 at 10:01 AM by SurfCaster

Curious to see if the models get the strengthening wrong again:

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/1500Z 20.7N 88.3W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND
12H 06/0000Z 21.4N 90.1W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER
24H 06/1200Z 22.5N 92.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 07/0000Z 23.6N 94.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 07/1200Z 24.6N 95.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 08/0000Z 25.6N 96.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 08/1200Z 26.8N 97.5W 75 KT 85 MPH...NEAR COAST
96H 09/1200Z 29.0N 98.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
120H 10/1200Z 31.0N 97.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND

Me too. That seems aa long time over hot water to upgrade to just a cat 1.

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NHC: Further intensification is likely as Beryl moves over very warm waters within light shear conditions. Rapid intensification is a distinct possibility if the core can become isolated from the dry air that has been inhibiting intensification during the last day or so. While there are no changes to the intensity forecast based on the latest guidance, we are expecting Beryl to be intensifying up until landfall early Monday, and people should be preparing for the possibility of a category 2 hurricane landfall.

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Edited: 07/07/2024 at 08:56 AM by tom

It looks weird right now. There is very dry air to the north and counter rotation over Mexico way. I'm glad I don't make a living having to predict these things.

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I was right.

Cat 1 at landfall despite the boiling ocean temperatures. Experts once again "stunned" that their predictions were incorrect. However they "warn" this "could" be a "devastating" hurricane season due to climate change and sea level rise.

The intensity models were surprisingly accurate IMHO. I (armchair expert ) was surprised they kept forecasting so little redevelopment but they were spot on. Kudos NOAA NHC.

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Think it got into some sheer.

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I :heart; Q

Good news: a million power customers got electricity back in the Houston area, but as of this evening, 1.6 million in that area are still without. Not to mention lots of flooding.

You can see Beryl Spinning on top of the Great Lakes currently.

I was in the keys last week.
My boat registered 90+F water everywhere we went.
It was thick too, hit cooler water about 8' below surface when diving offshore.
Was 91 air temp at 11 pm when we left the Whistle Stop.

It moved off of Africa on June 22 and it's still wreaking havoc.

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I was right.

Ah the whistle stop. Its like a smelly, smokey dive from thirty years ago still around based upon the need for the keys to have shithole as a drinking hole.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

I saw a decent novelty wave at alligator reef lighthouse a couple years ago, clean little residual wind swell rolling over the sandbar.
I didn't see any live coral on the shallow reef this year.
Just a sponges and fans hanging on.