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Topic Title: Welcome to 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season! Topic Summary: Created On: 06/01/2024 11:59 AM |
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06/01/2024 11:59 AM
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NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season
La Nina and warmer-than-average ocean temperatures are major drivers of tropical activity https://www.noaa.gov/news-rele...antic-hurricane-season |
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06/01/2024 02:53 PM
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They left out the Saharan dust factor.
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06/01/2024 04:28 PM
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^And the new board curse. I'm doing my part, how about you? Support your local shaper.
------------------------- add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway |
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06/02/2024 02:45 PM
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I'm getting a new roof in August. Definitely something before that.
------------------------- "One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky. |
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06/11/2024 09:38 AM
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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Eastern Gulf of Mexico and Offshore Southeast U.S.: A trough of low pressure over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move northeastward across Florida during the next day or so and offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast later this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally unfavorable, although some slow development is possible when the system is offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of Florida during the next few days. For more information, see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and local National Weather Service Forecast Offices. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Weather Prediction Center products can be found at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov and National Weather Service forecast information can be found at www.weather.gov Forecaster Cangialosi/Kelly |
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06/14/2024 08:10 AM
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Gulf Of Mexico might have first named storm next week:
from NHC discussion: For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will gradually weaken through late today. A Central American Gyre is forecast to develop over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical cyclone to develop from this broad area of low pressure, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf during the early or middle part of next week. Active convection, along with increasing winds and building seas are expected with this system. |
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06/14/2024 08:13 AM
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Wiki page for For the "Central American Gyre":
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_American_gyre |
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06/19/2024 03:23 PM
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First named storm:
Tropical Storm Alberto Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012024 400 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 ...ALBERTO'S CENTER EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO EARLY THURSDAY... ...HEAVY RAINS, COASTAL FLOODING, AND GUSTY WINDS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY... |
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06/27/2024 12:56 PM
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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL95): A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive, and development of this system is anticipated. A tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form this weekend several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. |
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06/28/2024 12:31 PM
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2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A low pressure system located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands is becoming better defined and the associated showers and thunderstorms are increasing in organization. If these trends continue, a tropical depression will likely form later today. This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and approach the Windward Islands by the end of the weekend, and Hurricane or Tropical Storm Watches could be required for portions of that region tonight or early Saturday. For more information, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent. |
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06/29/2024 03:40 AM
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5:50 AM Sat 6/29 | Tropical Storm Beryl is quickly moving westward toward the Windward Islands as it strengthens. Still too early to determine what, if any, impacts for Florida. Visit hurricanes.gov. #FLwx
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06/30/2024 05:54 AM
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That escalated quickly!!
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 800 AM AST Sun Jun 30 2024 Corrected maximum sustained winds in Summary ...BERYL IS NOW A VERY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE... ...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.6N 53.9W ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM ESE OF BARBADOS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.58 INCHES |
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06/30/2024 05:56 AM
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1. Beryl is expected to be an extremely dangerous Category 4
hurricane when it reaches the Windward Islands early Monday, bringing destructive hurricane-force winds and life-threatening storm surge. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for much of the Windward Islands. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0900Z 10.7N 53.1W 85 KT 100 MPH 12H 30/1800Z 11.1N 55.7W 100 KT 115 MPH 24H 01/0600Z 11.8N 59.0W 115 KT 130 MPH 36H 01/1800Z 12.9N 62.5W 115 KT 130 MPH 48H 02/0600Z 14.1N 66.1W 110 KT 125 MPH 60H 02/1800Z 15.4N 70.1W 105 KT 120 MPH 72H 03/0600Z 16.3N 74.0W 100 KT 115 MPH 96H 04/0600Z 17.8N 80.9W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 05/0600Z 19.1N 87.1W 85 KT 100 MPH |
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07/01/2024 09:58 AM
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They used up the name Chris. On to the D's.
BULLETIN Remnants Of Chris Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024 1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 ...CHRIS DISSIPATES OVER THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF EASTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... |
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FORUMS
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Surfing
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Welcome to 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season!
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