Don't know what it is from but storm surf virtual buoy showing rather large swell for next week.

I looked a little more into the Models. they are hinting at a low forming East of the Bahamas next weekend and move NE with also strong NE winds off Hatteras over the weekend. Possible tropical storm/hurricane forming first week of the official start of the season. (knock on wood).

from NHC discussion: A surface trough may form east
of Florida on Thu and Fri.

NBA playoff swell ya don't say....

Which somehow dovetails with being busy afternoon of the 5th through the rest of the work week. Surfline isn't suggesting anything more than 3-4 ft and seems uncertain of timing.

The forecast into Tuesday significantly dropped. I guess the models were just hyping something as usual then drops it as time and the models get more accurate.

I screen grabbed yesterdays surf height prediction and it says 12 feet for June 4th. Today's virtual buoy shows only 4 feet. Thus, wa wa wa...more than likely not happening. June 1st is the official start of Hurricane Season.

Why they didn't name last week's storm is beyond me as looking at the satellite and other real time tools...it looked like a tropical depression. 45mph recorded and a eye had formed.

Saturday-Monday...With the GFS and Euro now latching on the low in
its early phase of development over the gulf, the Euro remains
more consistent with a somewhat consolidated center during its
migration across the peninsula by late Sat/early Sun. Any notable
pressure falls are not indicated during the evolution, thus a
cold core feature would be anticipated by present depictions.
There continues to be some uncertainty with the forecast into the
weekend and early next week.

hopefully something south of the cape, north looks to be on shore winds once again . time will tell

Stormsurf virtual buoy is back showing a bigger swell on the 5th.

The satellite and surface winds are interesting in the sweet spot
NWS models show NE swell M-W

Edited: 06/02/2023 at 10:51 AM by 3rdworldlover

marine forecast:

SUNDAY NIGHT
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

MONDAY
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

MONDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

TUESDAY
Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Looks like we may see a low pressure off of Canaveral. A quick spin up then move NE/East. At least the models are hinting at that.


Sunday-Wednesday...Freshening NE winds Sunday continue into Monday
before slackening Tuesday. 7-12 kt winds gradually veer to the S
Tuesday night, becoming SW on Wednesday. Poor to hazardous boating
conditions are expected from Sunday night through early Tuesday. Seas
2-4 ft Sunday morning build Sunday night into Monday, reaching up to
4-6 ft in the nearshore waters and up to 5-9 ft in the offshore. The
highest seas are expected generally north of Sebastian Inlet. Seas
will return to 2-4 ft by Wednesday.

If you look at the GFS model it looks like Arlene (currently in the gulf) will skim between the Florida keys and Cuba and reform off Canaveral.

'tis the season...

Any pictures of the swell? You don't have to say where.

Never mind this is for future swell. I like to see some pictures from last Saturday. The name can be anonymous of the spot. Anywhere from playalinda to Sebastian. If nobody post them here can you tell me where I can find them?

Edited: 06/03/2023 at 02:10 PM by surfnole

Saturday, May 28th

https://www.gulfster.com/Daily...surf-052823/index.html

https://earth.nullschool.net/#...phic=-77.75,27.43,4136

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Showers and thunderstorms persist over the NW Bahamas, just ahead
of the remnant low of Arlene which is currently approaching Andros
Island. An outer band of showers and thunderstorms has developed
on the E side of the remnant low and now extends over the SE
Bahamas and Camaguey, Cuba. The mid-upper level trough from the
previous days continues to support this convective activity that
extends NE across the western Atlantic, affecting mainly the
waters between 70W and 77W. A surface trough extends from low
pressure east of Bermuda through the NW Bahamas to the remnant
low of Arlene. Latest scatterometer data confirmed a band of
fresh to strong SW winds within 270 to 480 nm southeast of the
low pressure between 55W and 60W. Seas are estimated to be 8 to
11 ft in this band of winds. Farther east, a 1007 mb low pressure
is centered near 28N40W. Satellite derived wind data indicated
fresh to strong westerly winds within 210 nm south of this low.
Combined seas are estimated to be 8 to 12 ft in the area of
strong winds. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters is
under the influence of a 1017 mb high pressure located near
18N38W. Light to gentle winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft dominate most
of the waters from 10N to 20N E of 60W.

For the forecast west of 55W, As previously mentioned, a surface
trough extends from low pressure east of Bermuda through the NW
Bahamas to the remnant low of Arlene. Fresh to strong SW winds
are expected well to the SE of the low, impacting zones mainly
north of 25N and east of 60W. Atlantic high pressure extends from
the central Atlantic westward along 20N and then WNW to the
central Bahamas, and will shift NW to near 23N58W by Wed. Fresh
to strong NE winds and large NE swell are expected over the
waters off northeast Florida through Mon, as a weakening cold
front sinks S into the region. High pressure will move into the
NW waters Tue night and slide E through Thu.

7 feet on 20 mile buoy this Monday, june 5th. Virtual buoys nailed it. Hopefully the swell last in Tuesday lighter winds and Wednesday offshore wind forecast.

Swell looks to drop into Tuesday but hoping something remains. The summer doldrums are coming...flat season...


TUESDAY
East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds.

WEDNESDAY
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.

Any one got eyes on it this evening? Winds died quit a bit. Might be worth a paddle