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Topic Title: Invest 98L
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Created On: 11/06/2022 08:44 AM
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 11/06/2022 08:44 AM
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dingpatch

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 11/06/2022 08:46 AM
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dingpatch

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 11/06/2022 08:51 AM
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Central Floridave

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We need the rain.
 11/06/2022 10:33 AM
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ww

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    Surfline's predicting wave heights up to 30' with lots of wind.


Edited: 11/06/2022 at 10:52 AM by ww
 11/06/2022 05:19 PM
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dingpatch

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This could be a "final straw" for Flagler and Volusia beaches.
, much less for Brevard, , , , , ,

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 11/06/2022 05:35 PM
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ww

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Some beach nourishment in Indian River has been dropped indefinitely for lack of property owner consent. The National Weather Service office in Melbourne added serious hazardous weather comments this evening. As in "prepare for a moderate to strong tropical storm."
 11/07/2022 02:21 AM
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tom

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Nicole. November, only to the N storm, and looking at a hit. Weird.

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 11/07/2022 04:35 AM
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Cole

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Nicole. Near Cat 1 and heading to or near Central Florida?

Tom, I didn't refresh before typing what I typed. We have strange similarities. lol

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Edited: 11/07/2022 at 04:41 AM by Cole
 11/07/2022 06:13 AM
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Central Floridave

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Nicole could be at or near hurricane strength when it moves
near the northwestern Bahamas and the east coast of Florida
Wednesday and Thursday, bringing the potential for a dangerous
storm surge, damaging winds, and heavy rainfall to a portion of
those areas. A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect for the
northwestern Bahamas, and additional watches could be required for
portions of the Bahamas and the coast of Florida later today.
 11/07/2022 07:03 AM
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Central Floridave

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Cold front after Nicole!

then a cool-down for Sun/Mon as maxes struggle to
the U60s to near 70 along/north if I-4, then L-M70s southward,
except U70s for Martin County. Mins generally in the 60s Fri night
and in the 50s Sat night thru Mon night, except barrier islands may
remain in the L-M60s. It may be interesting to see if any normally
cooler areas along/north of I-4 realize U40s for lows.
 11/07/2022 07:29 AM
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SurferMic

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WEDNESDAY Tropical storm conditions possible. North winds 35 to 40 knots with gusts to around 55 knots. Seas 16 to 19 feet with occasional seas to 25 feet........Oh Yeah! Walballyhoo at 25 feet ...should be a blast! Sebby Inlet has been like a good Wabally the least few days....READY for the real deal.
 11/07/2022 10:54 AM
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dingpatch

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the 2:00 forecasts it to become a hurricane Wednesday night.



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 11/07/2022 01:52 PM
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dingpatch

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Latest model track plot from Clark Evans. About half of the models are now "on us" or to the North. This may end up skirting us and scraping Volusia and Flagler CLEAN.



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Edited: 11/08/2022 at 05:10 AM by dingpatch
 11/07/2022 08:53 PM
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Cole

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I just got a coastal flood warning on my phone. Shall we stick with the names of the collapsed condos for our new reef breaks or come up with something more original?

This thing is going to carve away a serious amount of sand.

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 11/07/2022 10:11 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

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Eclipse - check. Election - check. Full moon - check. King tide - check. The fix is in. Fasten down what's left of Flagler pier. I don' think it's gonna make it thru this one..
 11/08/2022 12:54 AM
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ww

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NHC Tues. 4 am:
    2. Hurricane conditions are possible across portions of the coast of southeast and east-central Florida beginning late Wednesday or Wednesday night, where a Hurricane Watch is in effect. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning areas in Florida and Georgia beginning early Wednesday.
    3. A dangerous storm surge is expected along much of the east coast of Florida and portions of coastal Georgia where a storm surge warning is in effect. The storm surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. Residents in the warning area should listen to advice given by local officials.


Edited: 11/08/2022 at 02:00 AM by ww
 11/08/2022 05:20 AM
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dingpatch

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I have Government notifications shut off on my phone: I only need to know when it is time to Lock and Load.

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 11/08/2022 05:24 AM
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tom

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Spaghetti models are showing a pretty good jog to the north from yesterday. Running right over us. NHC doesn't seem to have caught up yet. Bleah.

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 11/08/2022 05:30 AM
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dingpatch

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Jacksonville always needs a good flushing, , , , ,

And yes, the NHC track looks to be the last one "to the South"; with all the others to the North of the NHC.

The remains of the Flagler Pier are Toast.

What kind of a mess would we have if the Cocoa Beach Pier got "hit"? As I remember, it can only be "repaired" and not "rebuilt"; it is too close to the Port and, as such, it is a "hazard to navigation".

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Edited: 11/08/2022 at 05:36 AM by dingpatch
 11/08/2022 05:34 AM
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Cole

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Europe models have it north of us and they were spot on for the last bunghole that came through. More slice would be nice.

Mr Toad's Wild Ride at the 120 right now.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41010

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I was right.

Edited: 11/08/2022 at 05:37 AM by Cole
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