Looks like the Atlantic may start to wake up next week finally as GFS has a couple of systems showing next week. Fingers crossed.

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If it’s legal will do it, if it’s not legal, we’ll figure out how to change the law-Joe Biden

Crossed in more ways than one 1) it stays offshore and 2) it builds enough that we get some good surf.

Not even gonna look at the models to not curse it.

Rain!!

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"I am not going to be lectured on Gun control by an administration that armed the Taliban"

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Dora Hates You

http://www.foxweather.com/weat...orm-development-august

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I was right.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 7 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located just off the west coast of Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far
eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear generally
conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern
and central tropical Atlantic, and a tropical depression could form
around the middle part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Papin

NASA Atlantic dust animation. We might get dosed on Wednesday. Loads slow. Be patient.

Edited: 08/07/2022 at 01:15 PM by ww

File Error: Requested data is unavailable at this time.

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Dora Hates You

Now working.

Like a cat with a ball of yarn. haha.

I SEE NOTHING.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

Cool

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If it’s legal will do it, if it’s not legal, we’ll figure out how to change the law-Joe Biden

496
AXNT20 KNHC 082200
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0005 UTC Tue Aug 9 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 22W, south
of 20N, moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is observed from 08N to 15N and between 20W
and 30W. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development over the next several days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern
and central tropical Atlantic. A tropical depression could form
by the middle to latter portion of this week before environmental
conditions become less favorable by this weekend. The current
outlook gives the disturbance has a medium chance of development
during the next 5 days.

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Dora Hates You

Small SE long period swell showing on the loooooong range. Aug 17th-20th. Bahama Block in effect thus look up North. It's only a matter of time the boiler pot blows it's lid!

46th Anniversary of Hurricane Belle August 7-11, 1976

Edited: 08/09/2022 at 12:50 PM by eastcoastersrule

Tropical Wave Swell! Looks like at least an enhanced trade wind swell with this system. virtual buoys do show a small uptick next week. Seems like this is how the hurricane season starts. A tease at first. School starts (today), then football season, then we start getting Fall swells. Hope I just didn't curse it.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is
still possible over the next few days. However, environmental
conditions are forecast to become less favorable by this weekend.
This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at 15
to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days ...low... 10 percent. Um, I did just order a board.

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway

I guess the Saharan Dust is keeping everything "down".

The Moon rise last night was pretty hazy and red.

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Dora Hates You

Twas a tease for now it seems but it wont be long. PR trip lined up for end of September, need to shake the dust off these paddle muscles.

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If it’s legal will do it, if it’s not legal, we’ll figure out how to change the law-Joe Biden