Hang 10... or as they now say...hit the lip!

2nd Light Forums
Decrease font size
Increase font size
Topic Title: Big Surf coming up.
Topic Summary:
Created On: 11/04/2021 08:02 AM
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch
1 2 Next Last unread
Topic Tools Topic Tools
View topic in raw text format. Print this topic.
 11/04/2021 08:02 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Central Floridave

Posts: 50347
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

If you have been watching the wave models it's pretty obvious we got some weather coming with big surf starting this weekend and next week!


.COASTAL FLOODING...
High astronomical tides, occurring at the same time as strong
northeast winds that develop behind the cold front, is expected to
lead to coastal flooding in some locations starting Friday morning
into the weekend. Some increase in water levels along the coast
will first be noticed during the high tide cycle early this
morning, then become more pronounced during the high tides on the
mornings of Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. With that, a Coastal
Flood Watch is in effect for the aforementioned period. A High
Surf Advisory and/or High Risk of Rip Currents is possibly needed
to be issued sometime today or tonight.



Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
940 AM EDT Thu Nov 4 2021

THIS AFTERNOON
North winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to
15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas
to 5 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the
intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.

TONIGHT
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with
occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. A light
chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms after midnight.

FRIDAY
Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with
occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on
the intracoastal waters. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.

FRIDAY NIGHT
East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north after
midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. Choppy
on the intracoastal waters. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.

SATURDAY
North winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to
25 knots in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas
to 13 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and
slight chance of thunderstorms.

SATURDAY NIGHT
North winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 8 to 10 feet
with occasional seas to 13 feet. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms.

SUNDAY
North winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 15 to
20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas
to 11 feet. Slight chance of showers.

SUNDAY NIGHT
North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with
occasional seas to 11 feet. Slight chance of showers.

MONDAY
North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with
occasional seas to 10 feet.


 11/04/2021 08:15 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Central Floridave

Posts: 50347
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

snippets from NWS melbourne Wx discussion:

Fri-Sat...Wet and unsettled pattern expected Friday into Friday
night, as low pressure pushes eastward across the FL peninsula
along a stalled front near to just north of Lake Okeechobee.
Strengthening mid-upper level trough/closed low moving through the
Southeast U.S. will deepen this low pressure at the sfc as it
shifts just offshore the east central Florida coast late Friday
night into early weekend. This will lead to increasing northerly
winds producing breezy/windy conditions across much of east
central FL into Saturday.

Sun-Wed...Closed low/trough aloft pushes off the southeast U.S.
coast into Sunday, shifting deepening low pressure farther E/NE of
the area. High pressure gradually builds in behind this system
and across the area from early to middle of next week, with low
level winds gradually veering from northerly Sun-Mon to onshore
into Tue- Wed. Drier air continues to build into the area, with
only a slight chance of showers along the coast into Sunday. PoPs
then remain out of the forecast Mon-Tue, before some slight
moistening in the lower levels may bring back a few onshore moving
showers into Wednesday, mainly near to south of the Cape. Breezy
conditions may persist, especially along the coast into Sun-Mon,
before wind speeds then decrease toward mid-week. Highs in the low
to mid 70s on Sunday will slowly warm through the period, back
into the low 80s by Wednesday. Overnight lows will remain in the
50s to low 60s over much of the area Sunday and Monday nights, and
then rise slightly into the 60s Tuesday and Wednesday nights.

Fri-Sun...Low pressure will cross central FL and deepen off the
east central FL coast into late Friday-Saturday. Winds will
gradually increase out of the E/NE up to 15-20 knots on Friday
with additional increases expected into Saturday as winds back to
the N/NW. Some uncertainly remains in exact position of low
pressure and how long it lingers off the coast, but solid SCA
conditions will likely occur as northerly winds increase up to
20-25 knots and seas build into the weekend (forecast up to 10-14
feet currently).

However, some model guidance even indicates Gale conditions could
be possible over the coastal waters, on the west side of this
strengthening low pressure as it moves slowly E/NE from Saturday
into Saturday night. Mariners should keep a close eye on the
forecast for late week into the weekend for any significant
changes, and at least expect poor to hazardous boating conditions
developing into Friday, that will continue to deteriorate through
the weekend.

Mon...Hazardous boating conditions are forecast to continue into
early next week with N/NE winds up to 15-20 knots and seas up to
7-11 feet.
 11/04/2021 08:17 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Central Floridave

Posts: 50347
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Viva la Victory-At-Sea!

 11/04/2021 12:40 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


johnnyboy

Posts: 20871
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

As of today. Surfline puts the wind offshore down here in Palm Beach county for Saturday afternoon and Sunday.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 11/04/2021 01:46 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


greenroom50

Posts: 8
Joined Forum: 06/20/2008

No kidding. Drift Session for sure. Expect plenty of kites out there.

-------------------------

Reggae Music for Good Causes

 11/04/2021 05:13 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


johnnyboy

Posts: 20871
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

55 degrees in the morning. Heavy wind. Going to be crazy.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 11/05/2021 05:06 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


johnnyboy

Posts: 20871
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

James Weiland the weatherman is bringing me back to earth: SUNDAY: NE swell picks up shoulder-head-overhead high and peaky with some power. Hard north tilt will open some lines up too. Might be a barrel-fest at some spots. could push farther south eventually. Wind breezy offshore (NW) in the morning and only turning NNW in the afternoon so staying relatively clean all day.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 11/05/2021 05:40 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Plan B

Posts: 3260
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

Already blowing galeforce here in St. Aug... and rain forecast is 5" ++
 11/05/2021 06:34 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


long_flaco1

Posts: 1381
Joined Forum: 09/25/2003

Some forecasters are calling for OFFSHORES Sunday 3'-5' foot swell with 7-9 sec period intervals!!! Im getting giddy!!!!

-------------------------
SK8 AND DESTROY
 11/05/2021 06:47 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


mp2115

Posts: 134
Joined Forum: 05/29/2009

Me too, but 20/30mph offshores might need a wave runner to get you in. Hoping for a window with lighter winds.
 11/05/2021 06:51 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Central Floridave

Posts: 50347
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Low pressure formed in the Gulf overnight.
 11/05/2021 06:54 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Central Floridave

Posts: 50347
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
405 AM EDT Fri Nov 5 2021

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

TODAY
East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with
occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on
the intracoastal waters. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.

SATURDAY
West winds 20 to 25 knots.
Seas 6 to 8 feet with
occasional seas to 10 feet. A dominant period 10 seconds. Rough
on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 8 to
10 feet with occasional seas to 13 feet. Rough on the
intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.

SUNDAY
Northwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with
occasional seas to 11 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters.
Slight chance of showers.

SUNDAY NIGHT
North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with
occasional seas to 10 feet. Slight chance of showers.

MONDAY
North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet with
occasional seas to 11 feet.

MONDAY NIGHT
North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with
occasional seas to 10 feet.

TUESDAY
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with
occasional seas to 10 feet.

 11/05/2021 06:55 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Central Floridave

Posts: 50347
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

In other news, the NHC named Tropical Storm Wanda. Not a wave maker for us as it is way out in the North Atlantic.
 11/05/2021 08:03 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


pumphouse

Posts: 898
Joined Forum: 07/23/2003

a workingmans swell 2 weekends in a row, a very Rare event for us South Floridians

-------------------------
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who do not have it." - George Bernard Shaw
 11/05/2021 01:09 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


ww

Posts: 15335
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007

European model and US GFS are giving very different swell forecasts. European bigger.
 11/05/2021 04:04 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


pumphouse

Posts: 898
Joined Forum: 07/23/2003

Trending a bit smaller for the weekend down here

-------------------------
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who do not have it." - George Bernard Shaw
 11/05/2021 07:02 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


SurfCaster

Posts: 473
Joined Forum: 02/02/2007

Swell has refracto written all over it

-------------------------
"If I say it's safe to surf this beach, captain, then it's safe to surf this beach!"
 11/06/2021 03:03 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


tom

Posts: 7151
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

20 miler this AM.

-------------------------
add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 11/06/2021 06:54 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


ncsurf

Posts: 179
Joined Forum: 02/23/2011

Originally posted by: ww European model and US GFS are giving very different swell forecasts. European bigger.
Where do you get the european swell model from?
 11/06/2021 07:25 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


pumphouse

Posts: 898
Joined Forum: 07/23/2003

forget that call for small size, its going to be sizable take a look at boyton inlet cam

-------------------------
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who do not have it." - George Bernard Shaw
FORUMS : Surfing : Big Surf coming up.

1 2 Next Last unread
Topic Tools Topic Tools
Statistics
146287 users are registered to the 2nd Light Forums forum.
There are currently 0 users logged in to the forum.

FuseTalk Basic Edition - © 1999-2022 FuseTalk Inc. All rights reserved.

Hey Matt B ... How the hell o are you ??? :)