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Topic Title: Tropics strangely quiet now Topic Summary: Created On: 09/25/2020 11:47 AM |
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10/18/2020 05:04 AM
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Lots of fetch pointing this way, and both GFS & EURO unusually in sync in regards to the open ocean low. GFS ditched the carribean supercane, so hopefully we get some light wind windows (common theme this year).... could be battle of the weekend warriors next weekend. Everyone go get really drunk after work next friday
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10/19/2020 01:33 PM
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10/20/2020 09:57 AM
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2 days in a row of real fun/challenging HIGH TIDE mid to shore pound. You can get a chip shot in on the big ones and they are unloading in the deep shore break....King tides are good for this windswell/swell event. knee to heah-high+ and everything in between,, Pulled back on some drainers that would have snapped a board...Drift S to N today (was N-S yesterday)...so more of the Storm sets are reaching the beach...GO!!! Water is warm!
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10/20/2020 10:46 AM
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Yeah, I went out for a HT "lunchbreak".... wasnt dumping as hard here (too high) but some chunky ones. wind was kinda light for an hour, so I got away from the desk and got some exercise. good to loosen up before the incoming........ Biggest swell of the season may come from a tropical storm.... solid fetch. BONERS: .
Edited: 10/20/2020 at 10:58 AM by Plan B |
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10/20/2020 01:51 PM
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10/21/2020 05:58 AM
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. Detailed Wave Summary
for 41049 as of
1140 GMT on 10/21/2020:
These wave data are displayed in rounded times.
Unit of Measure:
Time Zone:
Click on the graph icon in the table below to see a time series plot of the last five days of that observation.
5-day plot - Significant Wave Height Significant Wave Height (WVHT): 17.7 ft
5-day plot - Swell Height Swell Height (SwH): 15.4 ft
5-day plot - Swell Period Swell Period (SwP): 13.8 sec 5-day plot - Swell Direction Swell Direction (SwD): ENE
Edited: 10/21/2020 at 05:59 AM by Plan B |
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10/21/2020 08:30 AM
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41049 Swell Height Swell Height (SwH): 19.0 ft
5-day plot - Swell Period Swell Period (SwP): 13.8 sec
5-day plot - Swell Direction Swell Direction (SwD): ENE
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10/21/2020 08:43 AM
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Epsilon is maintaining a healthy satellite appearance this morning
after its rapid intensification last night. A 10-to-15 n mi-wide
eye is evident in visible satellite imagery this morning, and 0815Z
GMI 89 GHz microwave imagery shows a closed eyewall with deep
convection surrounding the well-defined center. Objective satellite
estimates from UW-CIMSS and subjective Dvorak classifications from
SAB and TAFB support raising the initial intensity to 80 kt with
this advisory. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
should be in the area this afternoon for a better estimate.
Epsilon took a brief westward jog this morning, and its initial
motion is now estimated at 285/10 kt. A mid-level ridge to the
north-northeast of the cyclone should continue steering Epsilon
toward the west-northwest today with a slightly slower forward
speed. Then, another ridge is forecast to build to the east of
the hurricane, which should turn the cyclone toward the northwest
on Thursday and northward on Friday.
Weak vertical wind shear and waters with marginal oceanic heat
content could allow for some additional modest strengthening
toda , and the NHC intensity forecast now brings Epsilon to a 85-kt
hurricane in 12 h.
Edited: 10/21/2020 at 08:44 AM by Plan B |
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10/21/2020 08:44 AM
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Decent sets rolling in on the cams. The swell looks hard south, even at the port.
------------------------- I was right. |
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10/21/2020 11:19 AM
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Hi Tide Indi Lunch report....bigger, much more energy than yesterday, Head High+ fun..but low wave count, just out-of-sync with the sets today, took a few beatings...and someone ripped off my $15 cheap black sandels at the neighborhood beach??? I hope the scumbag gets karama...Air BnBer's only ones around, now I have to hide my sandels out front? F Air BNB!
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10/21/2020 11:55 AM
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wind hasn't been kind to us on these last couple of storm systems
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10/21/2020 12:11 PM
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10/21/2020 12:42 PM
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Washington Post (they have good weather coverage):
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10/22/2020 04:24 AM
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Hoping we SCORE this weekend, cuz I'm Kinda wishing I made the mega-trek to OBX rt now.
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10/22/2020 04:26 AM
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Getting closer. NW BAHAMA BUOY: 41047 as of (6:40 am EDT)
1040 GMT on 10/22/2020:
5-day plot - Significant Wave Height Significant Wave Height (WVHT): 10.8 ft
5-day plot - Swell Height Swell Height (SwH): 10.2 ft
5-day plot - Swell Period Swell Period (SwP): 14.8 sec
5-day plot - Swell Direction Swell Direction (SwD): E
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10/22/2020 07:13 AM
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The 20 miler is 8.2 at 11. Swell certainly isn't a problem.
Loving the east wind. ------------------------- I was right. |
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10/22/2020 07:26 AM
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------------------------- Dora Hates You |
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10/22/2020 08:58 AM
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------------------------- get up early and go surf - it'll make that hangover go away and/or make the workday more tolerable :) |
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10/22/2020 10:38 AM
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I just use Surfline as a quick check forecast. If you take away their obvious hypefactor/fudgefactor, it can be somewhat accurate.
I bet this swell peaks tomorrow. By Sunday it will be waist high but less winds |
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10/22/2020 11:15 AM
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Surfline is pretty good but I've noticed they habitually under call the swell, if they say the swell is 3-5 foot, it usually is actually 4-6. And they do the same thing with the wind, tomorrow being a good example. Surfline says 6-8k knots all day but will most likely be 8-10 knots all day.
I also can't figure out where they pull the numbers for their swells category if you click a surf spot. For example it says 7.7ft @ 10S and 2.6ft @ 12S for Cocoa Beach Pier but none of the buoys at Canaveral or further out show those numbers even if you look back a few hours from the most current reading to find a reading that matches.
So I always look at Surfline, Patrick AFB's wind readings, and the 20 mile buoy to get an idea of what's going on when I can't take a look 1st hand myself.
------------------------- Heavy is sign of reliability |
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Tropics strangely quiet now
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