YES it does LOL

-------------------------


When America was "great"

Hey Cole, what jellyfish are out there? I've never had any reaction to jelly's, even pulled man-o-war off my leg with plenty of pain but minimal redness. Whatever I hit with the top of my foot on Friday left a serious mark. Nice red purple blob about 3" and it was a pretty intense sting. Strongest I've ever felt from a jelly.

Mauve Stinger maybe?

It's gotten Griffin twice in Two days and they are nasty stings. What ever they are, they stay near the bottom and the are smart enough to not get washed up on shore. He said they body felt hard, as did a local girl that got hit. I really have no idea?



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I was right.

Three named storms before the season started. One storm formed from the Carolinas.
One has formed over Jacksonville. Two storms hit the gulf coast within five days of each other, one a Cat 4. We are at the letter M and tomorrow is September first, technically, we are just reaching the active part of hurricane season. Iowa had a storm with sustained 100 mph wind that caused $4 billion in damage.

Has every one of these happened before? Yes.

Have they all happened within the first half of hurricane season? Nope.

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I was right.

http://www.brevardtimes.com/20...n-florida-beaches/amp/

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Brevard Surf Report

That explains some things. Thanks Palm.



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I was right.

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fifteen Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020
1100 AM EDT Tue Sep 01 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM LAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.7N 73.1W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen
was located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 73.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h)
This general motion is forecast today, followed by a turn toward
the east by Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of the
depression will continue to move away from the North Carolina coast
today.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression could become a tropical storm later today or
tonight. Gradual weakening is anticipated by late Wednesday. The
system is forecast to become a remnant low on Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by the depression will continue to affect
portions of the Outer Banks of North Carolina through this evening,
causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

500 PM EDT Tue Sep 01 2020

...TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORMS BUT EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED...

Tropical Storm Omar Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020
500 PM EDT Tue Sep 01 2020

Satellite images show that the system remains sheared with a
bursting pattern on satellite, occasionally exposing the center,
and a large area of curved bands in the southeastern quadrant of
the circulation. Almost all of the subjective and objective Dvorak
estimates, along with SATCON values, are between 35 to 40 kt, and
the lower number is chosen as the initial wind speed since
scatterometer data suggests 30 to 35 kt. This makes Omar the 15th
named storm of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, and is the
earliest 15th storm on record, besting the previous mark by about
a week from Ophelia of 2005.

Any chance for strengthening should end by tomorrow afternoon due
to greatly increasing shear, and weakening is likely to commence by
then. The persistence of the shear should cause the cyclone to
decay into a remnant low in about 48 hours, if not sooner. No
significant changes were made to the previous forecast, which is
near the model consensus.

The initial motion remains east-northeast or 065/13 kt. The
cyclone is being steered by the northern side of the subtropical
ridge, which is forecast to cause a similar motion through tomorrow
and an eastward turn late week due to the orientation of the ridge.
The only notable change to the forecast is a slow down at long
range in most of the guidance, probably due to a shallow system
no longer feeling the stronger deep-layer winds, so the NHC track
prediction follows suit. The remnant low should dissipate in 4-5
days.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/2100Z 35.3N 71.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 02/0600Z 36.1N 69.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 02/1800Z 36.7N 66.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 03/0600Z 37.2N 63.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 03/1800Z 37.2N 61.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 04/0600Z 37.0N 59.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 04/1800Z 37.0N 57.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 05/1800Z 39.5N 53.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

Fairly slow start for a forecasted "record breaking " year...... does this mean the ocean is off o the races in the next couple of weeks? potentially......

Slow start? We already have an 'N' storm

Ha, fair enough... I guess you got a point.

Definitely slow for swell

NWS padding numbers, they have been doing it for years, most likely Lobbying by the giant insurance co. They want more storms total so they can say , we are raising rates due to the record number of Tropical storms...It's a scam...even a local Wx man said they should not have named Omar, It did not meet all of the requirements for a Tropical Storm!!!...Same with adding Sub-Tropical storms like Kyle, this year. Its about $$$, "Why are you raising my rates, AGAIN"--Ins. Answer. - "We had a record breaking year, just look at how many named storms there was"...And please stop naming Winter lows , that is just another ploy by big insurance to make a normal winter seem like it was extreme Winter chaos.

someone gets it ^

-------------------------

sneedeker

While I do agree on your premise in regards to the hype, to be fair "Omar" looks like it legitimately checks the boxes:

Edited: 09/02/2020 at 12:05 PM by Plan B

Always a conspiracy.. LOL

-------------------------


When America was "great"

^^^ I respect your above image and comments...I guess it's splitting hairs ... AT the peak of strength, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH....***Notice the NEAR 35kTS*** (35 KTS is the lowest wind speed for a TS) and those winds are only in 2 Quadrants...There was no Hurricane Hunters , this was all Model data. I don't fully buy into the naming of Omar using model data and no observations/measurements. Questionable to say the least. They need to update the classification to sustained winds of 40 mph or greater around the entire center of circulation. Yeah like that will ever happen, Hype sells and profits Ins Co's...No subtropical storms should be included IMO, it's a regular summertime low that has a cold core upper level env, Anyways , hope the next one off Africa sends waves and no destruction

Edited: 09/02/2020 at 02:31 PM by SurferMic

Fair enough.... but also prob not worth the $$$ to send a Hurricane hunter plane into a system like that. and hopefully your wish come true:

Edited: 09/03/2020 at 04:43 AM by Plan B