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Topic Title: Is it to early to start up the Hype train ? Topic Summary: The Low that came off Africa looks like it could make a run up the coast Created On: 07/25/2020 04:54 PM |
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch |
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- Kimo63 | - 07/25/2020 04:54 PM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/26/2020 04:29 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/26/2020 04:54 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/26/2020 06:06 AM |
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- jdbman | - 07/26/2020 06:24 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/26/2020 06:45 AM |
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- Cole | - 07/26/2020 07:41 AM |
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- sattylife | - 07/26/2020 07:10 PM |
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- fishkller | - 07/26/2020 08:41 PM |
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- all3 | - 07/26/2020 09:24 PM |
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- jdbman | - 07/27/2020 07:23 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/27/2020 12:26 PM |
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- harrietdubman | - 07/27/2020 12:44 PM |
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- K07 | - 07/27/2020 08:17 PM |
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- Plan B | - 07/28/2020 04:08 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/28/2020 06:08 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/28/2020 06:12 AM |
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- tom | - 07/28/2020 06:15 AM |
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- tom | - 07/28/2020 06:25 AM |
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- garcia | - 07/28/2020 06:40 AM |
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- mp2115 | - 07/28/2020 06:44 AM |
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- seaspray | - 07/28/2020 06:49 AM |
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- long_flaco1 | - 07/28/2020 07:47 AM |
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- garcia | - 07/28/2020 08:06 AM |
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- mp2115 | - 07/28/2020 08:25 AM |
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- garcia | - 07/28/2020 08:38 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/28/2020 08:42 AM |
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- LaJune | - 07/28/2020 08:59 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/28/2020 09:09 AM |
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- mp2115 | - 07/28/2020 09:10 AM |
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- Kimo63 | - 07/26/2020 08:45 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/26/2020 11:47 AM |
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- Greensleeves | - 07/26/2020 12:05 PM |
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- GreenLantern | - 07/26/2020 01:03 PM |
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- RiddleMe | - 07/26/2020 01:19 PM |
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- Cole | - 07/26/2020 02:55 PM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/27/2020 08:36 AM |
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- long_flaco1 | - 07/27/2020 09:06 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/28/2020 04:01 AM |
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- Kimo63 | - 07/28/2020 12:06 PM |
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- GreenLantern | - 07/28/2020 01:11 PM |
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- scostuart | - 07/28/2020 01:43 PM |
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- Kimo63 | - 07/28/2020 05:10 PM |
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- tom | - 07/28/2020 05:13 PM |
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- Cole | - 07/28/2020 06:49 PM |
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- Dahui321 | - 07/29/2020 03:06 AM |
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- scostuart | - 07/29/2020 04:32 AM |
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- StirfryMcflurry | - 07/29/2020 01:46 PM |
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- mp2115 | - 07/29/2020 05:41 AM |
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- SrfGtr | - 07/29/2020 05:52 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/29/2020 03:24 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/29/2020 04:17 AM |
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- GreenLantern | - 07/29/2020 04:23 AM |
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- johnnyboy | - 07/29/2020 05:55 AM |
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- Skunkape | - 07/29/2020 07:07 AM |
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- Cole | - 07/29/2020 07:18 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/29/2020 08:24 AM |
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- GreenLantern | - 07/29/2020 08:41 AM |
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- Greensleeves | - 07/29/2020 10:56 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/29/2020 11:33 AM |
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- tom | - 07/29/2020 11:58 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/29/2020 12:31 PM |
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- scombrid | - 07/29/2020 12:56 PM |
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- scombrid | - 07/29/2020 12:58 PM |
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- StirfryMcflurry | - 07/29/2020 01:09 PM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/29/2020 01:11 PM |
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- Kimo63 | - 07/29/2020 01:31 PM |
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- Cole | - 07/29/2020 04:04 PM |
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- TATTOO74 | - 07/30/2020 05:43 AM |
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- RiddleMe | - 07/30/2020 05:49 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/30/2020 06:01 AM |
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- RiddleMe | - 07/30/2020 06:18 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/30/2020 07:23 AM |
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- e11even | - 07/30/2020 08:30 AM |
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- GREG | - 07/30/2020 08:43 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/30/2020 08:52 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/30/2020 09:33 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/30/2020 02:24 PM |
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- LongboardsnDonuts | - 07/30/2020 02:02 PM |
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- Kimo63 | - 07/29/2020 06:31 PM |
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- Cole | - 07/29/2020 07:16 PM |
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- waterlizard25 | - 07/30/2020 05:32 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/30/2020 06:01 AM |
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- seaspray | - 07/30/2020 06:13 AM |
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- Cole | - 07/30/2020 08:48 AM |
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- K07 | - 07/29/2020 07:24 PM |
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- paddleout | - 07/29/2020 09:21 PM |
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- mp2115 | - 07/30/2020 02:16 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/30/2020 04:47 AM |
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- paddleout | - 07/30/2020 05:10 AM |
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- long_flaco1 | - 07/30/2020 06:01 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/30/2020 11:01 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/30/2020 11:03 AM |
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- Cole | - 07/30/2020 11:29 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 07/30/2020 01:04 PM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/30/2020 01:59 PM |
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- paddleout | - 07/30/2020 02:24 PM |
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- paddleout | - 07/30/2020 02:25 PM |
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- Plan B | - 07/30/2020 02:28 PM |
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- paddleout | - 07/30/2020 02:29 PM |
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- seaspray | - 07/30/2020 02:56 PM |
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- K07 | - 07/30/2020 03:51 PM |
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- StirfryMcflurry | - 07/31/2020 03:23 PM |
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- Kimo63 | - 07/30/2020 05:56 PM |
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- paddleout | - 07/30/2020 06:25 PM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/31/2020 03:57 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/31/2020 04:08 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/31/2020 04:32 AM |
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- StirfryMcflurry | - 07/31/2020 05:33 AM |
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- RiddleMe | - 07/31/2020 08:53 AM |
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- StirfryMcflurry | - 07/31/2020 10:57 AM |
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- seaspray | - 07/31/2020 11:11 AM |
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- dkaye | - 07/31/2020 11:12 AM |
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- RiddleMe | - 07/31/2020 11:25 AM |
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- seaspray | - 07/31/2020 11:27 AM |
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- RiddleMe | - 07/31/2020 11:32 AM |
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- Plan B | - 07/31/2020 12:01 PM |
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- paddleout | - 07/31/2020 03:49 PM |
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- ww | - 07/31/2020 07:01 PM |
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- equipeola | - 07/31/2020 12:08 PM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/31/2020 12:39 PM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/31/2020 12:40 PM |
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- sw | - 07/31/2020 01:01 PM |
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- slideaway | - 07/31/2020 01:05 PM |
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- dkaye | - 07/31/2020 03:34 PM |
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- johnnyboy | - 07/31/2020 02:36 PM |
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- Cole | - 07/31/2020 02:51 PM |
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- RocketSurf | - 07/31/2020 02:53 PM |
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- goldfinger | - 07/31/2020 03:18 PM |
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- RiddleMe | - 07/31/2020 03:45 PM |
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- Cole | - 08/01/2020 07:17 AM |
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- scombrid | - 08/01/2020 08:16 AM |
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- scombrid | - 08/01/2020 08:57 AM |
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- IamSAW | - 08/01/2020 08:59 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 07/31/2020 07:59 PM |
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- ww | - 08/01/2020 01:09 AM |
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- mp2115 | - 08/01/2020 02:08 AM |
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- mp2115 | - 08/01/2020 02:21 AM |
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- scombrid | - 08/01/2020 02:27 AM |
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- Surfconch1 | - 08/01/2020 04:35 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 08/01/2020 04:50 AM |
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- ww | - 08/01/2020 05:08 AM |
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- sharkfood | - 08/01/2020 04:58 AM |
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- RiddleMe | - 08/01/2020 09:29 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 08/01/2020 10:15 AM |
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- jdbman | - 08/01/2020 05:51 AM |
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- scombrid | - 08/01/2020 06:44 AM |
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- scombrid | - 08/01/2020 06:49 AM |
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- paddleout | - 08/01/2020 09:01 AM |
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- scombrid | - 08/01/2020 09:20 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 08/01/2020 06:51 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 08/01/2020 09:24 AM |
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- Central Floridave | - 08/01/2020 10:22 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 08/01/2020 10:39 AM |
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- Kimo63 | - 08/01/2020 12:17 PM |
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- pumphouse | - 08/01/2020 01:29 PM |
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- paddleout | - 08/01/2020 01:31 PM |
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- scombrid | - 08/01/2020 01:43 PM |
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- StirfryMcflurry | - 08/01/2020 02:12 PM |
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- scostuart | - 08/01/2020 02:18 PM |
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- Central Floridave | - 08/01/2020 04:15 PM |
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- Plan B | - 08/01/2020 05:06 PM |
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- johnnyboy | - 08/01/2020 08:42 PM |
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- paddleout | - 08/01/2020 10:07 PM |
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- ww | - 08/02/2020 01:47 AM |
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- equipeola | - 08/02/2020 05:46 AM |
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- dingpatch | - 08/02/2020 06:09 AM |
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- scombrid | - 08/02/2020 07:21 AM |
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- Cole | - 08/02/2020 10:36 AM |
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- johnnyboy | - 08/02/2020 02:13 PM |
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- Cole | - 08/02/2020 03:37 PM |
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- Cole | - 08/02/2020 04:13 PM |
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- paddleout | - 08/02/2020 04:32 PM |
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- tom | - 08/02/2020 05:31 PM |
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- scombrid | - 08/02/2020 10:14 PM |
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- scombrid | - 08/02/2020 10:25 PM |
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- GreenLantern | - 08/03/2020 02:51 AM |
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- GreenLantern | - 08/03/2020 02:52 AM |
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- dkaye | - 08/03/2020 04:20 AM |
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- Plan B | - 08/03/2020 04:51 AM |
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- Cole | - 08/03/2020 06:27 AM |
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- RiddleMe | - 08/03/2020 08:55 AM |
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- long_flaco1 | - 08/03/2020 09:22 AM |
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- scombrid | - 08/03/2020 10:19 AM |
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- IamSAW2 | - 08/03/2020 11:00 AM |
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- seaspray | - 08/03/2020 11:04 AM |
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- Cole | - 08/03/2020 11:44 AM |
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- Cole | - 08/03/2020 11:44 AM |
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- scombrid | - 08/03/2020 01:02 PM |
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- scostuart | - 08/03/2020 01:27 PM |
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- SurferMic | - 08/03/2020 01:49 PM |
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- Cole | - 08/03/2020 04:17 PM |
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- Ragga P | - 08/03/2020 04:55 PM |
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- goldfinger | - 08/03/2020 05:07 PM |
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- Central Floridave | - 08/03/2020 05:56 PM |
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- Central Floridave | - 08/03/2020 06:49 PM |
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- mp2115 | - 08/04/2020 02:56 AM |
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- dkaye | - 08/04/2020 03:38 AM |
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- johnnyboy | - 08/04/2020 06:48 AM |
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- Plan B | - 08/04/2020 08:04 AM |
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- Tiptime | - 08/05/2020 07:20 AM |
 Topic Tools
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 07/27/2020 12:26 PM
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07/27/2020 12:44 PM
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------------------------- sneedeker Edited: 07/27/2020 at 12:46 PM by harrietdubman |
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07/27/2020 08:17 PM
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It doesn't have to do much really.. it's a-symmetrical yes but on the northern half. The larger wind field is good for swell generation, so as long as it doesn't dive into the Caribbean it should usher in a nice SE swell for the weekend (Euro has trended a bit north today too aligning more with the GFS). With this scenario, falling apart as it approaches keeps our conditions good and doesn't threaten a costly landfall (swell will already be created). It's kind of a rare but good scenario. Normally when they approach like this we don't get swell before the bad winds, and we're praying for a recurve to avoid landfall and to get the good conditions. The next 48 hours are key.
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07/28/2020 04:08 AM
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07/28/2020 06:08 AM
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Tracking more West.
The spaghetti models now show it coming into FLA. 
------------------------- Dora Hates You |
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07/28/2020 06:12 AM
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Yep, as previously discussed here, I've lived in Brevard since 1954 and I AM OVER IT! If it's going to be here as anything close to even a CAT 1, I'm Out Of Here!
But, then again, on last night's weather on WFTV (Ch 9) Tom Terry was showing longer term projections that show this as a big blob of rain passing to the south of Cuba but, with plenty of Wet for us. "Most" models do not show it becoming a hurricane. We shall see by Thursday night. ------------------------- Dora Hates You Edited: 07/28/2020 at 06:16 AM by dingpatch |
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07/28/2020 06:15 AM
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Funny, from ding's graphic above, "NHC Advisories and County Emergency Management statements supersede..." bla bla bla. Notice the only model missing? NHC.
 We're doomed.
------------------------- add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway |
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07/28/2020 06:25 AM
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FWIW: Looked at the Navy's site, FNMOC, just now. GFS show a fizzle on Sat. WW3 shows a fairly strong storm <100 miles off 2ndlight on Sun. Be prepared scouts.
------------------------- add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway |
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07/28/2020 06:40 AM
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I don't know what sites to believe anymore. I used to use weatherunderground, and especially follow the Euro model but, after McMasters sold it, they are garbage. They don't even have a forecast for 92L, just a satellite image. I also use FNMOC but, they have changed it and the wave height forecast under the Meteorology Products link is completely different than the models shown under Tropical Applications, which, for the past few days, hasn't even had a forecasted path. I have gone directly to the Euro models but they have two different forecasted track overlays and they are both different too and they are too small to read which model is being used for which track. I sure miss McMaster's old weatherunderground blog and forecast maps.
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07/28/2020 06:44 AM
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Its July and nothing to be concerned about until NHC gives a briefing on strength, location and destination. Check out Tropicaltidbits for entertainment first yet useful info on models
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07/28/2020 06:49 AM
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Stay positive ya'll
Tropical storm far out into the sea, head high clean waves, during the weekend. Cold beer in your fridge waiting for you |
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07/28/2020 07:47 AM
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Stay positive ya'll Tropical storm far out into the sea, head high clean waves, during the weekend. Cold beer in your fridge waiting for you *DOUBLE SHAKA'S* 
------------------------- SK8 AND DESTROY |
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07/28/2020 08:06 AM
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mp2115 - Not worried, just interested
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07/28/2020 08:25 AM
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NHC just posted
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07/28/2020 08:38 AM
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Just saw it. Thanks.
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07/28/2020 08:42 AM
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Fuck! Do you think I have enough time to get COVID and die before it gets here?
------------------------- Dora Hates You |
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07/28/2020 08:59 AM
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It's not going to hit Florida. If it stays as a weak TS or depression it will go south of the keys. If it gets to Hurricane status it will recurve and stay off shore. NHC is hedging their bets and forecasting something in the middle of that which I think is highly unlikely and so does the NHC.
------------------------- Heavy is sign of reliability |
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07/28/2020 09:09 AM
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need that fetch to stay on the NE side, and I'm surfing all weekend. 
Edited: 07/28/2020 at 09:10 AM by Plan B |
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07/28/2020 09:10 AM
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FORUMS
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Surfing
:
Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?
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