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Topic Title: Bigger swell towards end of next week
Topic Summary: Mostly wind chop...but...maybe some clean up.
Created On: 05/10/2020 04:32 AM
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 05/10/2020 04:32 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 48633
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Check your favorite wave models.

Checking the calendar we are in the Month of May.

Surf in May is rare...

Happy Mothers Day!
 05/10/2020 04:34 AM
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Central Floridave

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Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

It looks like a tropical depression or some sort of Low pressure system forming East of Florida later on in the week.

Off to go study this. Early hurricane season?

 05/10/2020 04:48 AM
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Central Floridave

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Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Wednesday onward...Increasing shower and thunderstorm chances
through the end of the week, as moisture lifts back into the area
along a stalled boundary. Brisk easterly flow around 15-20 kts
continuing into the start of the weekend, as high pressure moves
offshore of the Mid Atlantic coast. Seas building to 4-5 ft
Wednesday will become hazardous through the end of the week
 05/10/2020 04:51 AM
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daner

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Joined Forum: 04/20/2004

Nice. Hope for some breaks in the wind


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Replace turf grass with native plants that don't need irrigation and synthetic fertilizers or chemicals that can go into our waterways and ocean

 05/11/2020 01:25 PM
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KP

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Joined Forum: 07/28/2006

Any updates for today??
Finishing work and jonesing!

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Time and tide wait for no one.....
 05/11/2020 04:47 PM
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KP

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Joined Forum: 07/28/2006

Welp... the water was not bad and I got some paddling in.... :-/

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Time and tide wait for no one.....
 05/12/2020 02:25 AM
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Dahui321

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Monday, Monday, Monday Light winds, big swell
 05/12/2020 05:35 AM
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Central Floridave

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Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas
410 AM EDT Tue May 12 2020

.SYNOPSIS...A stationary front extends from 31N67W to 1016 mb low
pres near 29N72W to W Cuba. The low will shift NE along the
front, moving N of the area Tue. A cold front extends across the
NW waters from 31N75W to near Port St Lucie, Florida. The cold
front will merge with the stationary front today. The merged
front will move SE and reach from 28N65W to central Cuba by Wed,
and remain nearly stationary through Thu. High pressure will build
in the wake of the front. Low pressure may form NE of the Bahamas
this upcoming weekend.
 05/12/2020 06:22 AM
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daner

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My windy app is showing a closed circulation moving up and off but parallel to the FL east coast on Monday.

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Replace turf grass with native plants that don't need irrigation and synthetic fertilizers or chemicals that can go into our waterways and ocean



Edited: 05/12/2020 at 06:23 AM by daner
 05/12/2020 10:15 AM
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Central Floridave

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Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

NHC talking and now has hit the local news media. My wife just said, "What a hurricane already". I had to tell her...uh...no...maybe a weak low. Funny how people see something in the media and all of a sudden it is going to happen. But, Cheers to some good surf coming... *knock on wood*
 05/12/2020 10:21 AM
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Central Floridave

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Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 AM EDT Tue May 12 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop this weekend
a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some
subtropical characteristics as it moves northeastward through
Sunday. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 9 PM EDT Tuesday, or earlier, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
 05/12/2020 11:15 AM
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dab

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Originally posted by: Central Floridave

Special Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

1005 AM EDT Tue May 12 2020



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential

for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas.



1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop this weekend

a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas. Environmental

conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some

subtropical characteristics as it moves northeastward through

Sunday. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system

will be issued by 9 PM EDT Tuesday, or earlier, if necessary.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



"Kona thread"


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Great minds discuss ideas; Average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people.

 05/12/2020 03:26 PM
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daner

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Kona kona kona

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Replace turf grass with native plants that don't need irrigation and synthetic fertilizers or chemicals that can go into our waterways and ocean

 05/12/2020 05:54 PM
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Central Floridave

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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
730 PM EDT Tue May 12 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas.

1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop late this
week or early this weekend a couple of hundred miles north of
the Bahamas. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a subtropical depression or storm
is likely to form this weekend while it moves northeastward over
the western Atlantic. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on
this system will be issued by 9 AM EDT Wednesday, or earlier, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
 05/14/2020 12:46 PM
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Central Floridave

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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
240 PM EDT Thu May 14 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for tropical or subtropical development near the northwest Bahamas.

1. A trough of low pressure over the Straits of Florida is producing a
large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are expected to become conducive for development, and this system
is likely to become a tropical or subtropical storm by late Friday
or Saturday when it is located near the northwestern Bahamas. The
system is then forecast to move generally northeastward over the
western Atlantic early next week.

Regardless of development, the disturbance has the potential to
bring heavy rainfall to portions of the Florida Keys, southeast
Florida, and the Bahamas through Saturday. Tropical-storm-force wind
gusts are also possible in the Florida Keys, southeast Florida, and
the Bahamas during the next day or two. Hazardous marine conditions
are also expected along the Florida east coast and in the Bahamas
where Gale Warnings are in effect. See products from your local
weather office and High Seas Forecasts for more details. An Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate
this system tomorrow, if necessary. The next Special Tropical
Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 PM EDT today, or
earlier, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
 05/15/2020 09:39 AM
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Central Floridave

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Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

SYNOPSIS
An area of low pressure over the Straits of Florida
will lift northeast toward the northern Bahamas through Saturday.
This will keep boating conditions hazardous into the weekend.
Tropical or subtropical development is possible with this system
from tonight and into Saturday as it nears the northwestern
Bahamas and lifts northeast and farther away from Florida through
early next week.
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
1021 AM EDT Fri May 15 2020

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING


THIS AFTERNOON
East winds 15 to 20 knots and gusty. Seas 6 to
8 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the
intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.

TONIGHT
Northeast winds near 20 knots and gusty. Seas 6 to 9
feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal
waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.

SATURDAY
Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet with
a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.

SUNDAY
North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A
moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.

MONDAY
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to
15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms.

TUESDAY
Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
 05/15/2020 09:42 AM
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Central Floridave

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Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Something tells me maybe Sunday that Marine forecast may be off and we see SW winds.
 05/15/2020 11:38 AM
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KP

Posts: 3671
Joined Forum: 07/28/2006

Originally posted by: Central Floridave

Something tells me maybe Sunday that Marine forecast may be off and we see SW winds.





-------------------------
Time and tide wait for no one.....

Edited: 05/15/2020 at 11:39 AM by KP
 05/15/2020 12:36 PM
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jdbman

Posts: 10530
Joined Forum: 07/28/2003

Looks like a coast hugger to me. Maybe something to ride, late Sunday or Monday. If I had to go to work I dont think I would be skipping work for this.

Plus, as mentioned in another thread, have to do alot of looking around to find a bottom that allows for a decent break. I dont know of one from SBI to NSB.

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So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.
 05/15/2020 12:42 PM
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scombrid

Posts: 15289
Joined Forum: 07/24/2003

I don't know. I'm kind of excited about Monday AM prospects, except that I had planned to the airboat to Hamant for new headers first thing in the morning.

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