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Topic Title: The flatness.
Topic Summary: Maybe two weeks out.
Created On: 12/27/2021 01:49 PM
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch
 The flatness.   - johnnyboy - 12/27/2021 01:49 PM  
 The flatness.   - StirfryMcflurry - 12/27/2021 01:54 PM  
 The flatness.   - Cole - 12/27/2021 01:59 PM  
 The flatness.   - Greensleeves - 12/27/2021 02:02 PM  
 The flatness.   - Kimo63 - 12/27/2021 02:04 PM  
 The flatness.   - ww - 12/27/2021 03:04 PM  
 The flatness.   - johnnyboy - 12/27/2021 03:31 PM  
 The flatness.   - 3rdworldlover - 12/28/2021 07:08 AM  
 The flatness.   - Central Floridave - 12/29/2021 08:41 AM  
 The flatness.   - surfsail - 12/29/2021 05:29 PM  
 The flatness.   - Central Floridave - 12/30/2021 09:03 AM  
 The flatness.   - dkaye - 12/30/2021 09:58 AM  
 The flatness.   - IamSAW - 12/30/2021 11:18 AM  
 The flatness.   - Greensleeves - 12/31/2021 05:40 AM  
 The flatness.   - IamSAW - 12/31/2021 02:45 PM  
 The flatness.   - Central Floridave - 01/01/2022 06:40 AM  
 The flatness.   - StirfryMcflurry - 01/01/2022 08:32 AM  
 The flatness.   - KP - 01/02/2022 07:03 AM  
 The flatness.   - johnnyboy - 01/04/2022 11:17 AM  
 The flatness.   - Central Floridave - 01/04/2022 11:49 AM  
 The flatness.   - johnnyboy - 01/04/2022 12:39 PM  
 The flatness.   - tom - 01/04/2022 10:03 PM  
 The flatness.   - Dahui321 - 01/05/2022 02:41 AM  
 The flatness.   - Central Floridave - 01/05/2022 04:42 AM  
 The flatness.   - Central Floridave - 01/05/2022 05:02 AM  
 The flatness.   - Central Floridave - 01/05/2022 05:08 AM  
 The flatness.   - 3rdworldlover - 01/05/2022 06:56 AM  
 The flatness.   - IamSAW2 - 01/05/2022 07:04 AM  
 The flatness.   - pumphouse - 01/05/2022 07:19 AM  
 The flatness.   - johnnyboy - 01/05/2022 04:25 PM  
 The flatness.   - IamSAW2 - 01/06/2022 09:30 AM  
 The flatness.   - johnnyboy - 01/06/2022 10:14 AM  
 The flatness.   - tom - 01/06/2022 01:13 PM  
 The flatness.   - seaspray - 01/06/2022 05:56 PM  
 The flatness.   - johnnyboy - 01/06/2022 08:14 PM  
 The flatness.   - IamSAW2 - 01/07/2022 06:32 AM  
 The flatness.   - surfsail - 01/09/2022 04:27 PM  
 The flatness.   - ww - 01/09/2022 09:47 PM  
 The flatness.   - long_flaco1 - 01/10/2022 10:05 AM  
 The flatness.   - 3rdworldlover - 01/11/2022 08:50 AM  
 The flatness.   - Dahui321 - 01/13/2022 02:49 AM  
 The flatness.   - tom - 01/13/2022 03:11 AM  
 The flatness.   - tom - 01/13/2022 08:29 AM  
 The flatness.   - ww - 01/19/2022 07:27 AM  
 The flatness.   - johnnyboy - 01/23/2022 11:55 AM  
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 12/27/2021 01:49 PM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25177
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

It just seems harder this time of year.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 12/27/2021 01:54 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 8746
Joined Forum: 08/17/2016

at least .....it's warmer
 12/27/2021 01:59 PM
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Cole

Posts: 68401
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

We usually get a little bump in these Indian Summer spells, but not this time.

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I was right.
 12/27/2021 02:02 PM
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Greensleeves

Posts: 20478
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Grim
 12/27/2021 02:04 PM
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Kimo63

Posts: 541
Joined Forum: 04/22/2012

cash in those gift cards for a surf trip , deals are the best in February for airfare . Christmas bill shock from January credit bill statement means it's a buyers market
 12/27/2021 03:04 PM
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ww

Posts: 16097
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007

January looks like a mess due to covid. Sick workers (not necessarily airline employees) seem to be driving a lot of flight cancellations. The infections may peak around the end of January. Overall, Feb. is looking great for air fares to almost anywhere. March onward keeps getting steeper.
 12/27/2021 03:31 PM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25177
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

From James Weiland, a glimmer of hope: " Next system not until around the 4th. Models have been showing various solutions for a while now, anything from refraction to groundswell to windchop. At least they are showing something building in though, around the 3rd or 4th. How long it lasts up in the air too."





-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 12/28/2021 07:08 AM
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3rdworldlover

Posts: 22539
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La Niña again
 12/29/2021 08:41 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52267
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Models showing a bump after the new year. So, there's hope!
 12/29/2021 05:29 PM
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surfsail

Posts: 5074
Joined Forum: 07/28/2003

Looks like the eastern Caribbean may be getting very reasonable long period stuff in the near future - from multiple far off swell sources..... Def worth the plane ride type stuff - and it may be emptier than usual.. Make sure it's open for business.. Some places that were literally on lock down as far as beach access goes opened up not long ago - but Omi may change that..

Also saw a forecast not to far off with a couple interesting significant lows looking like they were attempting to merge - Hopefully we will be in the 'great circle' window..

-------------------------
There are NO white people at all in the Bible... take all the time you need with that...
Please stop feeding the trolls - they will go away if you do...

Edited: 12/29/2021 at 05:33 PM by surfsail

 12/30/2021 09:03 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52267
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Yes, does look like some surf next week. Also, check stormsurf virtual buoy for the 14th. Long way away so that will probably get cut down in size, but showing 14 foot at this date.
 12/30/2021 09:58 AM
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dkaye

Posts: 2237
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I farted in the tub and got excited!

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 12/30/2021 11:18 AM
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IamSAW

Posts: 638
Joined Forum: 05/02/2006

Well it wasn't exactly 6ft and glassy today (more like 6" and glassy), but I just had a major log session at low tide today {Thurs), (a repeat of Tues and Wed btw), so check out your local sand bar, you might be in for a surprise. Yes I too was shocked to see it actually breaking, just happened to be out for a low tide beach walk with the Mrs on Monday, and immediately made plans for Tues, was not disappointed at all; prob the most fun I've had on micro swell waves in a long time. And the water was skin it warm too, pinch me.
 12/31/2021 05:40 AM
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Greensleeves

Posts: 20478
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Got a new skateboard deck for Christmas.
 12/31/2021 02:45 PM
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IamSAW

Posts: 638
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Rinse and repeat, again, good grief if this keeps up I won't be able to go back to work on Monday. Smaller and more spaced out *sets* but they still pushed a Model T, at low tide, for about 2 hrs. All in all a good way to end the year.
 01/01/2022 06:40 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52267
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Stormsurf virtual buoy lowered the 14th prediction now. 7 foot down from 14. Figured that was a fluke. Looks like potential for some surf this week and next. Knock on wood.
 01/01/2022 08:32 AM
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StirfryMcflurry

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Flat earth society = winning
 01/02/2022 07:03 AM
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KP

Posts: 3884
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Looks like the Gulfster's might get some waves Monday?? And I need to go to St Pete.....Guess who's coming to dinner? :-)

-------------------------
Time and tide wait for no one.....
 01/04/2022 11:17 AM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25177
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Tomorrow looks like the day, offshores and some decent size.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 01/04/2022 11:49 AM
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Central Floridave

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WEDNESDAY
West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with
occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 12 seconds. A light
chop on the intracoastal waters.
 01/04/2022 12:39 PM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25177
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Hell yes. We are back.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 01/04/2022 10:03 PM
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tom

Posts: 8019
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

The 1:am dog needs to pee Melbeach report: dead calm wind, can hear the ocean clearly. Ack. Full day today. I am the sacrifice.

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 01/05/2022 02:41 AM
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Dahui321

Posts: 207
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4:30 no wind. 9' 14 sec. its on today!!!! Rare over achieving swell.
 01/05/2022 04:42 AM
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Central Floridave

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damn, 6 foot 14 seconds. A little bigger than what the virtual buoys were showing. Cams look pretty good. High tide in the morning.
 01/05/2022 05:02 AM
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Central Floridave

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Southern Brevard-Indian River-
Including the beaches of Cocoa Beach, Satellite Beach,
Melbourne Beach, and Vero Beach
243 AM EST Wed Jan 5 2022

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........High.
UV Index**..................Low.
Water Temperature...........In the lower 70s.
Weather.....................Partly cloudy until 4 PM, then mostly
cloudy until 5 PM, then partly cloudy.
High Temperature............In the mid 70s.
Winds.......................Light and variable winds, becoming
southeast around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Tides...
Port Canaveral...........High 4.4 feet (MLLW) 09:40 AM EST.
Low -0.3 feet (MLLW) 03:59 PM EST.
Sebastian Inlet..........High 2.5 feet (MLLW) 09:49 AM EST.
Low -0.2 feet (MLLW) 04:01 PM EST.
Sunrise.....................7:13 AM.
Sunset......................5:41 PM.

.THURSDAY...
Rip Current Risk*...........Moderate.
Weather.....................Partly cloudy.
High Temperature............In the mid 70s.
Winds.......................West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tides...
Port Canaveral...........High 4.1 feet (MLLW) 10:30 AM EST.
Low -0.2 feet (MLLW) 04:53 PM EST.
Sebastian Inlet..........High 2.4 feet (MLLW) 10:37 AM EST.
Low -0.2 feet (MLLW) 04:55 PM EST.
Sunrise.....................7:13 AM.
Sunset......................5:42 PM.

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
 01/05/2022 05:08 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52267
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

.MARINE...

Today-Tonight...A Small Craft Advisory is now in effect for all
local waters as swells have increased early this morning. Latest
buoy obs show 7FT at Buoy 41009, 9FT at Buoy 41010, with a dominant
period of 12-14 seconds. Right along the coast swells are 4-5FT.
This large swell has come at a surprise to the model guidance, which
continues to show no indication of elevated seas even though latest
obs are well over 7FT now.

The SCA goes out through late afternoon, and small craft likely need
to exercise caution tonight as seas linger 4-6FT, and the swell
period remains at 12-13 seconds. Light/variable around 5KT through
tonight. A coastal trough moving from Southeast FL into the Treasure
Coast will produce scattered afternoon showers south of Sebastian
Inlet. As the trough shifts offshore this evening, expect shower
activity to focus across most of the local waters tonight.

Thursday-Saturday...Periodically poor boating conditions expected.
Winds Thursday will be vary between westerly and northwesterly 10 to
15 knots, occasionally 20 knot. Seas will still be in a downward
trend, with 4 to 6 seas still subsiding in the Treasure Coast
waters. Winds then veer to northerly Friday, with seas in the Gulf
Stream building to 6 feet in response to the opposing flow. Wind
continue to veer to northeasterly then easterly 15 to 20 knots
Saturday, with seas subsiding back to 3 to 5 feet. Generally dry,
with only a 20 percent chance of showers.

&&
 01/05/2022 06:56 AM
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3rdworldlover

Posts: 22539
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Packing a punch this morning!
 01/05/2022 07:04 AM
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IamSAW2

Posts: 188
Joined Forum: 01/10/2014

Agreed. brief pre HT and work DP sesh, lil different than last week for shore...long period left walls with some cold water mixed in there, gonna be full suit weather soon.
 01/05/2022 07:19 AM
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pumphouse

Posts: 899
Joined Forum: 07/23/2003

Best Winds Thursday down here in PBC

-------------------------
"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who do not have it." - George Bernard Shaw
 01/05/2022 04:25 PM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25177
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So for those in palm beach county, it was the brass ring of burgers. Surfed Pam beach after surfing coral cove early. I can count all the waves I caught in each session on one hand.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 01/06/2022 09:30 AM
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IamSAW2

Posts: 188
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Much smaller and not as glassy as yesterday but still fun for a brief DP before work. Tide go on it fast though. No complaints, but I will be busting out the full suit for the next session, it's getting cold (using the Florida warm water wimp temp measurement standard).
 01/06/2022 10:14 AM
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johnnyboy

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I am running out of swell waiting for low tide snd better wind.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 01/06/2022 01:13 PM
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tom

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Kinda fun today. Crumblemush from the outside all the way in to the shorepound. I am redeemed.

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 01/06/2022 05:56 PM
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seaspray

Posts: 648
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Watched that rocket launch from the water. ?? anyone run into KS? Wonder where he is surfing since he's in town

Edited: 01/06/2022 at 05:56 PM by seaspray
 01/06/2022 08:14 PM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25177
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Holy sheet was I wrong. It was bombing and no wind. 6-8 sets and bombing. So much fun.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 01/07/2022 06:32 AM
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IamSAW2

Posts: 188
Joined Forum: 01/10/2014

Had to make it three for three this morning, glassy waist to chest peelerz, some bigger sets but those seemed to be more lined out and dumping. I could get used to this, likin the new year so far!
 01/09/2022 04:27 PM
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surfsail

Posts: 5074
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Looks like there may be something possibly coming our way in the not too distant future.. Pray for some favorable local winds..

Islands look like they are getting ready for another series of N swells also - one after the other.. Get your tickets ready..

-------------------------
There are NO white people at all in the Bible... take all the time you need with that...
Please stop feeding the trolls - they will go away if you do...

 01/09/2022 09:47 PM
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ww

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Looks like a big, windy Saturday for the northern Outer Banks.
 01/10/2022 10:05 AM
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long_flaco1

Posts: 1451
Joined Forum: 09/25/2003

This week Saturday in Brevard DOPENSS!!!! woooooooooooooooooot

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SK8 AND DESTROY
 01/11/2022 08:50 AM
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3rdworldlover

Posts: 22539
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

Yo!

Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-
1002 AM EST Tue Jan 11 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north
after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet.
A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
.THURSDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with
occasional seas to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Slight chance of showers.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to
6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas
to 7 feet.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet
with occasional seas to 7 feet.
.SATURDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with
occasional seas to 6 feet.
 01/13/2022 02:49 AM
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Dahui321

Posts: 207
Joined Forum: 08/29/2014

Going, going, almost down to nothing for the weekend. Today is the day!!!!
 01/13/2022 03:11 AM
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tom

Posts: 8019
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

Yep, the Melbeach 4:am dog pee report is no wind, not too cold, barked at something invisible and went back to bed. Mid day low tide....

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 01/13/2022 08:29 AM
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tom

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Lunchbreak update: The damn dog was right again. I swear he's more accurate than Surfline.

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 01/19/2022 07:27 AM
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ww

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Wind mess Saturday with cold front. Possible refraction for SE Sunday and Monday?
 01/23/2022 11:55 AM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25177
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Crazy today. Bombing. Heavy drift. Miserable paddle out. More than a few closeouts. But I got some bombs every now and again.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

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