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Topic Title: Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?
Topic Summary: The Low that came off Africa looks like it could make a run up the coast
Created On: 07/25/2020 04:54 PM
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Kimo63 - 07/25/2020 04:54 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/26/2020 04:29 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/26/2020 04:54 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/26/2020 06:06 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - jdbman - 07/26/2020 06:24 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/26/2020 06:45 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 07/26/2020 07:41 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - sattylife - 07/26/2020 07:10 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - fishkller - 07/26/2020 08:41 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - all3 - 07/26/2020 09:24 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - jdbman - 07/27/2020 07:23 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/27/2020 12:26 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - harrietdubman - 07/27/2020 12:44 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - K07 - 07/27/2020 08:17 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/28/2020 04:08 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/28/2020 06:08 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/28/2020 06:12 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - tom - 07/28/2020 06:15 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - tom - 07/28/2020 06:25 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - garcia - 07/28/2020 06:40 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - mp2115 - 07/28/2020 06:44 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - seaspray - 07/28/2020 06:49 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - long_flaco1 - 07/28/2020 07:47 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - garcia - 07/28/2020 08:06 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - mp2115 - 07/28/2020 08:25 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - garcia - 07/28/2020 08:38 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/28/2020 08:42 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - LaJune - 07/28/2020 08:59 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/28/2020 09:09 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - mp2115 - 07/28/2020 09:10 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Kimo63 - 07/26/2020 08:45 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/26/2020 11:47 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Greensleeves - 07/26/2020 12:05 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - GreenLantern - 07/26/2020 01:03 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - RiddleMe - 07/26/2020 01:19 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 07/26/2020 02:55 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/27/2020 08:36 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - long_flaco1 - 07/27/2020 09:06 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/28/2020 04:01 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Kimo63 - 07/28/2020 12:06 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - GreenLantern - 07/28/2020 01:11 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scostuart - 07/28/2020 01:43 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Kimo63 - 07/28/2020 05:10 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - tom - 07/28/2020 05:13 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 07/28/2020 06:49 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Dahui321 - 07/29/2020 03:06 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scostuart - 07/29/2020 04:32 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - StirfryMcflurry - 07/29/2020 01:46 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - mp2115 - 07/29/2020 05:41 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - SrfGtr - 07/29/2020 05:52 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/29/2020 03:24 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/29/2020 04:17 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - GreenLantern - 07/29/2020 04:23 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - johnnyboy - 07/29/2020 05:55 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Skunkape - 07/29/2020 07:07 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 07/29/2020 07:18 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/29/2020 08:24 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - GreenLantern - 07/29/2020 08:41 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Greensleeves - 07/29/2020 10:56 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/29/2020 11:33 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - tom - 07/29/2020 11:58 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/29/2020 12:31 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 07/29/2020 12:56 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 07/29/2020 12:58 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - StirfryMcflurry - 07/29/2020 01:09 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/29/2020 01:11 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Kimo63 - 07/29/2020 01:31 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 07/29/2020 04:04 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - TATTOO74 - 07/30/2020 05:43 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - RiddleMe - 07/30/2020 05:49 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/30/2020 06:01 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - RiddleMe - 07/30/2020 06:18 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/30/2020 07:23 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - e11even - 07/30/2020 08:30 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - GREG - 07/30/2020 08:43 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/30/2020 08:52 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/30/2020 09:33 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/30/2020 02:24 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - LongboardsnDonuts - 07/30/2020 02:02 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Kimo63 - 07/29/2020 06:31 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 07/29/2020 07:16 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - waterlizard25 - 07/30/2020 05:32 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/30/2020 06:01 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - seaspray - 07/30/2020 06:13 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 07/30/2020 08:48 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - K07 - 07/29/2020 07:24 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 07/29/2020 09:21 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - mp2115 - 07/30/2020 02:16 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/30/2020 04:47 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 07/30/2020 05:10 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - long_flaco1 - 07/30/2020 06:01 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/30/2020 11:01 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/30/2020 11:03 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 07/30/2020 11:29 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 07/30/2020 01:04 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/30/2020 01:59 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 07/30/2020 02:24 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 07/30/2020 02:25 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/30/2020 02:28 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 07/30/2020 02:29 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - seaspray - 07/30/2020 02:56 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - K07 - 07/30/2020 03:51 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - StirfryMcflurry - 07/31/2020 03:23 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Kimo63 - 07/30/2020 05:56 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 07/30/2020 06:25 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/31/2020 03:57 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/31/2020 04:08 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/31/2020 04:32 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - StirfryMcflurry - 07/31/2020 05:33 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - RiddleMe - 07/31/2020 08:53 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - StirfryMcflurry - 07/31/2020 10:57 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - seaspray - 07/31/2020 11:11 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dkaye - 07/31/2020 11:12 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - RiddleMe - 07/31/2020 11:25 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - seaspray - 07/31/2020 11:27 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - RiddleMe - 07/31/2020 11:32 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 07/31/2020 12:01 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 07/31/2020 03:49 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - ww - 07/31/2020 07:01 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - equipeola - 07/31/2020 12:08 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/31/2020 12:39 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/31/2020 12:40 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - sw - 07/31/2020 01:01 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - slideaway - 07/31/2020 01:05 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dkaye - 07/31/2020 03:34 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - johnnyboy - 07/31/2020 02:36 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 07/31/2020 02:51 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - RocketSurf - 07/31/2020 02:53 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - goldfinger - 07/31/2020 03:18 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - RiddleMe - 07/31/2020 03:45 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 08/01/2020 07:17 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/01/2020 08:16 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/01/2020 08:57 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - IamSAW - 08/01/2020 08:59 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 07/31/2020 07:59 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - ww - 08/01/2020 01:09 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - mp2115 - 08/01/2020 02:08 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - mp2115 - 08/01/2020 02:21 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/01/2020 02:27 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Surfconch1 - 08/01/2020 04:35 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 08/01/2020 04:50 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - ww - 08/01/2020 05:08 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - sharkfood - 08/01/2020 04:58 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - RiddleMe - 08/01/2020 09:29 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 08/01/2020 10:15 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - jdbman - 08/01/2020 05:51 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/01/2020 06:44 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/01/2020 06:49 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 08/01/2020 09:01 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/01/2020 09:20 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 08/01/2020 06:51 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 08/01/2020 09:24 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 08/01/2020 10:22 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 08/01/2020 10:39 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Kimo63 - 08/01/2020 12:17 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - pumphouse - 08/01/2020 01:29 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 08/01/2020 01:31 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/01/2020 01:43 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - StirfryMcflurry - 08/01/2020 02:12 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scostuart - 08/01/2020 02:18 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 08/01/2020 04:15 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 08/01/2020 05:06 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - johnnyboy - 08/01/2020 08:42 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 08/01/2020 10:07 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - ww - 08/02/2020 01:47 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - equipeola - 08/02/2020 05:46 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dingpatch - 08/02/2020 06:09 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/02/2020 07:21 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 08/02/2020 10:36 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - johnnyboy - 08/02/2020 02:13 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 08/02/2020 03:37 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 08/02/2020 04:13 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - paddleout - 08/02/2020 04:32 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - tom - 08/02/2020 05:31 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/02/2020 10:14 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/02/2020 10:25 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - GreenLantern - 08/03/2020 02:51 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - GreenLantern - 08/03/2020 02:52 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dkaye - 08/03/2020 04:20 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 08/03/2020 04:51 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 08/03/2020 06:27 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - RiddleMe - 08/03/2020 08:55 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - long_flaco1 - 08/03/2020 09:22 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/03/2020 10:19 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - IamSAW2 - 08/03/2020 11:00 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - seaspray - 08/03/2020 11:04 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 08/03/2020 11:44 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 08/03/2020 11:44 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scombrid - 08/03/2020 01:02 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - scostuart - 08/03/2020 01:27 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - SurferMic - 08/03/2020 01:49 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Cole - 08/03/2020 04:17 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Ragga P - 08/03/2020 04:55 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - goldfinger - 08/03/2020 05:07 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 08/03/2020 05:56 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Central Floridave - 08/03/2020 06:49 PM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - mp2115 - 08/04/2020 02:56 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - dkaye - 08/04/2020 03:38 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - johnnyboy - 08/04/2020 06:48 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Plan B - 08/04/2020 08:04 AM  
 Is it to early to start up the Hype train ?   - Tiptime - 08/05/2020 07:20 AM  
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 07/25/2020 04:54 PM
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Kimo63

Posts: 446
Joined Forum: 04/22/2012

Tropical tidbits , Surfline and the GFS all have the wayout prediction putting this in our swell window the first week of August . Currently it's still about 32 West longitude

Edited: 07/25/2020 at 04:56 PM by Kimo63
 07/26/2020 04:29 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 48979
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 26 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Hanna, located inland near the border of Texas and Mexico.

1. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
This system is producing a wide area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms as it moves westward around 20 mph across the
tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development and a tropical depressions is likely to
form within the next few days as the system nears the Lesser
Antilles. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 07/26/2020 04:54 AM
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dingpatch

Posts: 15901
Joined Forum: 07/24/2003

 07/26/2020 06:06 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 48979
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

fyi, virtual buoys showing long period tick next weekend. Hope it happens and that thing recurves out to sea.
 07/26/2020 06:24 AM
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jdbman

Posts: 10888
Joined Forum: 07/28/2003

"The intensity of #92L will possibly help determine its long term track. A stronger system will likely feel a forecasted trough in the 6-10 day range, while a weaker system could track into the Caribbean or through the Greater Antilles. The door is open for all possibilities..."

-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.
 07/26/2020 06:45 AM
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Plan B

Posts: 2972
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

Originally posted by: jdbman "The intensity of #92L will possibly help determine its long term track. A stronger system will likely feel a forecasted trough in the 6-10 day range, while a weaker system could track into the Caribbean or through the Greater Antilles. The door is open for all possibilities..."
Yep. Stronger storms are more apt to be influenced by environmental (and physical) steering factors.... we need that thing to start developing asap
 07/26/2020 07:41 AM
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Cole

Posts: 47914
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

My prediction: Two days of monster closed out walls in onshores, followed by three hours of chest high bowls with west winds before dark and flat the next day.
 07/26/2020 07:10 PM
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sattylife

Posts: 115
Joined Forum: 09/18/2012

Originally posted by: Cole My prediction: Two days of monster closed out walls in onshores, followed by three hours of chest high bowls with west winds before dark and flat the next day.
a little -too- on the nose...
 07/26/2020 08:41 PM
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fishkller

Posts: 9265
Joined Forum: 11/13/2016

Originally posted by: Cole

My prediction: Two days of monster closed out walls in onshores, followed by three hours of chest high bowls with west winds before dark and flat the next day.



Cole, you are being too optimistic.

I have made a correction for you LOL



Two days of monster closed out walls in onshores, followed by three hours of chest high bowls with west winds AFTER dark and flat the next day

-------------------------
 07/26/2020 09:24 PM
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all3

Posts: 2370
Joined Forum: 12/28/2011

looks to me like its going to turn into a monster, hope it heads north sooner rather than later

-------------------------
"I remember South Africa in the late 70's, sleeping on the beach at J-bay, smoking ganja with the blacks. On weekends we'd go to the pub in East London to drink beer and fight with the Afrikaners. They liked to fight, I liked to fight. It was a good time"
 07/27/2020 07:23 AM
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jdbman

Posts: 10888
Joined Forum: 07/28/2003

"92L is dealing with some struggles today. It's ingesting quite a bit of Saharan dry air and is moving very quickly. The circulation is also very large which is helping to pull that dry air in. Large waves need a moist environment. Don't see this pulling together soon. We'll see."

-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.
 07/27/2020 12:26 PM
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Plan B

Posts: 2972
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

Originally posted by: jdbman "92L is dealing with some struggles today. It's ingesting quite a bit of Saharan dry air and is moving very quickly. The circulation is also very large which is helping to pull that dry air in. Large waves need a moist environment. Don't see this pulling together soon. We'll see."
pretty fair assesment:
 07/27/2020 12:44 PM
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harrietdubman

Posts: 269
Joined Forum: 11/07/2015



-------------------------

sneedeker



Edited: 07/27/2020 at 12:46 PM by harrietdubman
 07/27/2020 08:17 PM
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K07

Posts: 47
Joined Forum: 09/02/2012

It doesn't have to do much really.. it's a-symmetrical yes but on the northern half. The larger wind field is good for swell generation, so as long as it doesn't dive into the Caribbean it should usher in a nice SE swell for the weekend (Euro has trended a bit north today too aligning more with the GFS). With this scenario, falling apart as it approaches keeps our conditions good and doesn't threaten a costly landfall (swell will already be created). It's kind of a rare but good scenario. Normally when they approach like this we don't get swell before the bad winds, and we're praying for a recurve to avoid landfall and to get the good conditions. The next 48 hours are key.
 07/28/2020 04:08 AM
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Plan B

Posts: 2972
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

Originally posted by: K07 It doesn't have to do much really.. it's a-symmetrical yes but on the northern half. The larger wind field is good for swell generation, so as long as it doesn't dive into the Caribbean it should usher in a nice SE swell for the weekend (Euro has trended a bit north today too aligning more with the GFS). With this scenario, falling apart as it approaches keeps our conditions good and doesn't threaten a costly landfall (swell will already be created). It's kind of a rare but good scenario. Normally when they approach like this we don't get swell before the bad winds, and we're praying for a recurve to avoid landfall and to get the good conditions. The next 48 hours are key.
As of this morning, this is pretty spot-on.... would be nice if it slowed down a bit though..... in the meantime, break out the GFS pom-poms.
 07/28/2020 06:08 AM
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dingpatch

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Tracking more West.

The spaghetti models now show it coming into FLA.

 07/28/2020 06:12 AM
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dingpatch

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Yep, as previously discussed here, I've lived in Brevard since 1954 and I AM OVER IT! If it's going to be here as anything close to even a CAT 1, I'm Out Of Here!

But, then again, on last night's weather on WFTV (Ch 9) Tom Terry was showing longer term projections that show this as a big blob of rain passing to the south of Cuba but, with plenty of Wet for us. "Most" models do not show it becoming a hurricane. We shall see by Thursday night.

Edited: 07/28/2020 at 06:16 AM by dingpatch
 07/28/2020 06:15 AM
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tom

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Funny, from ding's graphic above, "NHC Advisories and County Emergency Management statements supersede..." bla bla bla. Notice the only model missing? NHC. We're doomed.

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 07/28/2020 06:25 AM
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tom

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FWIW: Looked at the Navy's site, FNMOC, just now. GFS show a fizzle on Sat. WW3 shows a fairly strong storm <100 miles off 2ndlight on Sun. Be prepared scouts.

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 07/28/2020 06:40 AM
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garcia

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I don't know what sites to believe anymore. I used to use weatherunderground, and especially follow the Euro model but, after McMasters sold it, they are garbage. They don't even have a forecast for 92L, just a satellite image. I also use FNMOC but, they have changed it and the wave height forecast under the Meteorology Products link is completely different than the models shown under Tropical Applications, which, for the past few days, hasn't even had a forecasted path. I have gone directly to the Euro models but they have two different forecasted track overlays and they are both different too and they are too small to read which model is being used for which track. I sure miss McMaster's old weatherunderground blog and forecast maps.
 07/28/2020 06:44 AM
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mp2115

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Its July and nothing to be concerned about until NHC gives a briefing on strength, location and destination. Check out Tropicaltidbits for entertainment first yet useful info on models
 07/28/2020 06:49 AM
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seaspray

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Stay positive ya'll

Tropical storm far out into the sea, head high clean waves, during the weekend. Cold beer in your fridge waiting for you
 07/28/2020 07:47 AM
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long_flaco1

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Originally posted by: seaspray

Stay positive ya'll



Tropical storm far out into the sea, head high clean waves, during the weekend. Cold beer in your fridge waiting for you



*DOUBLE SHAKA'S*


-------------------------
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 07/28/2020 08:06 AM
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garcia

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mp2115 - Not worried, just interested
 07/28/2020 08:25 AM
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mp2115

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NHC just posted
 07/28/2020 08:38 AM
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garcia

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Just saw it. Thanks.
 07/28/2020 08:42 AM
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dingpatch

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Fuck! Do you think I have enough time to get COVID and die before it gets here?
 07/28/2020 08:59 AM
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LaJune

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It's not going to hit Florida. If it stays as a weak TS or depression it will go south of the keys. If it gets to Hurricane status it will recurve and stay off shore. NHC is hedging their bets and forecasting something in the middle of that which I think is highly unlikely and so does the NHC.

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 07/28/2020 09:09 AM
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Plan B

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Originally posted by: LaJune It's not going to hit Florida. .....I think is highly unlikely and so does the NHC.
need that fetch to stay on the NE side, and I'm surfing all weekend.

Edited: 07/28/2020 at 09:10 AM by Plan B
 07/28/2020 09:10 AM
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mp2115

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Originally posted by: LaJune It's not going to hit Florida. If it stays as a weak TS or depression it will go south of the keys. If it gets to Hurricane status it will recurve and stay off shore. NHC is hedging their bets and forecasting something in the middle of that which I think is highly unlikely and so does the NHC.
Agreed. Good breakdown. Lets hope it does not defy gravity like Tesla.
 07/26/2020 08:45 AM
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Kimo63

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The progressive runs have it farther out now . The winds look to be offshore Saturday and Sunday . Would be nice to enjoy clean waves with a little meat on them for a change .
 07/26/2020 11:47 AM
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dingpatch

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Cole, spoken like a true Floridian!!
 07/26/2020 12:05 PM
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Greensleeves

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Today was sick.

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 07/26/2020 01:03 PM
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GreenLantern

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yup right time tide and sandbar for this morning


fun waves and favorable winds all week
in prep for our hurricane waves
 07/26/2020 01:19 PM
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RiddleMe

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Originally posted by: Greensleeves

Today was sick.


Glad someone got some. It wasn't close to workable at my spot.
 07/26/2020 02:55 PM
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Cole

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Originally posted by: Greensleeves

Today was sick.


We wasted our time looking around down south when should have stayed up here.

 07/27/2020 08:36 AM
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Central Floridave

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Long range tracking looks pretty good for recurve and staying WAY out to sea. Obviously looking at virtual buoys it shows a significant uptick for the weekend. Hope it happens!
 07/27/2020 09:06 AM
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long_flaco1

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KONA, KONA, KONA!!!!

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 07/28/2020 04:01 AM
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Central Floridave

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Models changed up some overnight. Looks like tracking further East and moving closer to the Bahamas. Yesterday they showed it recurving North once above Puerto Rico. Something to watch!

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about
750 miles east of the Windward Islands is gradually increasing
in organization. However, recent satellite-derived wind data
indicate that the circulation remains broad and elongated, and the
low does not yet have a well-defined center of circulation.
Environmental conditions are expected to become somewhat more
conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical
storm is likely to form during the next couple of days while the
system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph and approaches the
Leeward Islands. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
gusty winds are likely across portions of the Leeward Islands on
Wednesday and will spread westward to the Virgin Islands and Puerto
Rico Wednesday night and Thursday. Interests on these islands
should continue to monitor the progress of this system, and
tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions
of the area later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 07/28/2020 12:06 PM
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Kimo63

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Checked the Buoys this afternoon , Mid Atlantic is showing 10 ft swell and 12 ft wind waves heading this way . Hope the wind stays light offshore this weekend .
 07/28/2020 01:11 PM
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GreenLantern

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no hype train

going to the gulf
just saying


though we should get some swell
just not great winds
 07/28/2020 01:43 PM
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scostuart

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Originally posted by: Kimo63 Checked the Buoys this afternoon , Mid Atlantic is showing 10 ft swell and 12 ft wind waves heading this way . Hope the wind stays light offshore this weekend .
Which buoy number?

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Waiting for waves is ok......most people spend their lives waiting for nothing.

 07/28/2020 05:10 PM
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Kimo63

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Buoy 41040 . All the good buoys have gone dark this evening , only red diamonds showing as offline .Not sure what the failure is .
 07/28/2020 05:13 PM
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tom

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^new board curse, early symptoms

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 07/28/2020 06:49 PM
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Cole

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Originally posted by: Kimo63

Buoy 41040 . All the good buoys have gone dark this evening , only red diamonds showing as offline .Not sure what the failure is .


I noticed that too, must be a server deal.

 07/29/2020 03:06 AM
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Dahui321

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Name the missing variable 1) bad winds 2) no swell 3) wrong tide 4) too long of period 5)dog ate my leash Ahhhh surfing (or not) in Florida!!!!!
 07/29/2020 04:32 AM
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scostuart

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Originally posted by: Dahui321 Name the missing variable 1) bad winds 2) no swell 3) wrong tide 4) too long of period 5)dog ate my leash Ahhhh surfing (or not) in Florida!!!!!
Sooooooooooo true.

-------------------------

Waiting for waves is ok......most people spend their lives waiting for nothing.

 07/29/2020 01:46 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

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Originally posted by: Dahui321 Name the missing variable 1) bad winds 2) no swell 3) wrong tide 4) too long of period 5)dog ate my leash Ahhhh surfing (or not) in Florida!!!!!
lol, i chuckled

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 07/29/2020 05:41 AM
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mp2115

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Originally posted by: Cole
Originally posted by: Kimo63 Buoy 41040 . All the good buoys have gone dark this evening , only red diamonds showing as offline .Not sure what the failure is .
I noticed that too, must be a server deal.
 07/29/2020 05:52 AM
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SrfGtr

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U jag offs jinxed it w this hype asshattery!!!!
 07/29/2020 03:24 AM
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Central Floridave

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 AM AST Wed Jul 29 2020

Satellite and surface data indicate that the system remains a
trough of low pressure, elongated from SSW to NNE, with almost all
of the strong winds far north of the center position. The most
significant curvature in the low-level wind field and on radar are
near Dominica now, which has good continuity from the previous
advisory, so this feature will continue to be used as the center.
A combination of unflagged SFMR winds from an Air Force plane and
earlier scatterometer winds support 40 kt as the initial wind speed.

The initial motion estimate is about the same as before or 295/20
kt. The ridge to the north of the disturbance is forecast to remain
strong for the next 36 h, which keeps the system moving speedily in
a general west-northwestward direction just south of the Leeward
Islands today, and near or over the Greater Antilles on Thursday.
The ridge is forecast to weaken after that time, which should cause
the cyclone to slow down, and potentially gain more latitude over
the southwestern Atlantic. The model guidance is generally showing
a narrow ridge persisting for a bit longer, however, causing a
small south and west shift in the new NHC forecast at long range.
However, it should be emphasized that this forecast track is highly
uncertain until a true center forms.

Satellite images indicate that a large burst of convection is
occuring near the poorly defined center, which will likely lead to
the system becoming a tropical storm later today. Further
intensification is possible before landfall in the Dominican
Republic on Thursday, assuming the structure continues to improve,
and the wind speed forecast is adjusted slightly higher in the near
term. The cyclone will probably take some time to recover after
moving over the very high mountains of Hispaniola, and some of the
guidance after that time shows an increase in southwesterly shear
over the Straits of Florida that could limit the potential of the
cyclone. Simply put, there are a lot of hurdles in the system's
way, so it is best to stay on the conservative side at the moment
and continue to stress the large uncertainty after it leaves the
Caribbean. Little change was made to the forecast intensity,
although the guidance has come down at longer range for many of the
models.

Interests in Hispaniola, the Bahamas, Cuba, and Florida should
continue to monitor forecasts as changes to both the track and
intensity are likely.

Key Messages:

1. Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will produce heavy rains and
potentially life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides across
the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and
the Dominican Republic.

2. Tropical storm conditions are likely across portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico today and
spreading westward to portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti
on Thursday. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for these areas.
Do not focus on the details of the track forecast, as rainfall and
wind hazards will extend far from the center of the system.

3. The details of the long-range track and intensity forecasts are
more uncertain than usual since the system does not have a
well-defined center and it could move over portions of the Greater
Antilles later this week. However, this system could bring some
rainfall and wind impacts to portions of Cuba, the Bahamas, and
Florida by the end of the week. Interests there should monitor its
progress and updates to the forecast over the next few days.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0900Z 15.3N 61.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 29/1800Z 16.3N 64.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
24H 30/0600Z 17.8N 67.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 30/1800Z 19.3N 71.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
48H 31/0600Z 20.6N 74.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER
60H 31/1800Z 22.1N 76.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 01/0600Z 23.3N 78.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 02/0600Z 25.5N 81.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 03/0600Z 28.5N 83.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
 07/29/2020 04:17 AM
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Plan B

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moving too fast
 07/29/2020 04:23 AM
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GreenLantern

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Originally posted by: Plan B

moving too fast




going to the gulf

 07/29/2020 05:55 AM
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johnnyboy

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New thread: is it too late to hype this?

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 07/29/2020 07:07 AM
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Skunkape

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Amazing how adept these storms are at skirting our massive swell window and running over our tiny finger of land
 07/29/2020 07:18 AM
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Cole

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Originally posted by: Skunkape

Amazing how adept these storms are at skirting our massive swell window and running over our tiny finger of land



...after grinding their way up the Caribbean. "Why should I stay over the boring ocean when I can come and visit all of these people!"

 07/29/2020 08:24 AM
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dingpatch

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The NHC 11:00 puts it into the Gulf!! The winds are at 45 MPH so it will probably be named very shortly.
 07/29/2020 08:41 AM
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GreenLantern

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Originally posted by: dingpatch

The NHC 11:00 puts it into the Gulf!!




exactly what i been saying

 07/29/2020 10:56 AM
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Greensleeves

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"Name the missing variable 1) bad winds 2) no swell 3) wrong tide 4) too long of period 5)dog ate my leash Ahhhh surfing (or not) in Florida!!!!! "

6) sandbars bite 7) Nighttime 8) storm goes in gulf

-------------------------
 07/29/2020 11:33 AM
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dingpatch

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At the "2:00" more of the models have shifted to the west. Only a few are still "on" FLA.
 07/29/2020 11:58 AM
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tom

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9) wrong board, shortboard and it's a foot and a half 10) forgot water and sunscreen 11) baggies split the butt seam so you're surfing in your shorts, commando, and with a steel zipper 12) laser sharks...

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 07/29/2020 12:31 PM
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dingpatch

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Ummmmm, , , , at 3:00 a lot of the models are now back to the East just off the coast.
 07/29/2020 12:56 PM
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scombrid

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A lot hinges on where the eventual closed low forms. Just like with Dorian. Right now the circulation is very broad and diffuse.

-------------------------

...

 07/29/2020 12:58 PM
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scombrid

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General troughiness in our vicinity will draw it more north if the circulation consolidates in the north half of the current low.

-------------------------

...

 07/29/2020 01:09 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

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do we load up da bus to da light, or no?

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 07/29/2020 01:11 PM
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dingpatch

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The mountains of PR, Hispaniola and Cuba will keep it from forming up too much.
 07/29/2020 01:31 PM
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Kimo63

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The St Maarten Buoy has been 8 feet at 10 sec Se/E swell , 10 feet of wind driven wave on top of that . All heading our way . We should have something to ride , wind speed and direction is the bigger question for your local break
 07/29/2020 04:04 PM
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Cole

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wind speed and direction is the bigger question for your local break

You could have condensed this by just saying, "Florida."
 07/30/2020 05:43 AM
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TATTOO74

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Originally posted by: Cole

wind speed and direction is the bigger question for your local break



You could have condensed this by just saying, "Florida."


"You shoulda been here an hour ago"

 07/30/2020 05:49 AM
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RiddleMe

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Originally posted by: TATTOO74
"You shoulda been here an hour ago"


LOL Exactly. Thats what is happening with this. Coast hugger that froths us up followed by a 1 hour window where it is stiff offshore and cleans up with enough size to fight the wind before getting blown out. Then flat the next morning.
 07/30/2020 06:01 AM
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dingpatch

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Yes, "Should have been here an hour ago" is our very own Florida phrase.

But, we must also remember that "It is always better where you are not"!
 07/30/2020 06:18 AM
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RiddleMe

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Originally posted by: dingpatch
But, we must also remember that "It is always better where you are not"!


That and Tip always makes it look better than it actually was. He has an eye for catching the best waves with the camera.
 07/30/2020 07:23 AM
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Plan B

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Check buoy 46.... yeewwwwww
 07/30/2020 08:30 AM
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e11even

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Originally posted by: Plan B Check buoy 46.... yeewwwwww
So that swell should start showing up tomorrow afternoon/evening. Winds look like 10 mph east tomorrow afternoon so hopefully we can get an after work session in and the wind wont be that bad. Looks like we will have to wait until this storm passes north of us on Sunday into Monday to get offshores and clean conditions. Watch the flags and be prepared to get on it folks...swell will be dropping fast!

-------------------------

-

 07/30/2020 08:43 AM
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GREG

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Anybody heading up to the Outer Banks? I will be there Sunday and possibly Monday. Pray 4 Waves!

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 07/30/2020 08:52 AM
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Plan B

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Originally posted by: e11evenSo that swell should start showing up tomorrow afternoon/evening. .....
. tomm afternoon may be overly optimistic
 07/30/2020 09:33 AM
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Plan B

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Just need it to jog a little north and the swell machine switches to full speed ahead....:

Edited: 07/30/2020 at 09:34 AM by Plan B
 07/30/2020 02:24 PM
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Plan B

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 07/30/2020 02:02 PM
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LongboardsnDonuts

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Originally posted by: harrietdubman lets keep complaining about everything even during a global pandemic and economic depression because we never learn to appreciate anything like a bunch of miserable k00ks. just quit surfing, more waves for me.
Plandemic*

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 07/29/2020 06:31 PM
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Kimo63

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Cole , I get it. The days of light offshores in the morning and heavy offshores in the afternoon , stopped when I left Haleiwa . I took a lot for granted in those days. Now I just hope it follows the GFS track , gives us better winds and something to ride without tearing the place up .
 07/29/2020 07:16 PM
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Cole

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Originally posted by: Kimo63

Cole , I get it. The days of light offshores in the morning and heavy offshores in the afternoon , stopped when I left Haleiwa . I took a lot for granted in those days. Now I just hope it follows the GFS track , gives us better winds and something to ride without tearing the place up .


Heard that. Mother Nature needs to give us a break for once. Make that a double break; good surf and no coastal thrashing.

 07/30/2020 05:32 AM
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waterlizard25

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Originally posted by: Cole
Originally posted by: Kimo63 Cole , I get it. The days of light offshores in the morning and heavy offshores in the afternoon , stopped when I left Haleiwa . I took a lot for granted in those days. Now I just hope it follows the GFS track , gives us better winds and something to ride without tearing the place up .
Heard that. Mother Nature needs to give us a break for once. Make that a double break; good surf and no coastal thrashing.
Give us a break from what...?
 07/30/2020 06:01 AM
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Plan B

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Originally posted by: waterlizard25Give us a break from what...?
Clean pumping groundswell instead of Hurricanes knocking on the front door?
 07/30/2020 06:13 AM
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seaspray

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That storm name was the jinx. Its usually the exotic-sounding names that brings a good swell with no damage
 07/30/2020 08:48 AM
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Cole

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Originally posted by: Plan B

Originally posted by: waterlizard25Give us a break from what...?


Clean pumping groundswell instead of Hurricanes knocking on the front door?


Exactly.

 07/29/2020 07:24 PM
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K07

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Wow this is such a weird storm really confusing the models haha it's changed so much today! I've never heard this much discussion about a "potential tropical cyclone" or whatever they're STILL calling it, is this a new classification? Not even worthy of depression status? HAha I mean it's a warm core low with sustained winds >40mph? Anyway the broad wind field is good and swell is already headed our way. Just gotta hope it falls apart or gives us a track where you can be in the swell and on the "right side of the storm".. we shall see but the swell charts are almost in line with major hurricane level! That Bahama shadow is looking to come pretty far north on this one though.
 07/29/2020 09:21 PM
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paddleout

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Check out windy.com for Sat & Sun

storm is off the east coast with 20-30mph onshores sat, then 10-15mph offshores all day sunday.

hmmm

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 07/30/2020 02:16 AM
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mp2115

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Originally posted by: paddleout Check out windy.com for Sat & Sun storm is off the east coast with 20-30mph onshores sat, then 10-15mph offshores all day sunday. hmmm
 07/30/2020 04:47 AM
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Plan B

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Last nights GFS was too good to be true.... now.... Either way, swell headed NW. Lets hope it takes a track where the wind doesnt hose us too bad: buoys Buoy 46 = YEEWWWWW
 07/30/2020 05:10 AM
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paddleout

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the windy.com forecast has changed since lasr night.

now it looks like crap.



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 07/30/2020 06:01 AM
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long_flaco1

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Sending "Positive Vibrations" out to the universe for a fun swell with offshores (In Brevard County) at SOME POINT this weekend! (Glass half full outlook for LIFE YO!)

-------------------------
SK8 AND DESTROY
 07/30/2020 11:01 AM
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Central Floridave

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DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Isaias was
located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 69.8 West. Isaias is
moving toward the northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h), and a west-
northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward
speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast
track, the center of Isaias will continue to move over Hispaniola
through this evening, and be near the Southeastern Bahamas by late
tonight or early Friday. Isaias is forecast to be near the Central
Bahamas Friday night and move near or over the Northwest Bahamas or
South Florida on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight weakening is possible as Isaias continues
to move over Hispaniola today. Re-strengthening is forecast on
Friday and Friday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km)
primarily to the north of the center. A weather station at Punta
Cana near the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic reported
sustained winds of 39 mph (63 km/h) with a gust to 52 mph (83 km/h)
within the past couple of hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 07/30/2020 11:03 AM
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Central Floridave

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Cape Verde possible storm from 2pm NHC update as well

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Isaias, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low
pressure, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands have increased and become better organized during the
day. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further
development, and this system could become a tropical depression
during the next day or so while it drifts generally
north-northwestward. After that time, environmental conditions are
forecast to become less favorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
 07/30/2020 11:29 AM
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Cole

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The new update has it making a visit to Brevard.

Fl, not NC.
 07/30/2020 01:04 PM
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dingpatch

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The preponderance of the models have it out East and into the Bahamas.

The 20 hundred hours runs should look much better for us (hope).

Edited: 07/30/2020 at 01:05 PM by dingpatch
 07/30/2020 01:59 PM
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Central Floridave

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Tropical Storm Isaias Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

Surface observations in the Dominican Republic indicate that the
poorly defined center of Isaias moved over the southeastern portion
of Hispaniola around 1600 UTC. There is currently a significant
concentration of convection near the mid-level center that is
located along the northern coast of the island, and recent
surface observations suggest that a new center may be forming
near the area of mid-level rotation seen in satellite imagery. The
advisory position has been placed between the previous estimated
center location and the mid-level center until it becomes more clear
that reformation has occurred. Earlier ASCAT data that arrived
shortly after the previous advisory and reconnaissance aircraft
data from this morning supported an intensity of 45-50 kt, and since
there has no significant degradation the overall organization since
that time, the initial intensity remains 50 kt. The central
pressure of 999 mb is based on a surface observation of 1001 mb and
25 kt of wind at Puerto Plata in the Dominican Republic.

The initial motion estimate is a somewhat uncertain 310/17 kt. The
track forecast reasoning has not changed since the previous
advisory. The tropical storm should continue on a general northwest
heading during the next 24 to 36 hours along the southern side of a
subtropical ridge. After that time, a trough moving into the
east-central United States should cause Isaias to turn
north-northwestward and northward as the western portion of the
ridge erodes. By early next week, Isaias is expected to turn
northeastward and accelerate ahead of the aforementioned trough.
The 1200 UTC dynamical model guidance has shifted eastward and now
that Isaias is expected to become a stronger and deeper cyclone,
that also favors a more eastward track. The updated official
forecast is a blend of the various consensus aids. Since the new
center is still in its formative stage some additional shifts in
the track may occur. In addition, strong winds and heavy rainfall
will extend far from the center.

Visible imagery has shown significant banding near the mid-level
circulation. Assuming that the center reforms near that feature and
moves away from Hispaniola tonight, strengthening is expected
during the next 24-36 hours and Isaias is now forecast to become a
hurricane. After that time, there are mixed signals regarding the
amount of southwesterly vertical wind shear and the models
generally do not show much additional strengthening. Therefore,
the NHC intensity forecast shows a leveling off in intensity after
48 h. It still needs to be stressed that that there is a higher
than usual amount of uncertainty in the intensity forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Isaias will produce heavy rains and potentially life-threatening
flash flooding and mudslides across Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, northern Haiti, Turks and Caicos and the Bahamas.

2. Hurricane conditions and dangerous storm surge are expected in
portions of the central and northwest Bahamas late Friday and
Saturday. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions will continue to
spread across portions of the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks
and Caicos and the southeast Bahamas tonight through Friday, and
Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for these areas.

3. Tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the
Florida east coast beginning Saturday, and a Tropical Storm Watch
has been issued. While storm surge watches are not currently needed
for this area, they may be required tonight or early tomorrow if the
forecast track shifts closer to the coast. Heavy rains associated
with Isaias may begin to affect eastern Florida this weekend,
potentially resulting in isolated flash and urban flooding.

4. There is a risk of impacts from winds, heavy rainfall, and storm
surge this weekend along the Florida east coast and spreading
northward along the remainder of the U.S. east coast through early
next week. The details of the track and intensity forecast remain
uncertain and it is too soon to determine the magnitude and location
of these potential impacts, but interests along the entire U.S. east
coast should monitor the progress of Isaias and updates to the
forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/2100Z 19.5N 70.6W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
12H 31/0600Z 20.8N 72.7W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER
24H 31/1800Z 22.7N 75.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 01/0600Z 24.5N 77.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 01/1800Z 26.1N 78.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 02/0600Z 27.7N 79.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 02/1800Z 29.2N 79.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 03/1800Z 33.3N 78.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 04/1800Z 40.0N 71.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
 07/30/2020 02:24 PM
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paddleout

Posts: 11763
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Well, now it's a hurricane- and right on our doorstep.

RECURVE BABY!



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Edited: 07/30/2020 at 02:24 PM by paddleout
 07/30/2020 02:25 PM
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paddleout

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..and in the meantime, the real monster just made it's appearance off the coast of Africa

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 07/30/2020 02:28 PM
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Plan B

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 07/30/2020 02:29 PM
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paddleout

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On the hopeful side, windy.com is now showing offshores again on Monday. Strong ones though. But if it keeps moving out to sea...

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 07/30/2020 02:56 PM
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seaspray

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Looks like the Home Depots, Lowe's, Publix's really need the business
 07/30/2020 03:51 PM
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K07

Posts: 47
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And just like that looks like we're getting a 'cane! Pray for that offshore recurve!
 07/31/2020 03:23 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

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Bad timing ..........for the Bob & Doug Dragon re-entry........ Sunday afternoon?

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 07/30/2020 05:56 PM
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Kimo63

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The 46 Buoy lit up earlier , now the South Bermuda . Shouldn't be long before the NE Bahamas starts to show then wait about 10 -12 hours for our beaches to see it . Update : the 47 just got a ping of 5 feet at 15sec , the worms are on the move

Edited: 07/30/2020 at 06:04 PM by Kimo63
 07/30/2020 06:25 PM
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paddleout

Posts: 11763
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Well, at the moment, there's a possibility we can get hit with a Cat1 within a few days..

check out Levi's latest vid- especially at 6:00 and 8:45






Also, check out Windy.com Sunday at 6pm- just a cool looking effect..

http://www.windy.com/?2020-08-...57,-80.354,8,m:erJadUZ

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Edited: 07/30/2020 at 06:33 PM by paddleout
 07/31/2020 03:57 AM
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Central Floridave

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Friday 5am update forecast

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/0900Z 20.9N 73.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 31/1800Z 22.3N 75.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 01/0600Z 24.0N 77.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 01/1800Z 25.7N 78.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 02/0600Z 27.3N 79.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 02/1800Z 28.8N 79.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 03/0600Z 30.6N 79.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 04/0600Z 36.5N 75.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 05/0600Z 42.5N 69.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
 07/31/2020 04:08 AM
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Central Floridave

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The hurricane has been moving between west-northwest and northwest
during the last several hours, estimated at 305/15 now. Isaias
should gradually turn to the north-northwest and north over the
weekend as it moves around the western periphery of a weakening
western Atlantic subtropical ridge. Guidance is in fairly good
agreement over the first couple of days of the forecast, so little
change is made at that time, other than a small westward adjustment
near the Bahamas. After that time, there is a considerable spread,
growing to over 700 miles, in the reliable models on how quickly
Isaias moves northeastward near the east coast of the United States.
The large spread appears to be related to both how strong the
cyclone is by early next week and how much mid-level ridging
remains near the Carolinas. There are no obvious reasons to choose
either the fast GFS or slow ECMWF right now, so the official
forecast will remain close to the previous one and the model
consensus. It should be noted that given this large spread, the
extended forecast could be subject to large speed/timing changes if
either of those solutions become more likely.

Strengthening is expected during the next day or so while the
hurricane remains over the very warm waters near the Bahamas with
reasonably low vertical shear. The forecast for the first 24 hours
has been raised from earlier, at the top of the guidance spread.
Increasingly southwesterly flow aloft should cause an increase in
shear over the weekend, which is forecast by most of the guidance
to lead to a gradual decrease in intensity. The details are not
very clear at all, especially considering the track uncertainty,
but there is a notable chance of a hurricane moving close to the
U.S. East coast, so the forecast continues to show that scenario.
 07/31/2020 04:32 AM
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Plan B

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 07/31/2020 05:33 AM
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StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 3309
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Originally posted by: Plan B
&

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 07/31/2020 08:53 AM
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RiddleMe

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There is some 15s period showing up on the 120 now. Can only see it on spectral density currently
 07/31/2020 10:57 AM
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StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 3309
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Bombogenesis?

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pick up my guitar and play, just like yesterday
 07/31/2020 11:11 AM
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seaspray

Posts: 435
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Had to get wet one last time this afternoon, and said my goodbyes to the sandbars that have been working really well for me this past month.

It's funny how we go from wanting some swell, to a state of emergency.

I feel like I have a target on my back with these hurricanes with destruction potential

Edited: 07/31/2020 at 12:24 PM by seaspray
 07/31/2020 11:12 AM
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dkaye

Posts: 2221
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17 second wave just hit the one mile bababooey

-------------------------

https://www.instagram.com/dj_kaye_/

 07/31/2020 11:25 AM
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RiddleMe

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Shifted west on an earlier run. Now another west shift on the models. Prepare to get strafed.
 07/31/2020 11:27 AM
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seaspray

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You look at that track, and you wonder about the many storms like that over a span of thousands of years were responsible for shaping the eastern coastline
 07/31/2020 11:32 AM
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RiddleMe

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Ooops

Edited: 07/31/2020 at 11:32 AM by RiddleMe
 07/31/2020 12:01 PM
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Plan B

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THIS TRAIN SUCKS!
 07/31/2020 03:49 PM
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paddleout

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Originally posted by: seaspray

You look at that track, and you wonder about the many storms like that over a span of thousands of years were responsible for shaping the eastern coastline



Seaspray- I used to wonder that myself.

But it turns out that it always had more or less that shape, waaay back millions of years before the tectonic plates moved to where there are now.

pangea map with current borders:

http://brilliantmaps.com/pangaea/

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 07/31/2020 07:01 PM
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ww

Posts: 15067
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Gout attack. The gods must be sending a message.
 07/31/2020 12:08 PM
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equipeola

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Originally posted by: seaspray I feel like I have a target on my back with these hurricanes with destruction potential
So it's,,,,,you? You're the mf'r ??!! ha! jk- I know sounds bad but-- these margarita's makin' me uhh, hav'in lotsa fun!! Dig it- come in up, Let's get sum mate's!! yeeW, stoked

-------------------------
ola ~

 07/31/2020 12:39 PM
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Central Floridave

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FYI, 20 mike buoy shows first long period tick now.
 07/31/2020 12:40 PM
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Central Floridave

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Mile.
 07/31/2020 01:01 PM
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sw

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Size increase starting to show on the 120 miler
 07/31/2020 01:05 PM
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slideaway

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3-4 ft here in Cocoa Beach... long lines starting to come in at 4 PM

-------------------------

"It's always better than it looks from the crossover."

 07/31/2020 03:34 PM
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dkaye

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thank god we've had waves in this complete shit show of a year come on fall!!

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 07/31/2020 02:36 PM
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johnnyboy

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Weiland has it flat in south Florida on Sunday.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 07/31/2020 02:51 PM
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Cole

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Long closed out lines in Cocoa Beach. Not surprised at all. lol
 07/31/2020 02:53 PM
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RocketSurf

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What about this little <40% probability yellow X?
Flowing right into the slot......hype train continues.

NOAA link
 07/31/2020 03:18 PM
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goldfinger

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The next one...

Edited: 07/31/2020 at 03:20 PM by goldfinger
 07/31/2020 03:45 PM
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RiddleMe

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Pretty sure I saw a close out from RCs to Seagull a bit ago lol
 08/01/2020 07:17 AM
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Cole

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Originally posted by: RiddleMe

Pretty sure I saw a close out from RCs to Seagull a bit ago lol


I'm doing my best to ensure I'm ready for the good 45 minutes of this swell.

 08/01/2020 08:16 AM
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scombrid

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In the near term, Isaias could weaken a little bit this afternoon while passing over northern Andros Island. However, the still impressive vertical structure of the cyclone should allow for some re-strengthening after the center moves back over the warm Gulf Stream by this evening. The current SHIPS analyzed westerly vertical wind shear of 25 kt could be too high due to the model incorporating some of the storm's outflow. The models forecast the shear to weaken somewhat over the next 36 h while Isaias is moving over the Gulf Stream, and the 06Z UKMET shows Isaias moving underneath a 200-mb anticyclone, which would normally favor some strengthening. Given all of these factors, the official forecast maintains a steady intensity through Monday night.
Mixed signals in the data. Any relaxation in wind sheer could still result in some yucky weather here on the immediate coast.

-------------------------

...

 08/01/2020 08:57 AM
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scombrid

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Just looked at the high res visibly loop and the center surface circulation is fully exposed as it emerges from the west shore of Andros. Deep convection has weakened and is displaced east of center. It's current heading is toward Coral Gables until it turns. Should be below hurricane strength in the 2pm intermediate advisory. Will see if convection re-fires once the center gets over water again.

-------------------------

...



Edited: 08/01/2020 at 08:59 AM by scombrid
 08/01/2020 08:59 AM
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IamSAW

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Mid am semi cleaned up with light(er) winds, briefly. Surf was still long ragged lines waist to head, I could never seem to be in the right spot, so it was mostly a duck dive practice session.
Isaias tracking note - this link is interesting to see the change in forecast:
Isaias 3 day graphic archive
 07/31/2020 07:59 PM
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Central Floridave

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Gout sucks.

Paddled out this evening. definite hurricane swell has arrived! Was super drifty, hard paddle, long line super close outs. Bigger than it looked from beach.

3-5 feet. Gonna be much bigger 2morrow. Stay safe. Hope it stays off the coast.
 08/01/2020 01:09 AM
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ww

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4 am Sat. Windy, using the ECMWF, has the hurricane's eye staying just off the coast until it ducks inland to do a direct hit on KSC, then goes back offshore north of Flagler Beach. That's unlikely to be exactly what plays out, but it's weird.
 08/01/2020 02:08 AM
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mp2115

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NHC 5a.m. has shifted the forecast east about 25 miles offshore reflecting the now 310 degrees direction from 305. It has also slowed down even more.
 08/01/2020 02:21 AM
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mp2115

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Correction, direction is 315 degrees
 08/01/2020 02:27 AM
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scombrid

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Westerly sheer is really hammering it right now. Fingers crossed.

-------------------------

...

 08/01/2020 04:35 AM
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Surfconch1

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Anyone boarding up?, With everything that's been going on I just don't seem to give a shit.
 08/01/2020 04:50 AM
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dingpatch

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Go wind sheer! Go dry air!

Boarding up? No, don't need to, still have them up from last year!!

Edited: 08/01/2020 at 04:51 AM by dingpatch
 08/01/2020 05:08 AM
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ww

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    From the 5 am discussion:
    The track guidance envelope has shifted a little to the east near the Florida coast and calls for a slower forward motion that the previous guidance. Thus, the new forecast track has been adjusted a little east of, and slower than, the previous track.
    The hurricane is currently undergoing about 25 kt of westerly vertical shear, and some mid-level dry air is present west of the center. This combination should prevent any more intensification, and, while Isaias is expected to remain a hurricane as it passes near the Florida coast, at least slight weakening should occur during this time. Current indications from the global models are that the storm will continue to experience strong shear as it recurves, and thus the intensity forecast follows the previous forecast in calling for weakening during this time.
 08/01/2020 04:58 AM
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sharkfood

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Make sure to attach one giant mask to your home to help with the curve of the storm.

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 08/01/2020 09:29 AM
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RiddleMe

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Originally posted by: sharkfood

Make sure to attach one giant mask to your home to help with the curve of the storm.


Perfectly sensible now that the weather channel is referring to it as COVIDCANE 2020.

Seriously, what in the actual fu...
 08/01/2020 10:15 AM
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dingpatch

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Mike's Weather Page
2 minutes ago
Isaias barely hanging on... might be on life support. Few hours ahead critical if he wants to come back. Core is strong and pressure is low 987mb. Dry air in oranges and reds might prove too much. www.spaghettimodels.com

Smoke em, if ya got em, , , , ,

And, , , , I just realized that the Forum "time" is an hour behind!!??

Edited: 08/01/2020 at 10:20 AM by dingpatch
 08/01/2020 05:51 AM
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jdbman

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Check the Ponce Inlet cam. The end result of hype.

-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.
 08/01/2020 06:44 AM
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scombrid

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But its just going into the gulf right? And the islands will block it from coming north right? So said this thread. Dont need 2ndlight hype to pack Ponce.

-------------------------

...

 08/01/2020 06:49 AM
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scombrid

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Looks really good up there as anyone would expect with the current swell direction and winds. Wind looks utterly dead up there.

-------------------------

...

 08/01/2020 09:01 AM
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paddleout

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As WW pointed out earlier, Windy.com is based off the ECMWF by default. but you can also switch to GFS and NAM models as well.

Plus, just realized today that you can set the "weather picker" (which you position over the spot you want to know about)

to show wind gusts, rather than just the wind (which you can set to mph if you wish)


going off of that, they are showing max wind gusts Sunday night around 54mph at 192&A1A area with 37 or so steady wind

will be interesting to see how accurate that ends up being.

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 08/01/2020 09:20 AM
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scombrid

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Currently tracking to the left of the official forecast track. Left of Euro and close to last GFS run.

-------------------------

...

 08/01/2020 06:51 AM
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Central Floridave

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ponce does look pretty great. too lazy to chase it though. &old. hope we get some good surf and that blob stays off the coast.

Hope everyone scores if it happens.
 08/01/2020 09:24 AM
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Central Floridave

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Saturday report. wind wasn't too strong early this morning but around 11am some clouds moved thru and that's it. Too windy. Size looked around 3-5 feet. Super choppy long line closeouts. Not that many people out. Doesn't look worth it in Satty.
 08/01/2020 10:22 AM
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Central Floridave

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you can change your profile time in settings. Adjust for daylight savings or whatever we are in.

 08/01/2020 10:39 AM
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dingpatch

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Dave, I got the time corrected. Set on "Eastern Time", with -2.0 hours. Not sure why.
 08/01/2020 12:17 PM
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Kimo63

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Went out in the NSB area until 130 pm . There was not a breath of air moving for the longest time , still only minimal south wind at 2pm . Water was turquoise and nice shoulder to head high lines . Supposed to stay calm until evening . Enjoy the calm before the storm.
 08/01/2020 01:29 PM
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pumphouse

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how did so many weather folks miss this dry air that just ripped this storm to shreds?

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"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who do not have it." - George Bernard Shaw
 08/01/2020 01:31 PM
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paddleout

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Levi did talk about it for awhile on last light's http://www.tropicaltidbits.com video.. he's the only guy I heard mention it

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 08/01/2020 01:43 PM
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scombrid

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Looked like a desert sky here the last two days.

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 08/01/2020 02:12 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

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that saharan dust cloud up here too.

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pick up my guitar and play, just like yesterday
 08/01/2020 02:18 PM
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scostuart

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As of the 5 pm Advisory #Isaias has been downgraded to a tropical Storm but may regain hurricane status later tonight and Sunday. Stay with https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/205732.shtml?cone

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 08/01/2020 04:15 PM
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Central Floridave

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I'm kind of hoping it goes over brevard and we can experience the eye of the hurricane! It is interesting. I've been in a few.

 08/01/2020 05:06 PM
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Plan B

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5+ hours in the water (some good surf) followed by cold beer + playoff hockey..... good day. I'm toast
 08/01/2020 08:42 PM
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johnnyboy

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Just tracked inland. I'm out of hope.

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 08/01/2020 10:07 PM
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paddleout

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what are you looking at Johnnyboy?

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 08/02/2020 01:47 AM
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ww

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    Windy has differing versions from NAM ECMWF and GFS ca. 5 am Sunday. NAM has the worst winds for St. Lucie through Brevard, GFS not quite as bad, ECMWF puts it offshore, pretty good.
At 5 am, hurricane warning dropped, replaced by tropical storm warning.

Edited: 08/02/2020 at 02:26 AM by ww
 08/02/2020 05:46 AM
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equipeola

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It's offshore and crank'in down PB way already-Earlier than expected?!

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 08/02/2020 06:09 AM
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dingpatch

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The 8 AM radar and satellite are quite different from each other. WFTV showed the "official" location, the radar and the satellite. Well, the "location" is in the middle of the cloud "blow up" shown in the satellite. BUT, the radar shows an actual "circular'" motion that looks to be about 30+ miles to the ENE of the "official location!!?? Is it making a "jog" to the East!!??

The "official" spot is more-or-less between Delray Beach and Freeport, while the radar "circulation" seems to be forming over the NW tip of Freeport??

And now, the satellite does look like the "center" is over the NW tip of Freeport



Edited: 08/02/2020 at 06:16 AM by dingpatch
 08/02/2020 07:21 AM
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scombrid

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There are currently two spins. There is a surface circulation. Northeast of that there is a mid level circulation that had developed in that extremely intense convective burst in the northeast quadrant. The official position is tied to the surface low. If the Miami radar would quit blinking out you could see the surface circulation better. It is hidden on the latest satellite by the very large cloud shield emanating from that convective complex north of Grand Bahama.

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...

 08/02/2020 10:36 AM
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Cole

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This thing might be even with Brevard by dark. Actually, at second glance, it's well before dark.

This all-over-the-place forecasting has me slightly concerned. The wishy-washy stuff won't cut it when a killer is headed our way. I guess GTFO early is the only option.
 08/02/2020 02:13 PM
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johnnyboy

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Palm beach county got two maybe three hours of clean head high surf. Or so I've heard.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 08/02/2020 03:37 PM
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Cole

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The 20 miler: 50 knot gusts, seas 15 feet at 10 seconds.
 08/02/2020 04:13 PM
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Cole

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White water out to the horizon. Pretty cool looking.
 08/02/2020 04:32 PM
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paddleout

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Getting some decent gusts in S Mel Beach right now. I'd take a guess and say the gusts around around 50 mph?

Anybody have accurate readings?

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 08/02/2020 05:31 PM
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tom

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Also Mel beach, Iwindsurf.com shows some gusts to upper 40s at the inlet. Just back from dog walk, he was not amused...

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 08/02/2020 10:14 PM
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scombrid

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GFS beat the EURO and UKMET on this storm. Going to be really wet here in Virginia on Tuesday. Baroclinic forcing is going to rule the day up here.

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...

 08/02/2020 10:25 PM
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scombrid

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Originally posted by: tom Also Mel beach, Iwindsurf.com shows some gusts to upper 40s at the inlet. Just back from dog walk, he was not amused...
Had a geriatric dachshund on horse diuretics for heart failure that needed to go pee during the pre dawn peak of Mathew. Went out on the lee side of the house. He went around into the storm side with 50 mph wind pelting rain and flying debris. He marched into it like it was nothing to go mark his usual bush. He defiantly pushed into it like he was mad at it. Meanwhile I got pummeled by branches while trying to keep him from getting smashed. I want to be like that when I get old. We have other dogs that won't go out in a drizzle.

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...

 08/03/2020 02:51 AM
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GreenLantern

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early cam visual looks like it already dropped like a rock
 08/03/2020 02:52 AM
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GreenLantern

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Originally posted by: GreenLantern

early cam visual looks like it already dropped like a rock



maybe its just the tide or the wind
 08/03/2020 04:20 AM
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dkaye

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Originally posted by: GreenLantern
Originally posted by: GreenLantern early cam visual looks like it already dropped like a rock
maybe its just the tide or the wind
hightower is going off

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 08/03/2020 04:51 AM
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Plan B

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still a bit "disorganized" up here hoping to sneek out of work around 3
 08/03/2020 06:27 AM
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Cole

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Surf is meh. Some size, but with a south component. Nothing great, hopefully it's just morning sickness.
 08/03/2020 08:55 AM
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RiddleMe

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Enough fun ones out there to make it worth it. Hopefully something left for the lower tide
 08/03/2020 09:22 AM
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long_flaco1

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Is any one else stuck at work till the afternoon like me? Makes me think of the one homie that post on here with us "WORKSUXGETSPONSORD"!!!

Just got the "OK" from the boss, and leaving work at 330pm.. Hoping the winds stay offshore and the pier is still fun around 5pm

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 08/03/2020 10:19 AM
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scombrid

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Marginal environmental conditions could allow for some slow development of this system during the next several days, with a tropical depression possibly forming later this week. This system is forecast to move northwestward at about 15 mph over the southwestern Atlantic today and on Tuesday, and then stall several hundred miles southwest of Bermuda by the middle to latter part of the week.


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...

 08/03/2020 11:00 AM
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IamSAW2

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<<==not this morning! (Again). Just got back to my oar here, it was firing out there and still good when I left, pretty consistent too. Amazing from such a weak storm so close, swell still appears to be ESE, so maybe this pulse is from last week. Hope you get some.
 08/03/2020 11:04 AM
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seaspray

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I thought it was pumping at the spot that I went to. But my standards are low.

Still clean and form is good out there, swell dropping but not too bad. Gonna recharge for the afternoon
 08/03/2020 11:44 AM
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Cole

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Yes! I was wrong! A few outside barrels in cocoa Beach? That's pretty damn rare.

I am not used to four hours in the water.

 08/03/2020 11:44 AM
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Cole

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Oh, and it's still chest plus and clean for those of you looking to ditch work.
 08/03/2020 01:02 PM
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scombrid

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Glad the storm didn't have today's structure yesterday. Looks like it is nearing hurricane strength in the radar imagery and there is intense comvection on the west side.

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 08/03/2020 01:27 PM
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scostuart

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Definitely got better mid-morning to 1500hrs. Lower tide helped the rocks in Satty beach area. Winds would go lite and then ramp up about every 30 mins. Still good but a lil softer.

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Waiting for waves is ok......most people spend their lives waiting for nothing.

 08/03/2020 01:49 PM
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SurferMic

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North of the Cape was the call...
 08/03/2020 04:17 PM
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Cole

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Yea, i imagine the secret wildlife place was the call.

Our local break with three people out was fine by be. The South Brevard beaches kinda got the shaft.
 08/03/2020 04:55 PM
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Ragga P

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Any other spots experience a visit from a rather large white shark today? It cleared the lineup twice late this afternoon at our break in north Satellite... have never seen a dorsal fin that big in all my years of surfing here!

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 photo IMG_3156.jpg
 08/03/2020 05:07 PM
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goldfinger

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Still some left for the after work crew..Wind stayed offshore until 6, yesss...
 08/03/2020 05:56 PM
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Central Floridave

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Speaking of spot north it is now 20 bucks for a day pass. I went up there on Friday to surf and unturned at the gate.

Surf was pretty fun today. (Monday).
 08/03/2020 06:49 PM
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Central Floridave

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BULLETIN
Hurricane Isaias Intermediate Advisory Number 27A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
800 PM EDT Mon Aug 03 2020

Corrected to add extent of hurricane-force winds and surface ob

...ISAIAS REGAINS HURRICANE STRENGTH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL TONIGHT WITH DANGEROUS WINDS AND STORM SURGE...
...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY FROM THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
 08/04/2020 02:56 AM
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mp2115

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It went good to really good yesterday. So stoked!! Surfed like 4 hrs. one water break. Towards the later afternoon I was a bit drained and the incoming tide was still throwing big waves.
 08/04/2020 03:38 AM
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dkaye

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very happy from saturday's and yesterdays surf - especially since our passports are worthless lol

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 08/04/2020 06:48 AM
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johnnyboy

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Had a blast. Made up for a lot of down time.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 08/04/2020 08:04 AM
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Plan B

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Fun stuff this morn. .
 08/05/2020 07:20 AM
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Tiptime

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No Hype just fact, Monday morning was going off, shackfest all morning




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The Wavecaster

Edited: 08/05/2020 at 07:21 AM by Tiptime
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