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Topic Title: Dear Rain Gawd
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Created On: 04/28/2017 04:01 AM
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 04/28/2017 04:01 AM
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Central Floridave

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Hello, it's me again....
 04/28/2017 07:03 AM
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Burry

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ummmm....

 

what channel are you on?...

we did get lots O rain down here last Sunday.

But we were in Satellite yesterday and the house we sold..well the front yard is looking like a desert!!!

our son who lives in Palm Bay, said rain came up as far as Sebastian and stopped!

maybe change brands of Tin Foil..go with the Super Heavey Duty!



-------------------------
. " I like Ike!"


Never Trust Atoms......They Make Up Everything!




 



 04/28/2017 08:00 AM
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Central Floridave

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Thanks for the tip, if it works I'll let you know!

 04/28/2017 08:10 AM
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Central Floridave

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Next chance of rain:

Isold shras on Mon, chc of tsras late Mon night as a frontal
boundary approaches the area.
 04/28/2017 08:40 AM
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Coconuts

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Just filled the pool ystdy for the second time in less than a month!
 04/28/2017 11:35 AM
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Karma

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Seriously, please!

-------------------------


If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.
 04/29/2017 06:10 AM
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miker

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Originally posted by: Coconuts

Just filled the pool ystdy for the second time in less than a month!



Yeah so bad I thought my pool was leaking and did the bucket test on it. Lol
 05/01/2017 06:35 AM
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tom

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got just a splash this weekend, 1/2" or so

enough to help the dry spots

 05/01/2017 12:09 PM
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miker

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None here in Satellite. Had three drops before lunch today, so there is hope.
 05/01/2017 12:13 PM
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Central Floridave

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NWS melbourne discussion Monday mid-morning:

Short-range models seem to be liking the atmosphere ahead of the
approaching system for today better than this time yesterday. The
HRRR, should it verify, shows numerous convective coverage this
afternoon, but think this is a bit overplayed, though it would be
nice for our dry situation. Speaking of the HRRR, it shows coverage
increasing early this afternoon across the interior, then moving NE
toward the east coast and hitting the ECSB, intensifying along the
east coast and moving offshore across the coastal waters. For now,
will keep 30 to 40 PoPs areawide until something shows me otherwise
as the mid/upper levels are not overly impressive, though we are a
bit cooler aloft than recent days. There will be a threat for
lightning with this afternoon`s activity, too.

Tonight...the front advances into north-central FL and perhaps near
or just north of the I-4 corridor by daybreak Tue morning. Deep
layer moisture will pool to 1.70-1.90 inches along/ahead of the
boundary across ECFL. Ongoing convection and deepening moisture will
prompt continued chances of precipitation through the night. Highest
PoPs (50pct) will be across the I-4 corridor, closest to the front,
with decreasing chances southward (30-40pct). With the little
dynamic support suspect highest chances will be during the evening,
then increasing late in the night or toward sunrise northward near
the approaching front.
 05/01/2017 12:15 PM
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Central Floridave

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Cliff Notes: Those cursed won't get any rain.
 05/01/2017 12:48 PM
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Central Floridave

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if not tonight, then Tuesday, just updated from nws melbourne:

Tue...Should be some ISOLD-SCT convection around ECFL by sunrise Tue
morning, with greatest potential for this near/north of I-4 near and
out ahead of the approaching diminishing front. SCT-NMRS (50-60pct)
showers are forecast along with ISOLD lightning storms. Locally
heavy downpours, gusty winds, and occasional lightning will be the
main threats with storm motion generally out of the west. Activity
will slowly end from north to south during the day as the weakening
boundary sags southward. SW to W winds will veer into the afternoon
all the way around to NE with speeds averaging 10-15 mph. Modest
surface heating will allow temperatures to reach the M-U80s across
the interior and L-M80s near the coast.
 05/01/2017 03:00 PM
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miker

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Rain to the north, south, and west.... still cursed
 05/01/2017 04:02 PM
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Central Floridave

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Got about 1/4 inch this afternoon. Just guessing though. rain buckets have something in it. Need more...come on Rain Gawd...you can do it!

Planted a couple trees yesterday and when digging the hole the soil was like concrete it was so dry.
 05/02/2017 04:14 AM
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miker

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It rained here almost enough to get the sidewalk completely wet. So basically nothing.
 05/02/2017 05:51 AM
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Central Floridave

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Looks like we will have a cool down for the weekend! Last cool front? Get heavy work done in the yard weekend.



Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
413 AM EDT Tue May 2 2017

...A Couple Periods of Much Needed Rain then Drying by the
Weekend...

.DISCUSSION...
Today/Tonight...A large storm system extending from the Upr Midwest
into the Canadian Maritimes has pulled a weakening cold front into
the FL Big Bend/ern Panhandle as of release time. By daybreak, the
front will be encroaching on the I-4 Corridor. Ahead of the front,
H85-H30 vorticity is not well organized, but H85-H30 omega/H30-H20
divergence is quite strong, allowing sct shras/isold tsras to form
over the central FL Peninsula. Precip has been increasing over the
past few hrs, especially over the I-75 Corridor. Trend will continue
well past sunrise as RAP40 analysis shows plentiful prefrontal
moisture: sfc dewpoints in the L/M70s, lyr PWat btwn 1.75"-2.00",
and H100-H70 mean RH btwn 80-90pct.

As the storm system lifts into ern Canada, it will abandon the srn
extension of its frontal trof, leaving it with its (weak) post
frontal ridge and its own inertia as forward momentum. Models have
consistently slowed the front as it treks thru central FL, stalling
it in the vcnty of Lake-O/Jupiter Inlet arnd sunset where it will
gradually washout. Given the strength and depth of the Atlc ridge it
is currently plowing into, plus the fact that post frontal steering
winds have a much more zonal than meridional component, and the
scenario is reasonable.

The 02/00Z RAOBs show the H85-H70 subsidence inversion that was in
place overhead has largely eroded, opening the door for 50-70pct
areal coverage. However, H85-h50 lapse rates btwn 5.5-6.0C/KM are
marginal at best, and H50 temps btwn -8C/-9C do not suggest strong
let alone severe convection. Precip will end quickly with the fropa,
will downgrade PoPs from Orange/N Brevard northward from sct to slgt
chc by midday, continuing nmrs shras/sct tsras to the south. Max
temps in the M/U80s due to sky cover and cooling rain.

Precip may linger over the Treasure Coast/Lake-O region for a few
hrs past sunset, but should be done by midnight as drier air begins
to filter into the south FL Peninsula. Min temps in the L/M60s over
the interior...M/U60s along the coast.


Wed-Fri...A shortwave trough will dig into the southern Plains then
lift northeast through late week, pulling a strengthening surface
low with it. The associated frontal boundary will approach the local
area Thu and slide to our southeast on Fri.

The 00z GFS showed lingering moisture band associated with a
weakening frontal trough pushing south of Okeechobee on Wed as
weak high pressure pushes offshore to our north. MOS POPs are
less than 10 percent areawide Wed, so will have a dry forecast.

Moisture ahead of the next front is forecast to reach the area Thu
afternoon into Thu night and bring a chance for showers/storms. The
band of convection should pass offshore Fri morning. Blended
model guidance supports likely PoPs across the north Thu night
and across the south on Fri.

Weekend-Tue...Cool front settling through the Bahamas will leave the
area in a dry west/northwest flow Sat. Weak high pressure ridge is
then forecast to extend from the Gulf of Mexico across the Florida
peninsula Sun-Tue and continue dry conditions.

Morning lows will be below normal Sat/Sun and are projected to fall
into the 50s over much of the area. High temperatures will also be
below normal in the upper 70s to lower 80s Sat then a gradual
moderating trend towards normal will occur through early next week
with readings getting back in the mid-upper 80s.

&&

.MARINE...
Today/Tonight...Frontal boundary approaching the FL Big Bend will
push acrs central FL thru the day and stall in the vcnty of Jupiter
Inlet/Lake-O overnight. Sfc/bndry lyr winds shifting with the
fropa...gentle to moderate W/SW breeze ahead of the boundary,
shifting rapidly to a gentle to moderate NE breeze in its wake. Seas
3-4FT nearshore and 4-5FT offshore thru early evng, subsiding to 2-
3ft nearshore and 3-4FT offshore arnd sunset. Sct/nmrs shras and
isold/sct tsras moving offshore.

Wed-Fri...Weak high pressure area will push offshore to our north
on Wed, which will bring a northeast/east wind flow Wed up to
10-15 knots. The next frontal trough will approach on Thu and
southeast winds 10-15 knots will become south near 20 knots in
the afternoon and into the night. Winds will become southwest
early Fri then west by afternoon as the frontal boundary pushes
through. Conditions for small craft operations will be poor to
marginally hazardous Thu afternoon through Fri night. There will
also be a band of showers/storms moving across the waters, mainly
from Thu night into early Fri afternoon.

Sat...Post frontal west/northwest winds may be near 20 knots in
the morning but then are forecast to decrease in the afternoon.
Seas 4-6 feet offshore.

&&

.CLIMATE...Record daily rainfall of 0.98 inches at VRB on May 1.
Old record was 0.95 in 1966.

&&
 05/02/2017 11:38 AM
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daner

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RAined Hard in Vero for the past hour

-------------------------
Replace turf grass with native plants that don't need irrigation and synthetic fertilizers or chemicals that can go into our waterways and ocean

 05/02/2017 12:28 PM
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miker

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Finally rain here as well. Good soaking.
 05/02/2017 03:57 PM
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Central Floridave

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pissed, got zilch on Tuesday.
 05/03/2017 04:32 AM
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miker

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Of course even with the rain, neighbor down the street ran his sprinklers for 3 hours in the evening and they have been on since 6 this morning and still going. Dude runs his sprinklers like 5 hours a day 7 days a week and only has managed to replace most of his grass with dollar weed.
2nd Light Forums » Central Florida Palm's Gardening Forum » Dear Rain Gawd

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