Dangerous or unpleasant things like defending yourself without a firearm.

Right now, the NY Times' Upshot gives Clinton a 93% chance.  Sam Wang at Princeton has two measures.  One of them puts Clinton at 99%.  

The Senate is more important (very likely to be Democratic for two years, then go back to Republican), and a Democratic House, which is highly unlikely, would be amazing.  

You make no sense. Better go pull those covers over your head as you cower in fear from unrealistic threats. What's it like to live constantly fearful? Life is passing you by...



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QOP = Terrorists
FK = Gay

5-1 odds, which is what I can do in the betting market. Not a single taker?

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I :heart; Q

Current odds from UBS:

Scenario--Probability--President--Senate-- House
1.---------42.5% ------Clinton----------D------R
2.---------15%----------Trump----------R------R
3.----------10%---------Clinton----------D-----D
4.----------32.5%-------Clinton----------R------R
5.-----------0------------Trump-----------D-----R
6.-----------0------------Trump-----------D-----D


Hey tampon post a link to your source of 5-1.

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So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

If Congress remains in R hands, it sounds like they are planning to try and block any nominations to the Supreme Court. That would be unprecedented.


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“It is the heart of US policy to use fascism to preserve capitalism while claiming to be saving democracy from communism “ - Michael Parenti

Only the Senate has a say. But they had better block a Justice if he/she is of the sort nominated by the PiC.

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I :heart; Q

Here's one.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/

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I :heart; Q

If you are so confident, let's go straight up? $100 - I have paypal.



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QOP = Terrorists
FK = Gay

It makes a lot of sense of you are able to read and interpret my previous post. Life is good for me, being prepared for anything is better.

 

You can try and pull a Steven Segal if the attacker has a firearm but if you fail its bye bye.

tampon, thanks for the link. Right now its 4-1.

Why do you need odds this time. You have not asked for that in the past?

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So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

Internal details of recent polls show a massive enthusiasm shift, likely voting is way down among Republicans (mostly those traditional Republicans that were trying to get on board the Trump train but can no longer stomach it).
Likely voting, and enthusiasm is way up among Democrats, plus they have a massive well funded new voter registration and GOTV effort. GOP/Trump GOTV effort is poor.

2 weeks left, anything can happen it's a crazy year but if these trends are real and hold we are looking at a blowout.

My prediction today:

Clinton wins by 50% - 40% popular vote, and about 360 Electoral votes.
Networks will call it for her as soon as the west coast polls close.

Senate goes 52-48 Democratic
House Republicans retain a very narrow single digit lead.

The current Senate will confirm Garland.
Clinton's replacements for Justices Ginsberg and Breyer will also be confirmed in her first two years, thus a reasonable balance will be maintained.

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"The truth is incontrovertible.
malice may attack it,
ignorance may deride it,
but in the end,
there it is." -Sir Winston Churchill

Getting powder was tough 08 to around 2015 or so. Recent front page headline of American Rifleman had Mrs Clinton on it. Usual chicken little rhetoric.

Prices and availability for everything has come down a lot. But starting to go back up as the lobby cranks up the rhetoric again.

Most people I know are stocked to the max.



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So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

No shit; the discussion is whether is was COWARDLY. Can't you stay on track?

The other elections that I bet on were much closer. I need some upside for a risky bet. Standard thinking.

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I :heart; Q

Tpap

i'll quit commenting on NSR if the Donald wins & you quit if Hillary wins...

Of course no coming back under other names etc etc..

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There are NO white people at all in the Bible... take all the time you need with that...
Please stop feeding the trolls - they will go away if you do...

No way. The resistance is counting on me during any Clinton presidency. Plus, I post more than you, so even 5-1 odds wouldn't be equitable. Let me think about this for awhile, and maybe I can come up with a bet we can both live with.

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I :heart; Q

My offer: 2-1 for a hundred.

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So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

I've got several other bets out, but they are all even, in fact one will cost the other guy far much to collect (he has to travel to where I will be living).
Why are you so much more worried than the average Trumpinista?


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"The truth is incontrovertible.
malice may attack it,
ignorance may deride it,
but in the end,
there it is." -Sir Winston Churchill

I'd rather not take the chance of catching any STDs...

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GOP:

Gaslight
Obstruct
Project