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Topic Title: ...MICHAEL BECOMES A HURRICANE AND CONTINUED STRENGTHENING EXPECTED...
Topic Summary: Gulf coast
Created On: 10/08/2018 09:03 AM
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 10/10/2018 06:36 AM
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3rdworldlover

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Hunter just measured 926.8 mb, damn near Cat 5
 10/10/2018 06:59 AM
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miker

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That pressure easily supports Cat 5. Just saw someone post elsewhere that Andrew was at 922mb.
 10/10/2018 07:16 AM
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miker

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This station shows the tide level in the big bend area. It isn't going to get the brunt of the storm, but you can clearly see the water stacking from the continuous on shore flow and surge beginning. Note that high/low tide doesn't seem to matter much as the water is just steadily rising. Will be interesting to watch even as far away from landfall as it will be.

Clicky

 10/10/2018 07:53 AM
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Central Floridave

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So, I have a friend who lives a couple blocks from the beach in Panama City. He decides it is safer on the 14th floor of a beach side condo. He just recently posted fb photos of the waves hitting the condo pool below. Eeek.
 10/10/2018 07:59 AM
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Central Floridave

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Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph
 10/10/2018 08:00 AM
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miker

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Originally posted by: Central Floridave

So, I have a friend who lives a couple blocks from the beach in Panama City. He decides it is safer on the 14th floor of a beach side condo. He just recently posted fb photos of the waves hitting the condo pool below. Eeek.


You should repost a few of those here.
 10/10/2018 08:29 AM
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dkaye

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Originally posted by: miker
Originally posted by: Central Floridave So, I have a friend who lives a couple blocks from the beach in Panama City. He decides it is safer on the 14th floor of a beach side condo. He just recently posted fb photos of the waves hitting the condo pool below. Eeek.
You should repost a few of those here.
right? Goddamn what an idiot.

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 10/10/2018 08:37 AM
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dingpatch

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Now at 150 MPH

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Dora Hates You
 10/10/2018 08:44 AM
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miker

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And 923mb
 10/10/2018 08:48 AM
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tom

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Do they still give Darwin awards?

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 10/10/2018 09:58 AM
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StirfryMcflurry

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Originally posted by: tom Do they still give Darwin awards?
Daily!
 10/10/2018 10:28 AM
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Central Floridave

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Eye over land now. FB message from friend: "My friends and I are safe in the stairwell of a high rise. this storm is serious. If I stepped outside, I'd be blown down the street like a paper cup. powerful." I'm safe, but one doesn't want to ever be in a storm like this".
 10/10/2018 10:48 AM
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miker

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919mb with 155mph wind at land fall. Mexico Beach got the eastern eye wall and Tyndall AFB the western. Right over St Andrew sound. Last observation of equipment was 129mph at Tyndall an hour ago.

Edited: 10/10/2018 at 10:52 AM by miker
 10/10/2018 11:46 AM
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Plan B

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I bet some beautiful beaches got torn in half. so sad....
 10/10/2018 01:36 PM
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dkaye

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looks like your buddy in PCB may be all good man, the weather channel chick was there and it didn't look at that bad

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 10/10/2018 02:15 PM
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Central Floridave

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Hurricane Michael Discussion Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
400 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

Data from an Air Force Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and
NWS WSR-88D radar data showed that Michael continued to strengthen
until it made landfall around 1730 UTC (12:30 PM CDT) along the
coast of the Florida Panhandle between Mexico Beach and Tyndall Air
Force Base. The aircraft found peak 700-mb flight-level winds of
152 kt during its final pass through southeast eyewall just before
Michael made landfall. There were SFMR measurements of 132-138 kt,
but the validity of those observations are questionable since they
occurred in shallow water and were flagged. The landfall intensity
was estimated at 135 kt (155 mph), which makes Michael the strongest
hurricane to make landfall in the continental U.S. since Andrew
(1992). The minimum pressure at landfall was estimated at 919 mb,
which is the third lowest landfall pressure in the United States. A
University of Florida/Weatherflow observing site measured a minimum
pressure of 920.2 mb.
 10/10/2018 04:45 PM
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miker

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The tide gauge I linked above showed the steadily building water height prior to landfall. If you look at the data, you will see a rapid rise of water during landfall despite the eye of the storm being way away, like 80+ miles. It rose 3 feet in 6 minutes and continued to rise further to 11.84 ft above mean tide. I saw some footage of Mexico Beach with surge up to roofs and over many as well.
 10/10/2018 05:23 PM
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Mr. Long

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Joined Forum: 12/17/2006


Mexico Beach carnage
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.theepochtimes.com/video-hurricane-michael-slams-mexico-beach-florida_2686322.html/amp

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Little Penquin: A winner is someone who doesn't knock me off my surfboard; Tank's definitely not a winner.

Little Penquin: He's a dirty trash can full of poop.

--Surf's Up

Edited: 10/10/2018 at 05:24 PM by Mr. Long
 10/11/2018 01:15 AM
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scostuart

Posts: 259
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https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2018-10-10-hurricane-michael-impacts-florida-gulf-coast

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Waiting for waves is ok......most people spend their lives waiting for nothing.

 10/11/2018 05:44 AM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25162
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I have actually surfed Mexico Beach on a clean little log wave. I can only imaging how that little town must look today.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

FORUMS : Surfing : ...MICHAEL BECOMES A HURRICANE AND CONTINUED STREN...

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