Hey Matt B ... How the hell o are you ??? :)

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Topic Title: Wieland's got big expectations for March
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Created On: 02/22/2018 08:04 PM
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 02/22/2018 08:04 PM
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ww

Posts: 16088
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007

 02/23/2018 06:14 AM
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RiddleMe

Posts: 5810
Joined Forum: 07/21/2011

Hope he is right

 02/23/2018 06:38 AM
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Plan B

Posts: 3302
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

Yep, we could use a few legit swells!

I just hope our WT doesnt nosedive again..... it's finally back to the comfortable range up here

 02/23/2018 07:47 AM
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tubeTime

Posts: 163
Joined Forum: 10/16/2003

I need some good surf, it's been brutally flat here in West FL. Too much work, family, and other adventures have been keeping me from getting East with any frequency the last couple of years. Enough notice and opportunities with this one to get my shit together.
 02/23/2018 03:31 PM
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SurfCaster

Posts: 525
Joined Forum: 02/02/2007

So what is taking NAO and AO negative? These are largely diagnostic indices. ENSO is forecast to transition from La NiƱa to neutral during the forecast period, perhaps providing necessary oceanic forcing that will result in the predicted atmospheric response, as the MJO signal is currently fairly weak and expected to remain so through the period.

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"If I say it's safe to surf this beach, captain, then it's safe to surf this beach!"
 02/23/2018 05:21 PM
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RiddleMe

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Over my head

 02/24/2018 07:06 AM
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dab

Posts: 1200
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Originally posted by: SurfCaster So what is taking NAO and AO negative? These are largely diagnostic indices. ENSO is forecast to transition from La Niña to neutral during the forecast period, perhaps providing necessary oceanic forcing that will result in the predicted atmospheric response, as the MJO signal is currently fairly weak and expected to remain so through the period.

Polar Vortex split is the cause of the negative trend. The explanation is very grainular and I’m slowly processing it. 

Heres a link: https://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation/

This is one of those occassions when the positive thing to do is to hope for a negative trend!?? 



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Great minds discuss ideas; Average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people.



Edited: 02/24/2018 at 07:15 AM by dab
 02/25/2018 06:30 AM
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pompano

Posts: 5804
Joined Forum: 01/06/2005

going to be interesting watching the possibility of the low's battling each other late this coming week.  just hope the local wind is somewhat favorable.

 

 02/25/2018 08:07 AM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25071
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Hell just the forecast is making me giddy. February was a bust.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

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