Discuss....... and I just took off all the plywood...arg





http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUVS.JPG

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Nicole, located several hundred miles
east-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

1. Shower activity associated with a well-defined, non-tropical low
pressure system located just to the northeast of the Turks and
Caicos has changed little during the past several hours. The low is
expected to slowly intensify as upper-level winds become more
conducive, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone could form during
the next couple of days while the low moves northward on Wednesday
and turns north-northwestward or northwestward on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Additional information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Nicole can be found
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the
Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Stewart





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I think you are safe from having to put your plywood back up. There isnt a single model that places that anywhere close to us.

 

There is hope for it to generate swell for us though.

I like that the system looks to give us a change up of the current onshore wind regime. PLUS, swing a cold front through florida on Friday night!

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical low pressure system located about 250 miles
northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands is producing a large area
of cloudiness and thunderstorms that extends from near Puerto Rico
and the Dominican Republic northeastward over the Atlantic for
several hundred miles. Upper-level winds are forecast to become
more conducive for this system to acquire some tropical
characteristics, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone is likely to
form within the next few days. The low is forecast to move
northward to north-northwestward on Wednesday and Thursday, before
turning north-northeastward and merging with a cold front over the
western Atlantic by the weekend. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft
is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if
necessary. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is
possible over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, and the U.S.
and British Virgin Islands tonight and Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

IF  there's a CHANCE ....this is the official OTTO hype thread, I'm IN.

Looks like maybe a low centered just east of Bahamas this morning, check out the satellite

More organized this morning and the counter-clockwise spin has begun.

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Heavy is sign of reliability