Hey Matt B ... How the hell o are you ??? :)

2nd Light Forums
Decrease font size
Increase font size
Topic Title: Should we prepare for a hurricane to hit? Erika
Topic Summary: Grande Waves?!?!?!?
Created On: 08/24/2015 08:12 PM
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch
<< 1 2 3 4 5 6 Previous Last unread
Topic Tools Topic Tools
View topic in raw text format. Print this topic.
 08/27/2015 08:14 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


ww

Posts: 16088
Joined Forum: 08/17/2007

From the 11 pm NHC discussion:

"Most of the track guidance, including the ECMWF and the GFS global models, show a tropical cyclone approaching Southeast Florida in about 3 days and moving northward near or over the East Coast of Florida during the latter portion of the forecast period. There is unusually high uncertainty in this forecast, especially at days 3 to 5, given that the cyclone has to recover from shear and from the effects of land for this to occur."

 

 

 08/27/2015 08:48 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


fsusurfer

Posts: 155
Joined Forum: 12/18/2008



-------------------------

Where is Playalinda?

 08/28/2015 04:10 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Plan B

Posts: 3302
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

Originally posted by: Plan B Hurricane mess or lame surf......

 

We'll probably get fuct one way or the other.

 

 

just sayin....

 08/28/2015 04:26 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


LagoonSurfer

Posts: 2002
Joined Forum: 07/06/2009

Clearly our frickn sufering is not at an end.

-------------------------
Brother, when you get a minute, could I get a list of the words that trigger these fits?


Hey. Where are we going? (And what are we doing in a hand-basket?)
 08/28/2015 04:44 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Bev

Posts: 167
Joined Forum: 02/14/2015

Originally posted by: Plan B
Originally posted by: Plan B Hurricane mess or lame surf......

 

 

 

We'll probably get fuct one way or the other.

 

 

 

 

 

 

just sayin....

 

 

what are ya sayin? you just said it, now what the hell else are you sayin?! you had to make another post to say your sayin what you said like all these people are idiots? that's always been a saying about how stupid that is to say. just sayin there- thats better

 08/28/2015 05:04 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


dkaye

Posts: 2237
Joined Forum: 08/19/2007

Surf Party At NSB INLET!

Lets GO!



-------------------------

https://www.instagram.com/dj_kaye_/

 08/28/2015 05:45 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


dingpatch

Posts: 19032
Joined Forum: 07/24/2003

"Erika is barely recognizable as a tropical cyclone this morning, and may devolve into an open wave at some point today. , , , , "

-------------------------
Dora Hates You
 08/28/2015 06:01 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Plan B

Posts: 3302
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

haha.  someone's feeling sensitive this morning......

 08/28/2015 06:02 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


scombrid

Posts: 18021
Joined Forum: 07/24/2003

Surface circulation is impacting Hispanola and dissipating.

Main convection is looking more like an open wave than a cyclone.

Westerly shear is still strong.



-------------------------
...

 08/28/2015 06:05 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Plan B

Posts: 3302
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

Like someone said earlier..... probably best this one gets put to rest at this point.

Hopefully Haitian Voodoo won't bring it back from the dead

 08/28/2015 06:28 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


scombrid

Posts: 18021
Joined Forum: 07/24/2003

Deep convection is way southeast of the dying center. I wonder if there is any possibility that a center forms under that convective activity if the sheer relaxes?

As it is now you've got surface trades out of the east and upper level winds pretty strong and due west. Pretty much impossible to organize a stacked circulation with that going on.



-------------------------
...

 08/28/2015 07:02 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Skunkape

Posts: 136
Joined Forum: 08/03/2015

Now the bitch is takin I-75? Arrrrgh!  Classic El Niño tomfoolery.

 08/28/2015 07:13 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


dingpatch

Posts: 19032
Joined Forum: 07/24/2003

Might be shaping up to be another "Fay" (2008)

-------------------------
Dora Hates You
 08/28/2015 10:25 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


paddleout

Posts: 11810
Joined Forum: 07/31/2003

From Jeff Masters:

"If Erika survives into Saturday morning, which I give a 50% chance of occurring, the storm may have time to intensify into a strong tropical storm with 60 mph winds before hitting South Florida. If Erika dissipates over Hispaniola Friday night, the storm could still reorganize into a minimal-strength tropical storm with 40 mph winds before encountering South Florida."
 08/28/2015 10:38 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


Skeeter

Posts: 1103
Joined Forum: 07/23/2003

You can see on this radar loop, there are multiple vortices in this thing, and you can see the clouds plowing into the mountain range on Hispaniola. Very cool.
NASA radar

-------------------------
 08/28/2015 10:54 AM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


johnny

Posts: 2348
Joined Forum: 12/31/2004

Originally posted by: Skeeter

You can see on this radar loop, there are multiple vortices in this thing, and you can see the clouds plowing into the mountain range on Hispaniola. Very cool.

NASA radar


quoted for coolness indeed
 08/28/2015 12:40 PM
User is offline View Users Profile Print this message


surferintheshade

Posts: 58
Joined Forum: 12/10/2013

im sure we will know whats going on tomorrow morning. yes there is a good chance this can turn out to be like fay.



-------------------------
the ocean is my medication
FORUMS : Surfing : Should we prepare for a hurricane to hit? Erika

<< 1 2 3 4 5 6 Previous Last unread
Topic Tools Topic Tools
Statistics
146494 users are registered to the 2nd Light Forums forum.
There are currently 1 users logged in to the forum.

FuseTalk Basic Edition - © 1999-2024 FuseTalk Inc. All rights reserved.

First there was Air Jordan .