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Topic Title: Should we prepare for a hurricane to hit? Erika Topic Summary: Grande Waves?!?!?!? Created On: 08/24/2015 08:12 PM |
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08/27/2015 08:14 PM
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From the 11 pm NHC discussion: "Most of the track guidance, including the ECMWF and the GFS global models, show a tropical cyclone approaching Southeast Florida in about 3 days and moving northward near or over the East Coast of Florida during the latter portion of the forecast period. There is unusually high uncertainty in this forecast, especially at days 3 to 5, given that the cyclone has to recover from shear and from the effects of land for this to occur."
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08/27/2015 08:48 PM
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------------------------- Where is Playalinda? |
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08/28/2015 04:10 AM
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We'll probably get fuct one way or the other.
just sayin.... |
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08/28/2015 04:26 AM
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Clearly our frickn sufering is not at an end.
------------------------- Brother, when you get a minute, could I get a list of the words that trigger these fits? Hey. Where are we going? (And what are we doing in a hand-basket?) |
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08/28/2015 04:44 AM
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We'll probably get fuct one way or the other.
just sayin....
what are ya sayin? you just said it, now what the hell else are you sayin?! you had to make another post to say your sayin what you said like all these people are idiots? that's always been a saying about how stupid that is to say. just sayin there- thats better |
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08/28/2015 05:04 AM
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Surf Party At NSB INLET! Lets GO! ------------------------- https://www.instagram.com/dj_kaye_/ |
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08/28/2015 05:45 AM
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"Erika is barely recognizable as a tropical cyclone this morning, and may devolve into an open wave at some point today. , , , , "
------------------------- Dora Hates You |
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08/28/2015 06:01 AM
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haha. someone's feeling sensitive this morning...... |
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08/28/2015 06:02 AM
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Surface circulation is impacting Hispanola and dissipating. Main convection is looking more like an open wave than a cyclone. Westerly shear is still strong. ------------------------- ... |
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08/28/2015 06:05 AM
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Like someone said earlier..... probably best this one gets put to rest at this point. Hopefully Haitian Voodoo won't bring it back from the dead |
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08/28/2015 06:28 AM
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Deep convection is way southeast of the dying center. I wonder if there is any possibility that a center forms under that convective activity if the sheer relaxes? As it is now you've got surface trades out of the east and upper level winds pretty strong and due west. Pretty much impossible to organize a stacked circulation with that going on. ------------------------- ... |
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08/28/2015 07:02 AM
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Now the bitch is takin I-75? Arrrrgh! Classic El Niño tomfoolery. |
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08/28/2015 07:13 AM
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Might be shaping up to be another "Fay" (2008)
------------------------- Dora Hates You |
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08/28/2015 10:25 AM
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From Jeff Masters:
"If Erika survives into Saturday morning, which I give a 50% chance of occurring, the storm may have time to intensify into a strong tropical storm with 60 mph winds before hitting South Florida. If Erika dissipates over Hispaniola Friday night, the storm could still reorganize into a minimal-strength tropical storm with 40 mph winds before encountering South Florida." |
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08/28/2015 10:38 AM
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You can see on this radar loop, there are multiple vortices in this thing, and you can see the clouds plowing into the mountain range on Hispaniola. Very cool.
NASA radar ------------------------- |
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08/28/2015 10:54 AM
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You can see on this radar loop, there are multiple vortices in this thing, and you can see the clouds plowing into the mountain range on Hispaniola. Very cool. NASA radar quoted for coolness indeed |
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08/28/2015 12:40 PM
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im sure we will know whats going on tomorrow morning. yes there is a good chance this can turn out to be like fay. ------------------------- the ocean is my medication |
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Should we prepare for a hurricane to hit? Erika
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