Its the only wave maker showing up on the charts, could it be Cristobal?

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The Wavecaster

I don't know, I don't have a crystalball.

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Life is a garden*Dig it!

Dude, I'm just coming off of a meniscus repair surgery exactly 2.5 weeks ago, Doc said I should be good in 2 weeks from last Friday which equals I'd be super mega stoked to surf this particular weekend.. I'm jonesin sooo hard especially since seeing all you guys getting it from the Bertha swell! *STOKED*!!!

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SK8 AND DESTROY

Im already getting a 3 day weekend for my birthday that week, so with my luck there is no way a swell will arrive to go with it. It just wont happen. Sorry guys.

8/13/14 11am

"Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no tropical cyclone threat areas in the Atlantic to discuss today, and none of the reliable models for tropical cyclone formation is predicting development during the coming five days."

Jeff Masters


Cyristalball?

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So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

over 2.5 weeks away? This will turn out to be the longest lived swell hype thread yet.

Guarantee it gets off topic real fast.

LOL. Longest Hype Thread. Just getting my name in at the beginning.

I'm pro-hype/hope. Its all we got.

Go Cristobal!

Is it hype or hope?  I say it's too far out for hype, but since I like the looks of it I'm going with hope and fingers crossed.

Too far away to send anything meaningful.

Want Katia path.  Or Irene.  Mmmm, Irene.

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So it's only pre-hype hope at this point?

Just trying to make sure I understand...

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway

Jeff Masters doesn't usually give any additional useful information about the tropics from his own perspective. Just a repetitive hawk for the NHC and other climatologists. He's got the talent but doesn't use it much to get in depth about things.

No disrespect to you.

The good news is the GFS has been showing this system forming for the past 3 days so there is consistency within the 5 day forecast. This will at least have a shot at TD status but making it across the MDR with the racing trade winds and sinking dry air is the biggest issue. 2009 is an analog year to 2014 so I expect we'll get at least one Cape Verde system near what Hurricane Bill was, probably peaking in intensity further west as conditions in the MDR limit how strong a storm will get further east this season. I wouldn't count out multiple storms finding a 1-2 week window of favorable conditions coming into late August and September.

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https://www.facebook.com/FLshredcast

Agreed. Seems like he never goes out on a limb to tell you what he thinks might potentially happen. Just writes conservatively and tells you information that the NHC has already laid out for everyone to see. It's like he doesn't want to have his opinion proven wrong.

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https://www.facebook.com/FLshredcast

At this point, the antithesis of money in the bank.  That said, it is something to watch/ hold-out hope for, as hope (absent travel) is what gets us through our summer doldrums.  

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Surfing is my passion...obsesssion... addiction! Can't imagine life without it!

We need better looking meteorologists (no offense Tip) to deliver the hype


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I agree.

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Was that fast enough for you?

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Remember in June when the GFS developed a TC in the NW Caribbean for about 2 weeks straight that never materialized? Even if we wait until the tropical wave is off the west African coastline we still have 5-7 days before we would see surf. Might as well wait until that happens before we get too riled up. But, it is fun to look at 372hr forecast when the surf is as flat as it is.

Or, if you want to waste time another way, check out the NJ cams on Surfline. It is firing up there right now.