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August 28, 2015
  Tracking for Ericka has changed this Friday morning.
NHC has changed Ericka's forecast. Looks to stay weak and move into South Florida. Surf forecast looks to change. My recommendation is just keep an eye on the reports/buoys/cams the next few days for the best conditions.

Check NHC for latest tracking:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/28/2015 04:30 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 27, 2015
  Thursday: small swell
Thursday: small swell

Remnant swell from Danny looks to continue. Expect super small conditions though.

We should see an increase of surf size into the weekend. With Erika moving up into the Bahamas the surf looks to pick up. We probably will start to see 2-3 feet into Friday afternoon and Saturday morning. Then 3 to 4 feet by Saturday evening. Sunday, probably bigger.

NHC and Thursday morning model runs show Erika run up the Florida coast early next week. This means stronger onshore winds look to happen late weekend and Monday. Once the storm moves to our North we should see a wind switch to offshore. That looks to happen Tuesday.

With a storm so close it is difficult to predict the local winds. However, currently it looks like Monday will be super big and blown out and with the possible wind switch to offshore it should clean up quickly and also kill the swell.

Follow NHC for the latest tracking. Thursday morning does look like Erika will stay East of Florida and recurve up into the Carolinas. This isn't a sure thing though. Some models show it die down, others show it flare up once it hits the Gulf Stream. Thus, be prepared and keep an eye on Erika.

Small surf on Thursday. Increasing in size for Friday and the weekend. Mostly onshore wind chop for late Friday and the weekend. Victory at Sea conditions when Erika is near Florida. Then a quick clean up as it moves North.

We have the weekend to figure Erika out. Hopefully it does stay off the coast and recurves out to sea.

I'll be at 80s In the Park this weekend. Rock You Like A Hurricane!

I'm going to take a break as the forecast looks pretty straight forward and I'll be busy. Thus, Next update Monday night. Maybe we will be locked down with Hurricane force winds or surfing epic Erika swell! Rock On!!!

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/27/2015 04:52 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 26, 2015
  Check NHC for latest Ericka updates
Possible storm coming into Florida. I'll update the forecast Wednesday night.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/26/2015 07:10 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 24, 2015
  Monday: small surf with new swell later in evening.
Monday: small surf

There may be a small swell this Monday morning but don't expect much.

I'm expecting the Canaveral buoys to show a SE long period swell later today and into Tuesday. We should see a small 2-3 feet long period SE swell from Danny on Tuesday. Low tide is mid-morning Tuesday. Maybe a few sneaker sets into Monday evening. Check the reports/cams for anything.

Danny swell looks to last into the rest of the week but stay on the small side.

Swell models shows an uptick into the weekend. This may be from when Danny went Cat 3. Danny was a small storm and very far away, thus, forecasting a swell from it is difficult. However, I'm just going on the swell period models and virtual buoys which show the swell to start Monday night. Peak on Tuesday. Taper off mid-week. Then pick back up for the weekend.

There is also another possible future storm way out in the ITCZ. This system is forecast to increase in size and strength and could provide swell next week.

There was a broad low pressure system the past couple of days near Bermuda. That system is now spinning off of Nova Scotia. That may send in a faint NE swell as well.

Look like our summer flat season is about over. Check the reports/cams for any swell coming in the next few days.

Next update Wednesday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/24/2015 05:43 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 22, 2015
  Saturday: small/flat
Saturday: small/flat

Not much of any swell this weekend.

Swell models show an uptick of swell for late Monday and into Tuesday with swell from Danny.

So far it looks to be a small swell. NHC says Danny will weaken and continue to move West. One good thing is swell models shows consistent swell into next weekend. Thus, we should be back into surfing next week.

I'll take a better look at it Sunday night.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/22/2015 09:14 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 20, 2015
  Thursday: small to barely rideable
Thursday: small surf

There may be small rideable surf today but don't expect much.

Looks to be small/barely rideable into the weekend also.

Taking a look at potential swell from T.S. Danny and it looks bleak. Current long range models shows Danny maybe turning into a Hurricane soon but then dropping back into a tropical wave as it nears. Also, long range tracking has it going into the Caribbean islands.

However, that may also change. Tropical storms are notoriously hard to predict.

As of now, it looks like we will see a very small SE long period swell around Tuesday of next week. Virtual buoys shows an uptick for then. Danny is just too small and too far away to send anything bigger. So, lets hope the models are wrong and Danny gets bigger and recurves up into the Atlantic.

A weak low pressure system looks to form over Hatteras for the weekend. That is something to watch also. We are way overdue for some activity to form near Florida. Although it has been quiet the past couple of months it can't last much longer...can it?

Next update Saturday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/20/2015 05:08 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 18, 2015
  Tuesday: Small surf
Tuesday: small surf. 1-3 feet.

The Canaveral buoys shows an uptick this early Tuesday morning. Thus, should be some small waves today.

Glassy morning and afternoon chop.

Small waves last into Wednesday but drop off.

I'm just going on the virtual buoy model. It called this small swell for Tuesday and now shows it dropping off into Wednesday. I'm not sure where it is coming from. There is a weak tropical wave East of the Bahamas so maybe it is from that. Or, from the Bermuda high that is currently positioned pretty far North for Summer.

Long range forecast shows a low pressure forming North of the Bahamas and East of Hatteras for the weekend. Tuesday morning model runs keeps this low weak and not a swell maker for us. However, that may change. Keep an eye on the models for this weekend and see if this storm develops stronger than currently forecast.

Also, the NHC is watching a low off the African coast and in the ITCZ. They are giving it pretty good chance to form into a tropical depression the next few days. However, as now, that storm is too far away to send a swell. Maybe next week if the system strengthens and keeps moving towards us. Models don't show it getting too big. But, something to watch!

As we get deeper into August the tropics should heat up and we are just sitting here waiting for the boiler pot to blow it's lid! It has been a very long time since we have seen a big swell in East Central Florida. We are way overdue. Stay in Shape!

Next update Thursday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/18/2015 04:33 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 16, 2015
  Monday: small to barely rideable
Monday: small to barely rideable

Small surf can be found on Monday but don't expect much. Virtual buoy shows a slight increase into early this week. I'm not sure where it is from. Probably a SE trade wind swell. Check the reports for conditions.

No swells are in the long range forecast.

Next update Tuesday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/16/2015 06:49 PM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 13, 2015
  Thursday: small to flat
Thursday: small to flat.

No swells in the forecast.

Virtual buoys shows an uptick early next week. But, still remaining small. I'm not sure I know what that is from. I'll take a better look at it over the weekend. Probably a SE trade wind swell.

No major swells in the forecast and it looks to be small/flat through the weekend.

Next update Saturday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/13/2015 05:49 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 12, 2015
  Wednesday: 1-2 feet in small swell
Wednesday: 1-2 feet.

It looks to be pretty small today. Remnant NE swell is still there but smaller than Tuesday.

No swells are in the forecast.

Next update Thursday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/12/2015 06:00 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 10, 2015
  Monday afternoon update: Canaveral buoys showing NE swell
Monday afternoon buoys show small NE swell on them. Check the reports for Tuesday morning. Maybe something this evening.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/10/2015 02:33 PM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

  Monday: 1-2 feet in small swell
Monday: 1-2 feet in small swell

We should see a small mix of NE and East swell. A low pressure spun up off the New England coast. I think we will see a small NE swell from that. Also, SE trade wind swell looks to exist also. That will probably be bigger North of the Cape.

Forecast looks like Tuesday may have a continued small NE swell. Check the buoys and reports into Monday afternoon to see if that NE swell fills in anymore. The Low was pretty strong but just wasn't in our swell window very long and plus was moving away from us. So, probably a faint NE ground swell from that into Tuesday morning.

No major swell makers are in the long range forecast.

Next update Tuesday night.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/10/2015 05:50 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 8, 2015
  Saturday: Small/Flat
Saturday: small/flat

There may be some very small waves to be found, but don't expect much.

There is a low pressure forecast to form off of Hatteras. Marine forecast for off the Carolina coast calls for NE winds. But, is it strong enough and have enough duration to form a swell for us? Good question! Check the buoys into Sunday and Monday for anything sneaking in from the NE. Virtual buoys don't show much of anything. Thus, it is a wait-and-see.

We may see a SE trade wind swell later on next week. The typical summer Bermuda High looks to position itself further North and this may allow more of a SE trade wind swell to get in. However, that isn't saying much.

No major swell makers are in the long range forecast.

Next update Sunday night.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/08/2015 08:46 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 7, 2015
  Possible swell early next week
Friday afternoon model runs have a couple low pressures moving off of North Carolina over the weekend and early next week. Something to watch! I'll update Saturday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/07/2015 01:05 PM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

  Friday: small to flat
Friday: small to flat.

There has been some reports of small waves to be found. It is just small SE trade wind swell and bigger North of the cape. But, overall no swells. Check the reports and cams for any of the small stuff. I'm mostly looking for swell makers. Summer time dribble is tough for me to look at.

No swells in the long range forecast.

Next update Sunday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/07/2015 09:12 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 5, 2015
  Wednesday: small to flat
Wednesday: small to flat

No swells in the forecast.

ERGGGG....

Next update Friday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/05/2015 08:04 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

August 1, 2015
  Saturday: Small/Flat
Saturday: small/flat

Buoys and cams do not show much of anything this Saturday morning.

No swells are in the forecast.

The summer doldrums continues...

Next update Tuesday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 08/01/2015 06:08 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

July 31, 2015
  Friday: small/flat
Friday: small/flat

Virtual buoys show a small East swell for the weekend. I've been in San Diego where I caught some very fun surf in La Jolla. Thus, I'm not in tune yet with Florida surf forecast. Check the reports and buoys for anything over the weekend. I'll be looking for something!

No major swell makers in the long range forecast.

Next update Saturday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 07/31/2015 08:52 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

July 22, 2015
  No swells in the forecast. Taking a break.
Forecasting flat surf is boring. I'm taking a week break and hopefully that helps break the flat cycle we are in.

This Wednesday model runs do show a possible low pressure system off the coast of Florida next week. Here's hoping!

Next update Friday July 31st.

Maybe surf then!

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Edited: 07/22/2015 at 08:50 AM by Central Floridave

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 07/22/2015 08:38 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

July 19, 2015
  Sunday: small/flat
Sunday: small/flat

No swells are in the long range forecast.

Next update Tuesday morning.

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    Posted By: David Reid @ 07/19/2015 08:25 AM     2ndlight.com Surf Forecast     Comments (0)  

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